Big Ten
2026 · through Week 2
Big Ten is the 2nd-ranked FBS conference by average FanBoardHQ efficiency ranking, with 6 teams in the top 25. Ohio State leads the conference, ranked 2nd in efficiency nationally.
Projected Standings
Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.
| Team | Efficiency rank | SOR rank | Conf. sched. rank | Overall record | Conf. record | Proj. conf. wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 5 | 18 | 13 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 6.9 |
| Ohio State | 2 | 56 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6.8 |
| Penn State | 16 | 20 | 18 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 6.6 |
| USC | 8 | 26 | 5 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 6.5 |
| Michigan | 17 | 1 | 9 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 5.5 |
| UCLA | 31 | 7 | 16 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 5.1 |
| Iowa | 28 | 21 | 14 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 5.1 |
| Oregon | 24 | 81 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4.8 |
| Nebraska | 29 | 41 | 7 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 4.7 |
| Michigan State | 54 | 19 | 17 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 4.4 |
| Maryland | 46 | 37 | 12 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 4.1 |
| Washington | 33 | 16 | 3 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 4.0 |
| Northwestern | 50 | 36 | 6 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 3.8 |
| Illinois | 45 | 102 | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3.8 |
| Wisconsin | 70 | 62 | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3.0 |
| Purdue | 65 | 103 | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3.0 |
| Minnesota | 76 | 89 | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2.2 |
| Rutgers | 122 | 126 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.7 |
Head-to-head Schedule Comparison
Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.
Conference win total projections
Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.
| Team | 0 wins | 1 win | 2 wins | 3 wins | 4 wins | 5 wins | 6 wins | 7 wins | 8 wins | 9 wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 1.9% | 8.8% | 22.9% | 33.3% | 25.2% | 7.7% |
| Ohio State | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 3.0% | 10.8% | 24.4% | 32.3% | 22.6% | 6.3% |
| Penn State | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 4.0% | 13.9% | 27.8% | 31.2% | 18.1% | 4.2% |
| USC | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 4.4% | 14.6% | 28.1% | 30.7% | 17.4% | 3.9% |
| Michigan | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 5.0% | 15.2% | 27.0% | 28.6% | 17.2% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
| UCLA | 0.0% | 0.4% | 2.5% | 9.3% | 20.8% | 28.4% | 23.7% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Iowa | 0.0% | 0.4% | 2.6% | 9.5% | 20.9% | 28.2% | 23.5% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Oregon | 0.1% | 0.7% | 4.1% | 12.5% | 23.5% | 27.8% | 20.4% | 8.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Nebraska | 0.0% | 0.8% | 4.7% | 14.4% | 25.5% | 27.5% | 18.2% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Michigan State | 0.1% | 1.5% | 7.2% | 17.9% | 26.8% | 25.1% | 14.8% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Maryland | 0.1% | 1.4% | 8.1% | 21.3% | 30.3% | 24.5% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Washington | 0.3% | 2.7% | 10.9% | 22.8% | 28.2% | 21.5% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Northwestern | 0.2% | 2.7% | 12.2% | 25.8% | 29.8% | 19.8% | 7.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Illinois | 0.5% | 4.2% | 13.5% | 24.4% | 27.0% | 19.1% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Wisconsin | 1.1% | 9.0% | 24.4% | 31.4% | 22.3% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Purdue | 1.9% | 10.7% | 24.8% | 30.0% | 21.1% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Minnesota | 6.8% | 22.4% | 31.3% | 24.2% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rutgers | 46.4% | 38.1% | 12.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Every model rank
Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.
| Offensive Eff | Defensive Eff | Overall Efficiency | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Pass O Eff | Rush O Eff | Total Off Eff | Pass D Eff | Rush D Eff | Total Def Eff | Overall Eff |
| Indiana | 4 | 28 | 5 | 14 | 27 | 28 | 5 |
| Ohio State | 12 | 102 | 9 | 7 | 52 | 3 | 2 |
| Penn State | 9 | 112 | 24 | 16 | 51 | 7 | 16 |
| USC | 1 | 98 | 1 | 73 | 5 | 11 | 8 |
| Michigan | 68 | 62 | 43 | 10 | 83 | 2 | 17 |
| UCLA | 109 | 4 | 37 | 12 | 77 | 23 | 31 |
| Iowa | 78 | 57 | 61 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
| Oregon | 93 | 36 | 18 | 35 | 78 | 29 | 24 |
| Nebraska | 42 | 10 | 17 | 47 | 99 | 74 | 29 |
| Michigan State | 74 | 81 | 28 | 52 | 112 | 70 | 54 |
| Maryland | 56 | 35 | 51 | 25 | 21 | 50 | 46 |
| Washington | 64 | 71 | 62 | 31 | 33 | 12 | 33 |
| Northwestern | 58 | 30 | 73 | 70 | 96 | 24 | 50 |
| Illinois | 10 | 97 | 12 | 134 | 106 | 102 | 45 |
| Wisconsin | 113 | 56 | 95 | 83 | 56 | 56 | 70 |
| Purdue | 38 | 74 | 49 | 82 | 72 | 80 | 65 |
| Minnesota | 41 | 122 | 44 | 121 | 88 | 129 | 76 |
| Rutgers | 84 | 134 | 112 | 130 | 115 | 133 | 122 |
Compare teams
Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.
Further from center = better (FBS percentile).
Quadrant records
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Ohio State | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Penn State | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| USC | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Michigan | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| UCLA | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Iowa | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Oregon | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Nebraska | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Michigan State | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Maryland | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Washington | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Northwestern | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Illinois | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Wisconsin | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Purdue | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Minnesota | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Rutgers | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating
Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.
| Team | Week 0 | Week 1 | Week 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 33.8 | 20.4 | |
| Ohio State | 21.7 | 24.8 | |
| Penn State | 26.3 | 22.6 | |
| USC | 16.5 | 30.3 | 24.5 |
| Michigan | 7.3 | 21.8 | |
| UCLA | 17.1 | 19.9 | |
| Iowa | 17.7 | 3.2 | |
| Oregon | 13.3 | -9.0 | |
| Nebraska | 13.8 | 19.5 | |
| Michigan State | 10.2 | 11.5 | |
| Maryland | 0.6 | 17.1 | |
| Washington | 11.8 | -6.2 | |
| Northwestern | 2.3 | ||
| Illinois | 12.5 | -1.5 | |
| Wisconsin | -1.6 | -6.2 | |
| Purdue | 0.8 | 0.7 | |
| Minnesota | -0.3 | -15.6 | |
| Rutgers | -39.3 | -16.3 |