Navy
United States Naval Academy · 2026 · American Athletic
Navy is 1-1 and ranked 101st in overall efficiency. Their 64th-ranked offense is the engine, backed by a 130th-ranked defense. They run the ball on 81% of offensive plays with a 9th-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 19% of plays with a 135th-ranked passing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Towson | Coastal Athletic | — | W 42–15 | +21.4 | 100% | -2.3 | Q4 |
| 2 | @ Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | #91 | L 30–38 | -5.6 | 0% | -16.7 | Q4 |
| 4 | @ UAB | American Athletic | #119 | Preview | +2.5 | 56% | — | Q4 |
| 5 | @ Air Force | Mountain West | #95 | Preview | -4.7 | 39% | — | Q4 |
| 6 | vs Tulsa | American Athletic | #80 | Preview | -2.4 | 44% | — | Q4 |
| 7 | @ UTSA | American Athletic | #42 | Preview | -17.4 | 15% | — | Q2 |
| 8 | vs North Texas | American Athletic | #52 | Preview | -11.1 | 26% | — | Q3 |
| 9 | vs Notre Dame | FBS Independents | #1 | Preview | -33.7 | 2% | — | Q1 |
| 10 | vs Temple | American Athletic | #87 | Preview | -1.1 | 47% | — | Q4 |
| 12 | vs Memphis | American Athletic | #69 | Preview | -3.6 | 42% | — | Q4 |
| 13 | @ Charlotte | American Athletic | #137 | Preview | +14.0 | 80% | — | Q4 |
| 15 | vs Army | American Athletic | #56 | Preview | -13.0 | 22% | — | Q3 |
2 played · 1-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on Navy, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 106th · Finishing 54th
Field position 109th · Finishing 131st
3.00 points per drive on offense, 1.90 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(28) | 25% / 75% | 50% | 9.7 |
| Q2(37) | 19% / 81% | 59% | 5.7 |
| Q3(27) | 15% / 85% | 48% | 6.7 |
| Q4(42) | 26% / 74% | 52% | 5.8 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(10) | 10.0 | 50% | 11.2 |
| 2nd(7) | 7.6 | 43% | 6.4 |
| 3rd(11) | 7.9 | 9% | 1.4 |
| 4th(1) | 6.0 | 0% | 0.0 |
| All (29) | — | 31% | 5.8 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(50) | 9.5 | 54% | 5.4 |
| 2nd(38) | 7.3 | 55% | 8.8 |
| 3rd(12) | 5.0 | 75% | 8.6 |
| 4th(5) | 1.8 | 100% | 6.0 |
| All (105) | — | 59% | 7.1 |
Navy, all games.