FanBoardHQ

Big Ten

2026 · through Week 2

Big Ten is the 2nd-ranked FBS conference by average FanBoardHQ efficiency ranking, with 6 teams in the top 25. Ohio State leads the conference, ranked 2nd in efficiency nationally.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

TeamEfficiency rankSOR rankConf. sched. rankOverall recordConf. recordProj. conf. wins
Indiana518132-00-06.9
Ohio State25611-10-06.8
Penn State1620182-00-06.6
USC82653-00-06.5
Michigan17192-00-05.5
UCLA317162-00-05.1
Iowa2821142-00-05.1
Oregon248121-10-04.8
Nebraska294172-00-04.7
Michigan State5419172-00-04.4
Maryland4637122-00-04.1
Washington331632-00-04.0
Northwestern503661-00-03.8
Illinois45102101-10-03.8
Wisconsin7062151-10-03.0
Purdue65103111-10-03.0
Minnesota768981-10-02.2
Rutgers12212640-20-00.7

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

IndianaOhio StatePenn StateUSCMichiganUCLAIowaOregonNebraskaMichigan StateMarylandWashingtonNorthwesternIllinoisWisconsinPurdueMinnesotaRutgers
IndianaWk7·Wk11Wk8···Wk6··Wk12Wk4··Wk13Wk9Wk5
Ohio StateWk7·Wk9Wk13·Wk5Wk10Wk12·Wk6·Wk11Wk4····
Penn State··Wk6Wk7·····Wk13Wk10Wk5·Wk4Wk9Wk11Wk12
USCWk11Wk9Wk6·Wk13·Wk4··Wk12Wk5··Wk8··Wk3
MichiganWk8Wk13Wk7·Wk12Wk4Wk11·Wk10······Wk5Wk9
UCLA···Wk13Wk12·Wk6·Wk8Wk4··Wk11Wk7Wk3Wk10·
Iowa·Wk5··Wk4··Wk13··Wk6Wk10Wk12Wk9Wk11Wk8·
Oregon·Wk10·Wk4Wk11Wk6·Wk7Wk12·Wk13Wk9Wk8····
NebraskaWk6Wk12····Wk13Wk7Wk4Wk5Wk9·Wk10···Wk11
Michigan State····Wk10Wk8·Wk12Wk4·Wk11Wk7Wk6Wk5··Wk13
Maryland·Wk6Wk13Wk12·Wk4··Wk5···Wk9Wk11Wk10·Wk7
WashingtonWk12·Wk10Wk5··Wk6Wk13Wk9Wk11····Wk7Wk4·
NorthwesternWk4Wk11Wk5···Wk10Wk9·Wk7··Wk13··Wk12Wk8
Illinois·Wk4···Wk11Wk12Wk8Wk10Wk6Wk9·Wk13·Wk5··
Wisconsin··Wk4Wk8·Wk7Wk9··Wk5Wk11···Wk12Wk13Wk10
PurdueWk13·Wk9··Wk3Wk11···Wk10Wk7·Wk5Wk12Wk6·
MinnesotaWk9·Wk11·Wk5Wk10Wk8····Wk4Wk12·Wk13Wk6·
RutgersWk5·Wk12Wk3Wk9···Wk11Wk13Wk7·Wk8·Wk10··
Exp. wins for a #25 team5.34.55.94.95.05.55.34.74.95.75.24.74.95.05.55.15.04.7
Conf. sched. difficulty rank13th1st18th5th9th16th14th2nd7th17th12th3rd6th10th15th11th8th4th
Projected conf. wins6.96.86.66.55.55.15.14.84.74.44.14.03.83.83.03.02.20.7
Conference record0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team0 wins1 win2 wins3 wins4 wins5 wins6 wins7 wins8 wins9 wins
Indiana0.0%0.0%0.0%0.2%1.9%8.8%22.9%33.3%25.2%7.7%
Ohio State0.0%0.0%0.1%0.5%3.0%10.8%24.4%32.3%22.6%6.3%
Penn State0.0%0.0%0.1%0.6%4.0%13.9%27.8%31.2%18.1%4.2%
USC0.0%0.0%0.1%0.8%4.4%14.6%28.1%30.7%17.4%3.9%
Michigan0.0%0.1%0.9%5.0%15.2%27.0%28.6%17.2%5.3%0.6%
UCLA0.0%0.4%2.5%9.3%20.8%28.4%23.7%11.6%3.0%0.3%
Iowa0.0%0.4%2.6%9.5%20.9%28.2%23.5%11.6%3.1%0.3%
Oregon0.1%0.7%4.1%12.5%23.5%27.8%20.4%8.8%1.9%0.2%
Nebraska0.0%0.8%4.7%14.4%25.5%27.5%18.2%7.2%1.5%0.1%
Michigan State0.1%1.5%7.2%17.9%26.8%25.1%14.8%5.3%1.1%0.1%
Maryland0.1%1.4%8.1%21.3%30.3%24.5%11.2%2.8%0.3%0.0%
Washington0.3%2.7%10.9%22.8%28.2%21.5%10.2%2.9%0.4%0.0%
Northwestern0.2%2.7%12.2%25.8%29.8%19.8%7.6%1.6%0.2%0.0%
Illinois0.5%4.2%13.5%24.4%27.0%19.1%8.6%2.3%0.3%0.0%
Wisconsin1.1%9.0%24.4%31.4%22.3%9.2%2.3%0.3%0.0%0.0%
Purdue1.9%10.7%24.8%30.0%21.1%8.9%2.2%0.3%0.0%0.0%
Minnesota6.8%22.4%31.3%24.2%11.3%3.3%0.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Rutgers46.4%38.1%12.9%2.4%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

Offensive EffDefensive EffOverall Efficiency
TeamPass O EffRush O EffTotal Off EffPass D EffRush D EffTotal Def EffOverall Eff
Indiana42851427285
Ohio State12102975232
Penn State9112241651716
USC1981735118
Michigan6862431083217
UCLA10943712772331
Iowa7857611811928
Oregon93361835782924
Nebraska42101747997429
Michigan State748128521127054
Maryland56355125215046
Washington64716231331233
Northwestern58307370962450
Illinois10971213410610245
Wisconsin113569583565670
Purdue38744982728065
Minnesota41122441218812976
Rutgers84134112130115133122

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

OverallOffenseDefensePass ORush OPass DRush DTempo
IndianaOhio State

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Overall
Indiana0-00-01-01-02-0
Ohio State0-10-00-01-01-1
Penn State0-00-01-01-02-0
USC0-00-00-03-03-0
Michigan1-01-00-00-02-0
UCLA0-00-01-01-02-0
Iowa0-00-01-01-02-0
Oregon0-01-00-10-01-1
Nebraska0-00-00-02-02-0
Michigan State0-00-01-01-02-0
Maryland0-00-00-02-02-0
Washington0-00-00-02-02-0
Northwestern0-00-00-01-01-0
Illinois0-00-00-11-01-1
Wisconsin0-10-00-01-01-1
Purdue0-00-00-11-01-1
Minnesota0-10-00-01-01-1
Rutgers0-00-00-00-20-2

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

TeamWeek 0Week 1Week 2
Indiana33.820.4
Ohio State21.724.8
Penn State26.322.6
USC16.530.324.5
Michigan7.321.8
UCLA17.119.9
Iowa17.73.2
Oregon13.3-9.0
Nebraska13.819.5
Michigan State10.211.5
Maryland0.617.1
Washington11.8-6.2
Northwestern2.3
Illinois12.5-1.5
Wisconsin-1.6-6.2
Purdue0.80.7
Minnesota-0.3-15.6
Rutgers-39.3-16.3