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Stanford

Stanford University · 2026 · ACC

Efficiency
-10.0
108th FBS
Record
1-1
Conf. record
0-1
Conf. finish
16th
proj. of 17
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Stanford is 1-1 and ranked 108th in overall efficiency. Their 93rd-ranked offense is the engine, backed by an 112th-ranked defense. They pass the ball on 54% of offensive plays with a 52nd-ranked passing attack and run the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with a 120th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
+2 left
Q2
0-0
+4 left
Q3
0-0
+2 left
Q4
1-0
+2 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.4 wins
Strength of Record
68th
-0.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
21st
full season
27th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
47th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.5 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
0vs Hawai'iMountain West#116W 3727+5.9100%-6.3Q4
1vs Miami-FLACC#7L 645-29.70%-21.4Q1
3@ DukeACC#44Preview-18.614%Q2
4vs Georgia TechACC#93Preview-1.147%Q4
5@ Wake ForestACC#41Preview-19.313%Q2
6@ Notre DameFBS Independents#1Preview-37.91%Q1
7vs ElonCoastal AthleticPreview+16.884%Q4
8vs NC StateACC#53Preview-12.523%Q3
9@ LouisvilleACC#48Preview-18.614%Q2
11@ Virginia TechACC#37Preview-20.412%Q2
12@ CaliforniaACC#72Preview-10.527%Q3
13vs SMUACC#20Preview-21.610%Q1

2 played · 1-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Stanford, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-19.7-10.5-1.4-6-21Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 52nd
SR 87thYPP 65thEPA 38th
RushingEff 120th
SR 110thYPP 125thEPA 119th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 119th
SR 104thYPP 103rdEPA 124th
Rush defenseEff 71st
SR 83rdYPP 42ndEPA 85th
Dropback rate 54%Tempo -0.9 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 62nd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 48%1st · Defense allowed: 42%1st2nd · Offense: 29%2nd · Defense allowed: 46%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 39%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 55%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 10.0Q1 · Allowed: 14.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 10.0Q2 · Allowed: 21.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 7.0Q3 · Allowed: 14.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 7.0Q4 · Allowed: 24.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledStanfordOffenseDefense
Stanford Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 93rd
-3.6
Field position: -0.8Finishing drives: -2.7
Field position -0.8Finishing drives -2.7= -3.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 95th · Finishing 88th

Defensive EffRanked 112th
-6.0
Field position: +1.0Finishing drives: -7.0
Field position +1.0Finishing drives -7.0= -6.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 33rd · Finishing 123rd

1.13 points per drive on offense, 2.84 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 24.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(31)52% / 48%32%5.9
Q2(42)69% / 31%45%6.7
Q3(32)50% / 50%44%5.4
Q4(31)52% / 48%35%4.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(27)10.259%9.6
2nd(29)8.134%5.1
3rd(19)8.726%6.4
4th(2)3.50%0.0
All (77)40%6.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(34)9.238%4.4
2nd(13)8.315%2.5
3rd(11)5.664%6.5
4th(1)2.0100%2.0
All (59)39%4.3

Stanford, all games.