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Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State University · 2026 · Big 12

Efficiency
-5.1
88th FBS
Record
1-1
Conf. record
Conf. finish
14th
proj. of 16
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Oklahoma State is 1-1 and ranked 88th in overall efficiency. Their 68th-ranked defense carries them, with a 104th-ranked offense. They pass the ball on 57% of offensive plays with a 127th-ranked passing attack and run the ball on the remaining 43% of plays with a 104th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
+2 left
Q2
1-0
+3 left
Q3
0-1
+2 left
Q4
0-0
+3 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 4.6 wins
Strength of Record
72nd
-0.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
27th
full season
46th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
58th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ TulsaAmerican Athletic#80L 1024-4.50%-14.3Q3
2vs OregonBig Ten#24W 3931-15.3100%16.9Q2
3vs Murray StateMVFCPreview+32.997%Q4
4@ West VirginiaBig 12#68Preview-6.036%Q3
6vs UCFBig 12#51Preview-8.032%Q3
7@ HoustonBig 12#26Preview-19.513%Q1
8vs ColoradoBig 12#81Preview+1.153%Q4
9@ Iowa StateBig 12#60Preview-10.826%Q2
10@ Kansas StateBig 12#11Preview-26.26%Q1
11vs Texas TechBig 12#30Preview-13.022%Q2
12@ Arizona StateBig 12#47Preview-13.721%Q2
13vs KansasBig 12#77Preview+0.651%Q4

2 played · 1-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Oklahoma State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-11.8+1.3+14.4-1417Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 127th
SR 97thYPP 115thEPA 134th
RushingEff 104th
SR 101stYPP 69thEPA 113th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 101st
SR 58thYPP 119thEPA 113th
Rush defenseEff 63rd
SR 53rdYPP 66thEPA 63rd
Dropback rate 57%Tempo +14.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 53rd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 39%1st · Defense allowed: 38%1st2nd · Offense: 50%2nd · Defense allowed: 42%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 35%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 23%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 3.0Q1 · Allowed: 3.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 24.0Q2 · Allowed: 17.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 16.0Q3 · Allowed: 14.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 10.0Q4 · Allowed: 14.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledOklahoma StateOffenseDefense
Oklahoma State Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 104th
-4.4
Field position: -1.5Finishing drives: -2.8
Field position -1.5Finishing drives -2.8= -4.4
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 115th · Finishing 90th

Defensive EffRanked 68th
+0.1
Field position: -2.4Finishing drives: +2.5
Field position -2.4Finishing drives +2.5= +0.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 133rd · Finishing 47th

1.81 points per drive on offense, 1.92 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 27.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(39)51% / 49%44%6.4
Q2(36)56% / 44%56%7.4
Q3(42)60% / 40%38%5.3
Q4(52)58% / 42%33%3.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(41)10.237%6.1
2nd(34)8.653%7.7
3rd(17)6.329%1.8
4th(3)3.333%5.3
All (95)41%5.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(34)9.641%7.1
2nd(20)6.545%3.3
3rd(16)6.338%3.9
4th(4)1.050%2.3
All (74)42%5.1

Oklahoma State, all games.

Oklahoma State Football 2026 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ