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Missouri

University of Missouri · 2026 · SEC

Efficiency
+13.4
21st FBS
Record
2-0
Conf. record
Conf. finish
10th
proj. of 16
Missouri Fanboard →

Missouri is 2-0 and ranked 21st in overall efficiency. Their 13th-ranked defense carries them, with a 30th-ranked offense. They run the ball on 55% of offensive plays with a 52nd-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with an 18th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
+7 left
Q2
0-0
Q3
1-0
+1 left
Q4
1-0
+2 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 7.3 wins
Strength of Record
24th
+0.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
100th
full season
15th
AP poll
#20
FanBoardHQ has them 1 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
11th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.1 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Arkansas-Pine BluffSWACW 5414+48.0100%14.1Q4
2@ KansasBig 12#77W 3821+13.5100%19.8Q3
3vs TroySun Belt#110Preview+26.394%Q4
4@ Mississippi StateSEC#18Preview-4.639%Q1
5vs FloridaSEC#12Preview-1.746%Q1
6vs Texas A&MSEC#4Preview-7.034%Q1
7@ Ole MissSEC#25Preview-1.646%Q1
9@ ArkansasSEC#94Preview+16.884%Q4
10vs TexasSEC#3Preview-8.132%Q1
11@ GeorgiaSEC#9Preview-8.531%Q1
12vs KentuckySEC#55Preview+11.475%Q3
13vs OklahomaSEC#15Preview-0.848%Q1

2 played · 2-0. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Missouri, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+1.6+9.9+18.21420Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 18th
SR 18thYPP 21stEPA 19th
RushingEff 52nd
SR 78thYPP 52ndEPA 41st
Defense
Pass defenseEff 3rd
SR 2ndYPP 2ndEPA 8th
Rush defenseEff 32nd
SR 13thYPP 33rdEPA 52nd
Dropback rate 45%Tempo +0.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 49th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 30%1st2nd · Offense: 46%2nd · Defense allowed: 32%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 55%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 24%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 14.0Q1 · Allowed: 0.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 38.0Q2 · Allowed: 7.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 14.0Q3 · Allowed: 14.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 24.0Q4 · Allowed: 7.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledMissouriOffenseDefense
Missouri Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 30th
+5.2
Field position: +2.2Finishing drives: +3.1
Field position +2.2Finishing drives +3.1= +5.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 11th · Finishing 43rd

Defensive EffRanked 13th
+7.8
Field position: +0.8Finishing drives: +7.0
Field position +0.8Finishing drives +7.0= +7.8
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 39th · Finishing 16th

3.08 points per drive on offense, 1.22 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 39.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(37)57% / 43%38%6.5
Q2(42)48% / 52%57%10.2
Q3(33)45% / 55%55%5.6
Q4(32)22% / 78%34%5.1
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(23)10.265%11.3
2nd(20)9.040%8.1
3rd(19)8.058%10.7
4th(1)9.0100%13.0
All (63)56%10.1
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(44)10.232%5.0
2nd(28)6.850%4.6
3rd(7)5.929%2.7
4th(2)1.0100%4.5
All (81)40%4.6

Missouri, all games.

Missouri Football 2026 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ