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Utah State

Utah State University · 2026 · Pac-12

Efficiency
-6.0
92nd FBS
Record
0-2
Conf. record
Conf. finish
7th
proj. of 8
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Utah State is 0-2 and ranked 92nd in overall efficiency. Their 64th-ranked defense carries them, with an 113th-ranked offense. They pass the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 107th-ranked passing attack and run the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 126th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
+1 left
Q2
0-1
+1 left
Q3
0-0
+3 left
Q4
0-1
+4 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Expected: 3.4 wins
Strength of Record
126th
-1.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
50th
full season
67th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
38th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Idaho StateBig SkyL 1729+11.10%-29.5Q4
2@ WashingtonBig Ten#33L 1416-17.30%8.8Q2
3@ UtahBig 12#10Preview-27.55%Q1
4vs TroySun Belt#110Preview+7.066%Q4
5@ Boise StatePac-12#32Preview-18.114%Q2
6vs Washington StatePac-12#63Preview-4.141%Q4
8@ Texas StatePac-12#89Preview-3.542%Q3
9vs Colorado StatePac-12#97Preview+3.458%Q4
10vs Fresno StatePac-12#79Preview-0.250%Q4
11@ San Diego StatePac-12#64Preview-9.529%Q3
12@ Oregon StatePac-12#83Preview-5.238%Q3

2 played · 0-2. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Utah State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-26.4-10.3+5.8-299Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 107th
SR 92ndYPP 111thEPA 109th
RushingEff 126th
SR 115thYPP 110thEPA 131st
Defense
Pass defenseEff 42nd
SR 51stYPP 21stEPA 49th
Rush defenseEff 73rd
SR 76thYPP 82ndEPA 70th
Dropback rate 53%Tempo +7.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 48th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 35%1st · Defense allowed: 42%1st2nd · Offense: 37%2nd · Defense allowed: 37%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 48%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 36%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 7.0Q1 · Allowed: 6.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 10.0Q2 · Allowed: 20.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 7.0Q3 · Allowed: 3.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 7.0Q4 · Allowed: 16.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUtah StateOffenseDefense
Utah State Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 113th
-6.8
Field position: -0.8Finishing drives: -6.0
Field position -0.8Finishing drives -6.0= -6.8
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 92nd · Finishing 114th

Defensive EffRanked 64th
+0.5
Field position: -1.3Finishing drives: +1.8
Field position -1.3Finishing drives +1.8= +0.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 116th · Finishing 53rd

1.29 points per drive on offense, 1.80 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(29)52% / 48%28%4.2
Q2(30)53% / 47%37%6.2
Q3(31)45% / 55%45%3.9
Q4(56)59% / 41%43%5.1
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(30)10.030%5.3
2nd(29)9.145%5.9
3rd(17)7.147%4.6
4th(2)7.050%11.0
All (78)40%5.5
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(32)9.941%3.5
2nd(22)7.927%4.1
3rd(11)6.864%8.0
4th(3)4.00%0.3
All (68)38%4.3

Utah State, all games.

Utah State Football 2026 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ