FanBoardHQ

Nebraska

University of Nebraska–Lincoln · 2026 · Big Ten

Efficiency
+10.7
29th FBS
Record
2-0
Conf. record
Conf. finish
9th
proj. of 18
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Nebraska is 2-0 and ranked 29th in overall efficiency. Their 17th-ranked offense is the engine, backed by a 74th-ranked defense. They run the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 10th-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 42nd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
+4 left
Q2
0-0
+3 left
Q3
0-0
+1 left
Q4
2-0
+2 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 7.6 wins
Strength of Record
41st
+0.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
126th
full season
37th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
26th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.9 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs OhioMid-American#98W 4921+20.2100%13.8Q4
2vs Bowling GreenMid-American#138W 567+40.1100%19.5Q4
3vs North DakotaMVFCPreview+25.493%Q4
4@ Michigan StateBig Ten#54Preview+2.957%Q2
5vs MarylandBig Ten#46Preview+7.667%Q3
6vs IndianaBig Ten#5Preview-9.529%Q1
7@ OregonBig Ten#24Preview-5.038%Q1
9vs WashingtonBig Ten#33Preview+4.961%Q2
10@ IllinoisBig Ten#45Preview+2.055%Q2
11@ RutgersBig Ten#122Preview+22.791%Q4
12vs Ohio StateBig Ten#2Preview-11.625%Q1
13@ IowaBig Ten#28Preview-2.844%Q1

2 played · 2-0. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Nebraska, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+1.6+9.8+18.01420Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 42nd
SR 60thYPP 75thEPA 30th
RushingEff 10th
SR 13thYPP 9thEPA 9th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 47th
SR 11thYPP 71stEPA 55th
Rush defenseEff 99th
SR 75thYPP 100thEPA 104th
Dropback rate 47%Tempo -1.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 127th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 47%1st · Defense allowed: 35%1st2nd · Offense: 65%2nd · Defense allowed: 24%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 63%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 41%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 21.0Q1 · Allowed: 10.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 28.0Q2 · Allowed: 3.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 14.0Q3 · Allowed: 0.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 35.0Q4 · Allowed: 14.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledNebraskaOffenseDefense
Nebraska Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 17th
+8.8
Field position: -0.5Finishing drives: +9.3
Field position -0.5Finishing drives +9.3= +8.8
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 81st · Finishing 13th

Defensive EffRanked 74th
-1.0
Field position: +0.4Finishing drives: -1.4
Field position +0.4Finishing drives -1.4= -1.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 52nd · Finishing 79th

4.67 points per drive on offense, 1.22 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(33)45% / 55%48%6.2
Q2(44)57% / 43%57%8.9
Q3(27)44% / 56%52%6.1
Q4(35)43% / 57%66%8.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(29)9.941%8.1
2nd(23)7.370%8.1
3rd(14)10.050%7.9
4th(1)3.00%0.0
All (67)52%7.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(37)9.951%7.2
2nd(23)8.561%9.5
3rd(9)2.078%4.3
4th(3)1.0100%6.3
All (72)60%7.6

Nebraska, all games.