Wisconsin
University of Wisconsin–Madison · 2026 · Big Ten
Wisconsin is 1-1 and ranked 70th in overall efficiency. Their 56th-ranked defense carries them, with a 95th-ranked offense. They run the ball on 56% of offensive plays with a 56th-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 44% of plays with an 113th-ranked passing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Notre Dame | FBS Independents | #1 | L 13–41 | -27.3 | 0% | -1.6 | Q1 |
| 2 | vs Western Illinois | OVC | — | W 36–9 | +35.5 | 100% | -6.2 | Q4 |
| 3 | vs Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | #127 | Preview | +17.8 | 85% | — | Q4 |
| 4 | @ Penn State | Big Ten | #16 | Preview | -21.6 | 10% | — | Q1 |
| 5 | vs Michigan State | Big Ten | #54 | Preview | -4.4 | 40% | — | Q3 |
| 7 | @ UCLA | Big Ten | #31 | Preview | -14.5 | 20% | — | Q2 |
| 8 | vs USC | Big Ten | #8 | Preview | -21.4 | 10% | — | Q1 |
| 9 | @ Iowa | Big Ten | #28 | Preview | -15.6 | 18% | — | Q1 |
| 10 | vs Rutgers | Big Ten | #122 | Preview | +15.4 | 82% | — | Q4 |
| 11 | @ Maryland | Big Ten | #46 | Preview | -10.8 | 26% | — | Q2 |
| 12 | @ Purdue | Big Ten | #65 | Preview | -4.7 | 39% | — | Q3 |
| 13 | vs Minnesota | Big Ten | #76 | Preview | +3.4 | 58% | — | Q4 |
2 played · 1-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on Wisconsin, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 12th · Finishing 111th
Field position 20th · Finishing 73rd
2.10 points per drive on offense, 2.15 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(21) | 33% / 67% | 33% | 8.2 |
| Q2(36) | 72% / 28% | 33% | 4.6 |
| Q3(28) | 25% / 75% | 36% | 5.3 |
| Q4(29) | 48% / 52% | 55% | 7.2 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(20) | 10.4 | 50% | 8.5 |
| 2nd(18) | 9.4 | 50% | 6.9 |
| 3rd(15) | 8.5 | 33% | 6.1 |
| 4th(1) | 1.0 | 0% | 0.0 |
| All (54) | — | 44% | 7.1 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(29) | 10.3 | 34% | 6.9 |
| 2nd(20) | 7.3 | 25% | 3.8 |
| 3rd(10) | 4.4 | 50% | 3.6 |
| 4th(1) | 1.0 | 100% | 2.0 |
| All (60) | — | 35% | 5.2 |
Wisconsin, all games.