American Athletic
2026 · through Week 2
American Athletic is the 7th-ranked FBS conference by average FanBoardHQ efficiency ranking, with 0 teams in the top 25. UTSA leads the conference, ranked 42nd in efficiency nationally.
Projected Standings
Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.
| Team | Efficiency rank | SOR rank | Conf. sched. rank | Overall record | Conf. record | Proj. conf. wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 43 | 5 | 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 6.1 |
| North Texas | 52 | 54 | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6.0 |
| UTSA | 42 | 28 | 7 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 5.8 |
| Army | 56 | 105 | 14 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 5.8 |
| Memphis | 69 | 55 | 9 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 4.7 |
| Temple | 87 | 82 | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4.4 |
| Tulsa | 80 | 31 | 6 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 4.2 |
| Tulane | 74 | 86 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4.0 |
| Florida Atlantic | 91 | 64 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 3.7 |
| East Carolina | 102 | 126 | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3.7 |
| Navy | 101 | 113 | 13 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3.3 |
| UAB | 119 | 98 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2.5 |
| Rice | 118 | 57 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1.9 |
| Charlotte | 137 | 126 | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.0 |
Head-to-head Schedule Comparison
Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.
| South Florida | North Texas | UTSA | Army | Memphis | Temple | Tulsa | Tulane | Florida Atlantic | East Carolina | Navy | UAB | Rice | Charlotte | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | · | Wk6 | L 24-28 | Wk11 | Wk5 | · | Wk13 | Wk12 | Wk10 | · | Wk9 | · | · | |
| North Texas | · | Wk11 | · | · | · | Wk5 | Wk12 | Wk9 | · | Wk8 | Wk13 | Wk10 | Wk6 | |
| UTSA | Wk6 | Wk11 | · | · | · | Wk13 | Wk8 | Wk10 | · | Wk7 | Wk12 | Wk5 | · | |
| Army | W 28-24 | · | · | Wk9 | Wk4 | Wk8 | Wk6 | Wk7 | Wk12 | Wk15 | · | Wk13 | · | |
| Memphis | Wk11 | · | · | Wk9 | Wk13 | · | Wk7 | · | Wk8 | Wk12 | Wk6 | · | Wk5 | |
| Temple | Wk5 | · | · | Wk4 | Wk13 | · | · | · | Wk9 | Wk10 | Wk11 | Wk12 | Wk7 | |
| Tulsa | · | Wk5 | Wk13 | Wk8 | · | · | Wk10 | Wk11 | · | Wk6 | · | Wk7 | Wk12 | |
| Tulane | Wk13 | Wk12 | Wk8 | Wk6 | Wk7 | · | Wk10 | · | · | · | · | Wk11 | Wk9 | |
| Florida Atlantic | Wk12 | Wk9 | Wk10 | Wk7 | · | · | Wk11 | · | Wk13 | L 30-38 | · | Wk8 | · | |
| East Carolina | Wk10 | · | · | Wk12 | Wk8 | Wk9 | · | · | Wk13 | · | Wk7 | Wk6 | Wk11 | |
| Navy | · | Wk8 | Wk7 | Wk15 | Wk12 | Wk10 | Wk6 | · | W 38-30 | · | Wk4 | · | Wk13 | |
| UAB | Wk9 | Wk13 | Wk12 | · | Wk6 | Wk11 | · | · | · | Wk7 | Wk4 | · | Wk10 | |
| Rice | · | Wk10 | Wk5 | Wk13 | · | Wk12 | Wk7 | Wk11 | Wk8 | Wk6 | · | · | · | |
| Charlotte | · | Wk6 | · | · | Wk5 | Wk7 | Wk12 | Wk9 | · | Wk11 | Wk13 | Wk10 | · | |
| Exp. wins for a #25 team | 6.4 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 7.5 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 6.4 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 6.7 | 7.2 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.6 |
| Conf. sched. difficulty rank | 5th | 12th | 7th | 14th | 9th | 10th | 6th | 3rd | 1st | 11th | 13th | 4th | 2nd | 8th |
| Projected conf. wins | 6.1 | 6.0 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 4.7 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| Conference record | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Conference win total projections
Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.
| Team | 0 wins | 1 win | 2 wins | 3 wins | 4 wins | 5 wins | 6 wins | 7 wins | 8 wins | 9 wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 1.4% | 7.0% | 20.5% | 33.6% | 28.3% | 9.0% | — |
| North Texas | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 8.0% | 22.4% | 34.2% | 26.1% | 7.5% | — |
| UTSA | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 3.1% | 11.0% | 24.2% | 31.7% | 22.6% | 6.8% | — |
| Army | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 3.3% | 11.4% | 24.2% | 31.2% | 22.4% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Memphis | 0.0% | 0.5% | 3.5% | 12.7% | 25.9% | 30.2% | 19.7% | 6.6% | 0.9% | — |
| Temple | 0.0% | 0.7% | 5.0% | 16.7% | 29.3% | 28.5% | 15.2% | 4.1% | 0.4% | — |
| Tulsa | 0.1% | 1.4% | 8.0% | 20.9% | 30.0% | 24.8% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% | — |
| Tulane | 0.1% | 2.0% | 9.6% | 22.9% | 30.2% | 22.9% | 9.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% | — |
| Florida Atlantic | 0.0% | 2.4% | 14.0% | 29.4% | 30.5% | 17.3% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | — |
| East Carolina | 0.4% | 3.7% | 14.0% | 27.0% | 29.2% | 18.1% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | — |
| Navy | 0.8% | 6.3% | 19.3% | 29.9% | 26.1% | 13.2% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| UAB | 2.6% | 17.0% | 33.1% | 29.4% | 13.7% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Rice | 10.8% | 28.3% | 31.7% | 19.7% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Charlotte | 32.5% | 40.1% | 20.7% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
Every model rank
Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.
| Offensive Eff | Defensive Eff | Overall Efficiency | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Pass O Eff | Rush O Eff | Total Off Eff | Pass D Eff | Rush D Eff | Total Def Eff | Overall Eff |
| South Florida | 45 | 66 | 53 | 90 | 41 | 33 | 43 |
| North Texas | 22 | 43 | 16 | 137 | 20 | 98 | 52 |
| UTSA | 48 | 20 | 38 | 33 | 109 | 54 | 42 |
| Army | 14 | 21 | 25 | 75 | 104 | 97 | 56 |
| Memphis | 19 | 48 | 60 | 89 | 130 | 91 | 69 |
| Temple | 116 | 40 | 75 | 92 | 111 | 107 | 87 |
| Tulsa | 126 | 77 | 106 | 77 | 75 | 47 | 80 |
| Tulane | 96 | 91 | 111 | 44 | 91 | 31 | 74 |
| Florida Atlantic | 81 | 110 | 45 | 94 | 137 | 111 | 91 |
| East Carolina | 75 | 83 | 78 | 100 | 76 | 103 | 102 |
| Navy | 135 | 9 | 64 | 132 | 49 | 130 | 101 |
| UAB | 125 | 92 | 83 | 123 | 121 | 131 | 119 |
| Rice | 118 | 119 | 109 | 125 | 102 | 89 | 118 |
| Charlotte | 67 | 136 | 136 | 122 | 134 | 135 | 137 |
Compare teams
Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.
Further from center = better (FBS percentile).
Quadrant records
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| North Texas | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| UTSA | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Army | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Memphis | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Temple | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Tulsa | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Tulane | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Florida Atlantic | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| East Carolina | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Navy | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| UAB | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Rice | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Charlotte | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating
Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.
| Team | Week 1 | Week 2 |
|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 0.0 | 13.6 |
| North Texas | -5.8 | 23.5 |
| UTSA | 14.6 | 2.9 |
| Army | 22.3 | -3.0 |
| Memphis | 3.7 | -8.8 |
| Temple | 6.2 | -10.5 |
| Tulsa | 5.9 | -5.5 |
| Tulane | -4.5 | -4.2 |
| Florida Atlantic | -14.7 | 2.6 |
| East Carolina | -22.7 | -9.4 |
| Navy | -2.3 | -16.7 |
| UAB | -20.3 | -14.2 |
| Rice | -1.5 | -26.9 |
| Charlotte | -38.2 | -22.7 |