Virginia
University of Virginia · 2026 · ACC
Virginia is 2-0 and ranked 22nd in overall efficiency. Their 8th-ranked defense carries them, with a 48th-ranked offense. They run the ball on 68% of offensive plays with a 13th-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 32% of plays with a 27th-ranked passing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | vs NC State | ACC | #53 | W 34–8 | +10.7 | 100% | 31.3 | Q3 |
| 2 | vs Norfolk State | MEAC | — | W 59–3 | +40.9 | 100% | 13.6 | Q4 |
| 3 | vs West Virginia | Big 12 | #68 | Preview | +15.1 | 81% | — | Q3 |
| 4 | vs Delaware | Conference USA | #82 | Preview | +19.5 | 87% | — | Q4 |
| 5 | @ Florida State | ACC | #49 | Preview | +4.7 | 61% | — | Q2 |
| 6 | vs Syracuse | ACC | #71 | Preview | +18.2 | 86% | — | Q4 |
| 7 | @ SMU | ACC | #20 | Preview | -3.8 | 41% | — | Q1 |
| 8 | vs Duke | ACC | #44 | Preview | +10.1 | 72% | — | Q3 |
| 9 | @ Wake Forest | ACC | #41 | Preview | +3.9 | 59% | — | Q2 |
| 11 | vs California | ACC | #72 | Preview | +18.3 | 86% | — | Q4 |
| 12 | vs North Carolina | ACC | #62 | Preview | +14.5 | 80% | — | Q4 |
| 13 | @ Virginia Tech | ACC | #37 | Preview | +2.8 | 57% | — | Q2 |
2 played · 2-0. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on Virginia, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 67th · Finishing 45th
Field position 47th · Finishing 7th
3.58 points per drive on offense, 0.44 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 36.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(29) | 38% / 62% | 55% | 8.7 |
| Q2(31) | 26% / 74% | 65% | 7.0 |
| Q3(38) | 26% / 74% | 55% | 6.3 |
| Q4(32) | 25% / 75% | 47% | 5.5 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(19) | 9.8 | 68% | 8.8 |
| 2nd(7) | 5.9 | 86% | 21.6 |
| 3rd(9) | 7.9 | 22% | 3.7 |
| 4th(2) | 3.0 | 100% | 8.5 |
| All (37) | — | 62% | 10.0 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(41) | 9.7 | 54% | 5.5 |
| 2nd(36) | 6.7 | 53% | 6.9 |
| 3rd(13) | 3.2 | 38% | 2.8 |
| 4th(3) | 1.0 | 100% | 1.7 |
| All (93) | — | 53% | 5.5 |
Virginia, all games.