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Iowa

University of Iowa · 2026 · Big Ten

Efficiency
+10.7
28th FBS
Record
2-0
Conf. record
Conf. finish
7th
proj. of 18
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Iowa is 2-0 and ranked 28th in overall efficiency. Their 9th-ranked defense carries them, with a 61st-ranked offense. They pass the ball on 52% of offensive plays with a 78th-ranked passing attack and run the ball on the remaining 48% of plays with a 57th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
+2 left
Q2
0-0
+4 left
Q3
1-0
+1 left
Q4
1-0
+3 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 8.1 wins
Strength of Record
21st
+0.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
91st
full season
47th
AP poll
#18
FanBoardHQ has them 10 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
41st
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Northern IllinoisMountain West#129W 400+31.3100%17.7Q4
2vs Iowa StateBig 12#60W 1613+10.5100%3.2Q3
3vs Northern IowaMVFCPreview+40.499%Q4
4@ MichiganBig Ten#17Preview-7.333%Q1
5vs Ohio StateBig Ten#2Preview-11.625%Q1
6@ WashingtonBig Ten#33Preview-0.649%Q2
8@ MinnesotaBig Ten#76Preview+10.874%Q3
9vs WisconsinBig Ten#70Preview+15.682%Q4
10@ NorthwesternBig Ten#50Preview+2.255%Q2
11vs PurdueBig Ten#65Preview+13.679%Q4
12@ IllinoisBig Ten#45Preview+2.155%Q2
13vs NebraskaBig Ten#29Preview+2.856%Q2

2 played · 2-0. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Iowa, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+1.4+8.9+16.3183Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 78th
SR 58thYPP 92ndEPA 74th
RushingEff 57th
SR 92ndYPP 28thEPA 59th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 18th
SR 10thYPP 15thEPA 35th
Rush defenseEff 11th
SR 3rdYPP 27thEPA 21st
Dropback rate 52%Tempo +0.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 79th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 51%1st · Defense allowed: 19%1st2nd · Offense: 33%2nd · Defense allowed: 32%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 33%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 26%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 21.0Q1 · Allowed: 0.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 23.0Q2 · Allowed: 10.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 0.0Q3 · Allowed: 3.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 6.0Q4 · Allowed: 0.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledIowaOffenseDefense
Iowa Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 61st
+1.2
Field position: +0.8Finishing drives: +0.4
Field position +0.8Finishing drives +0.4= +1.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 39th · Finishing 68th

Defensive EffRanked 9th
+9.4
Field position: +2.0Finishing drives: +7.4
Field position +2.0Finishing drives +7.4= +9.4
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 9th · Finishing 11th

2.04 points per drive on offense, 0.48 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 35.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(35)51% / 49%49%8.8
Q2(46)61% / 39%39%5.3
Q3(21)62% / 38%33%4.7
Q4(35)31% / 69%40%4.0
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(26)10.262%8.5
2nd(24)8.542%5.1
3rd(18)7.522%3.7
4th(2)3.50%0.0
All (70)43%5.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(35)9.843%6.9
2nd(19)6.521%3.9
3rd(11)4.364%5.9
4th(2)1.50%0.5
All (67)39%5.7

Iowa, all games.

Iowa Football 2026 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ