FanBoardHQ

Baylor

Baylor University · 2026 · Big 12

Efficiency
+7.7
36th FBS
Record
1-1
Conf. record
Conf. finish
7th
proj. of 16
Baylor Fanboard →

Baylor is 1-1 and ranked 36th in overall efficiency. Their 37th-ranked defense carries them, with a 50th-ranked offense. They pass the ball on 57% of offensive plays with an 80th-ranked passing attack and run the ball on the remaining 43% of plays with a 33rd-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
+2 left
Q2
0-0
+3 left
Q3
0-0
+3 left
Q4
1-0
+2 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 6.6 wins
Strength of Record
88th
-0.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
48th
full season
44th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
56th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs AuburnSEC#23L 1617-5.30%12.5Q1
2vs Prairie View A&MSWACW 443+40.1100%9.4Q4
3vs Louisiana TechSun Belt#66Preview+11.575%Q4
4vs ColoradoBig 12#81Preview+13.879%Q4
5@ Arizona StateBig 12#47Preview-0.948%Q2
7vs TCUBig 12#59Preview+6.765%Q3
8@ KansasBig 12#77Preview+7.968%Q3
9@ UCFBig 12#51Preview-0.848%Q2
10vs Iowa StateBig 12#60Preview+7.567%Q3
11@ BYUBig 12#19Preview-9.529%Q1
12vs Texas TechBig 12#30Preview-0.249%Q2
13@ HoustonBig 12#26Preview-6.735%Q1

2 played · 1-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Baylor, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+1.0+6.3+11.5139Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 80th
SR 78thYPP 52ndEPA 85th
RushingEff 33rd
SR 6thYPP 71stEPA 44th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 46th
SR 34thYPP 28thEPA 54th
Rush defenseEff 16th
SR 15thYPP 28thEPA 10th
Dropback rate 57%Tempo +8.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 74th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 45%1st · Defense allowed: 28%1st2nd · Offense: 44%2nd · Defense allowed: 16%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 49%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 40%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 17.0Q1 · Allowed: 6.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 24.0Q2 · Allowed: 7.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 7.0Q3 · Allowed: 0.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 13.0Q4 · Allowed: 7.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledBaylorOffenseDefense
Baylor Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 50th
+2.6
Field position: +1.1Finishing drives: +1.4
Field position +1.1Finishing drives +1.4= +2.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 32nd · Finishing 56th

Defensive EffRanked 37th
+4.4
Field position: -0.2Finishing drives: +4.6
Field position -0.2Finishing drives +4.6= +4.4
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 84th · Finishing 31st

1.74 points per drive on offense, 0.77 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(41)59% / 41%51%7.4
Q2(44)61% / 39%52%6.5
Q3(39)59% / 41%38%5.1
Q4(56)43% / 57%41%4.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(32)10.438%6.2
2nd(33)9.548%7.2
3rd(27)7.633%6.7
4th(6)4.567%8.7
All (98)42%6.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(44)9.950%5.0
2nd(28)5.539%3.4
3rd(8)3.675%5.5
4th(2)1.0100%3.5
All (82)50%4.5

Baylor, all games.