FanBoardHQ

Pittsburgh

University of Pittsburgh · 2026 · ACC

Efficiency
+11.3
27th FBS
Record
2-0
Conf. record
Conf. finish
4th
proj. of 17
Pittsburgh Fanboard →

Pittsburgh is 2-0 and ranked 27th in overall efficiency. Their 20th-ranked defense carries them, with a 56th-ranked offense. They run the ball on 51% of offensive plays with an 80th-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 49% of plays with a 26th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
+1 left
Q2
0-0
+2 left
Q3
1-0
+2 left
Q4
1-0
+5 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 9.1 wins
Strength of Record
9th
+0.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
70th
full season
70th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
72nd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.2 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Miami-OHMid-American#96W 5914+20.7100%22.3Q4
2vs UCFBig 12#51W 127+8.4100%7.4Q3
3vs SyracuseACC#71Preview+16.383%Q4
4vs BucknellPatriotPreview+50.3100%Q4
5@ Virginia TechACC#37Preview+0.952%Q2
6vs North CarolinaACC#62Preview+12.577%Q4
7@ Boston CollegeACC#115Preview+21.289%Q4
8@ Miami-FLACC#7Preview-13.921%Q1
9vs Georgia TechACC#93Preview+20.288%Q4
11vs Florida StateACC#49Preview+8.369%Q3
12@ LouisvilleACC#48Preview+2.756%Q2
13@ CaliforniaACC#72Preview+10.874%Q3

2 played · 2-0. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Pittsburgh, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+1.8+11.2+20.5227Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 26th
SR 55thYPP 28thEPA 17th
RushingEff 80th
SR 86thYPP 60thEPA 84th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 19th
SR 4thYPP 26thEPA 45th
Rush defenseEff 8th
SR 24thYPP 10thEPA 6th
Dropback rate 49%Tempo +3.6 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 76th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 44%1st · Defense allowed: 37%1st2nd · Offense: 51%2nd · Defense allowed: 26%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 42%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 29%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 24.0Q1 · Allowed: 0.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 17.0Q2 · Allowed: 14.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 21.0Q3 · Allowed: 0.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 7.0Q4 · Allowed: 7.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledPittsburghOffenseDefense
Pittsburgh Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 56th
+1.9
Field position: -0.2Finishing drives: +2.1
Field position -0.2Finishing drives +2.1= +1.9
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 75th · Finishing 50th

Defensive EffRanked 20th
+6.6
Field position: +2.0Finishing drives: +4.6
Field position +2.0Finishing drives +4.6= +6.6
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 6th · Finishing 32nd

2.88 points per drive on offense, 0.88 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(47)60% / 40%43%7.2
Q2(37)59% / 41%41%5.5
Q3(31)39% / 61%58%8.3
Q4(31)45% / 55%45%5.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(28)10.361%9.9
2nd(31)8.548%7.5
3rd(16)8.150%11.0
4th(1)4.00%0.0
All (76)53%9.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(36)10.131%3.2
2nd(18)6.656%3.9
3rd(13)4.831%6.3
4th(3)1.067%3.7
All (70)39%4.0

Pittsburgh, all games.