Boise State
Boise State University · 2026 · Pac-12
Boise State is 1-1 and ranked 32nd in overall efficiency. Their 27th-ranked defense carries them, with a 31st-ranked offense. They run the ball on 55% of offensive plays with a 58th-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with an 87th-ranked passing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Oregon | Big Ten | #24 | L 27–34 | -6.4 | 0% | 9.1 | Q1 |
| 2 | vs Memphis | American Athletic | #69 | W 38–20 | +14.2 | 100% | 16.1 | Q4 |
| 3 | vs South Dakota | MVFC | — | Preview | +23.6 | 92% | — | Q4 |
| 4 | @ Western Michigan | Mid-American | #38 | Preview | -0.5 | 49% | — | Q2 |
| 5 | vs Utah State | Pac-12 | #92 | Preview | +18.1 | 86% | — | Q4 |
| 6 | @ Fresno State | Pac-12 | #79 | Preview | +9.7 | 72% | — | Q3 |
| 8 | @ Washington State | Pac-12 | #63 | Preview | +5.8 | 63% | — | Q3 |
| 9 | vs Texas State | Pac-12 | #89 | Preview | +17.4 | 85% | — | Q4 |
| 10 | @ Colorado State | Pac-12 | #97 | Preview | +13.3 | 78% | — | Q4 |
| 11 | vs Oregon State | Pac-12 | #83 | Preview | +15.7 | 82% | — | Q4 |
| 12 | vs San Diego State | Pac-12 | #64 | Preview | +11.4 | 75% | — | Q4 |
2 played · 1-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on Boise State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 100th · Finishing 23rd
Field position 95th · Finishing 21st
2.22 points per drive on offense, 1.33 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 24.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(41) | 44% / 56% | 41% | 5.0 |
| Q2(37) | 51% / 49% | 35% | 7.5 |
| Q3(29) | 28% / 72% | 62% | 7.2 |
| Q4(34) | 44% / 56% | 38% | 4.8 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(16) | 10.1 | 69% | 9.9 |
| 2nd(21) | 8.1 | 33% | 5.4 |
| 3rd(19) | 7.2 | 16% | 3.7 |
| 4th(4) | 5.3 | 50% | 11.0 |
| All (60) | — | 38% | 6.5 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(47) | 10.0 | 40% | 5.7 |
| 2nd(22) | 6.4 | 45% | 6.0 |
| 3rd(10) | 3.7 | 70% | 6.1 |
| 4th(2) | 1.0 | 100% | 3.0 |
| All (81) | — | 47% | 5.8 |
Boise State, all games.