Mid-American
2026 · through Week 2
Mid-American is the 11th-ranked FBS conference by average FanBoardHQ efficiency ranking, with 0 teams in the top 25. Western Michigan leads the conference, ranked 38th in efficiency nationally.
Projected Standings
Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.
| Team | Efficiency rank | SOR rank | Conf. sched. rank | Overall record | Conf. record | Proj. conf. wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan | 38 | 76 | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6.8 |
| Toledo | 58 | 100 | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6.6 |
| Miami-OH | 96 | 84 | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5.1 |
| Ohio | 98 | 74 | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5.0 |
| Akron | 107 | 97 | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4.4 |
| Massachusetts | 121 | 42 | 11 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 4.0 |
| Ball State | 126 | 58 | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3.9 |
| Eastern Michigan | 127 | 123 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 3.2 |
| Kent State | 131 | 95 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3.1 |
| Central Michigan | 128 | 101 | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3.0 |
| Buffalo | 130 | 115 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2.8 |
| Sacramento State | 135 | 124 | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2.4 |
| Bowling Green | 138 | 126 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.8 |
Head-to-head Schedule Comparison
Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.
| Western Michigan | Toledo | Miami-OH | Ohio | Akron | Massachusetts | Ball State | Eastern Michigan | Kent State | Central Michigan | Buffalo | Sacramento State | Bowling Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan | Wk8 | Wk13 | · | Wk11 | · | · | Wk12 | Wk6 | Wk7 | Wk5 | · | Wk9 | |
| Toledo | Wk8 | · | Wk13 | · | Wk11 | Wk5 | Wk7 | · | · | Wk6 | Wk10 | Wk12 | |
| Miami-OH | Wk13 | · | Wk11 | Wk7 | Wk6 | · | · | Wk12 | Wk8 | Wk10 | · | Wk5 | |
| Ohio | · | Wk13 | Wk11 | Wk10 | · | Wk12 | Wk8 | Wk5 | Wk6 | · | Wk7 | · | |
| Akron | Wk11 | · | Wk7 | Wk10 | Wk12 | · | Wk6 | Wk8 | Wk5 | Wk13 | · | · | |
| Massachusetts | · | Wk11 | Wk6 | · | Wk12 | Wk10 | Wk5 | · | · | Wk7 | Wk4 | Wk13 | |
| Ball State | · | Wk5 | · | Wk12 | · | Wk10 | · | Wk4 | Wk13 | Wk11 | Wk8 | Wk7 | |
| Eastern Michigan | Wk12 | Wk7 | · | Wk8 | Wk6 | Wk5 | · | Wk13 | Wk10 | · | L 17-28 | · | |
| Kent State | Wk6 | · | Wk12 | Wk5 | Wk8 | · | Wk4 | Wk13 | · | · | Wk9 | Wk11 | |
| Central Michigan | Wk7 | · | Wk8 | Wk6 | Wk5 | · | Wk13 | Wk10 | · | Wk12 | Wk11 | · | |
| Buffalo | Wk5 | Wk6 | Wk10 | · | Wk13 | Wk7 | Wk11 | · | · | Wk12 | · | Wk8 | |
| Sacramento State | · | Wk10 | · | Wk7 | · | Wk4 | Wk8 | W 28-17 | Wk9 | Wk11 | · | Wk6 | |
| Bowling Green | Wk9 | Wk12 | Wk5 | · | · | Wk13 | Wk7 | · | Wk11 | · | Wk8 | Wk6 | |
| Exp. wins for a #25 team | 7.2 | 7.3 | 7.2 | 7.3 | 7.2 | 7.3 | 7.4 | 6.8 | 7.1 | 7.2 | 6.9 | 7.4 | 6.8 |
| Conf. sched. difficulty rank | 8th | 10th | 6th | 9th | 7th | 11th | 12th | 1st | 4th | 5th | 3rd | 13th | 2nd |
| Projected conf. wins | 6.8 | 6.6 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| Conference record | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Conference win total projections
Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.
| Team | 0 wins | 1 win | 2 wins | 3 wins | 4 wins | 5 wins | 6 wins | 7 wins | 8 wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 6.8% | 24.7% | 42.9% | 24.6% |
| Toledo | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 2.3% | 11.3% | 30.1% | 38.5% | 17.4% |
| Miami-OH | 0.0% | 0.2% | 1.8% | 8.0% | 20.7% | 31.2% | 26.2% | 10.7% | 1.3% |
| Ohio | 0.0% | 0.3% | 2.1% | 8.8% | 21.3% | 30.4% | 24.8% | 10.4% | 1.7% |
| Akron | 0.1% | 1.3% | 6.5% | 17.6% | 28.2% | 26.9% | 14.8% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Massachusetts | 0.3% | 2.5% | 10.2% | 22.6% | 29.3% | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Ball State | 0.3% | 2.7% | 11.0% | 23.8% | 29.7% | 21.7% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Eastern Michigan | 0.0% | 5.7% | 22.8% | 34.4% | 25.3% | 9.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kent State | 1.6% | 9.5% | 23.1% | 30.0% | 22.8% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Central Michigan | 1.6% | 9.7% | 23.4% | 30.0% | 22.4% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Buffalo | 1.9% | 12.3% | 28.3% | 31.6% | 18.8% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sacramento State | 4.5% | 18.9% | 31.6% | 27.5% | 13.4% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bowling Green | 10.6% | 29.8% | 33.4% | 19.2% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Every model rank
Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.
| Offensive Eff | Defensive Eff | Overall Efficiency | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Pass O Eff | Rush O Eff | Total Off Eff | Pass D Eff | Rush D Eff | Total Def Eff | Overall Eff |
| Western Michigan | 103 | 101 | 69 | 57 | 62 | 14 | 38 |
| Toledo | 44 | 95 | 67 | 32 | 26 | 49 | 58 |
| Miami-OH | 11 | 72 | 71 | 97 | 100 | 132 | 96 |
| Ohio | 102 | 88 | 80 | 133 | 108 | 124 | 98 |
| Akron | 100 | 65 | 99 | 135 | 36 | 114 | 107 |
| Massachusetts | 46 | 84 | 121 | 120 | 34 | 117 | 121 |
| Ball State | 132 | 117 | 126 | 117 | 84 | 99 | 126 |
| Eastern Michigan | 130 | 113 | 128 | 99 | 118 | 115 | 127 |
| Kent State | 120 | 99 | 118 | 111 | 131 | 134 | 131 |
| Central Michigan | 131 | 108 | 135 | 74 | 103 | 93 | 128 |
| Buffalo | 129 | 132 | 133 | 116 | 61 | 108 | 130 |
| Sacramento State | 134 | 125 | 134 | 110 | 79 | 128 | 135 |
| Bowling Green | 91 | 138 | 138 | 129 | 127 | 127 | 138 |
Compare teams
Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.
Further from center = better (FBS percentile).
Quadrant records
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Toledo | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Miami-OH | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Ohio | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Akron | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Massachusetts | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Ball State | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Eastern Michigan | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Kent State | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Central Michigan | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Buffalo | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Sacramento State | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Bowling Green | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating
Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.
| Team | Week 0 | Week 1 | Week 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan | 15.1 | 2.0 | |
| Toledo | -1.4 | 5.7 | |
| Miami-OH | -17.6 | 8.3 | |
| Ohio | -9.9 | -11.6 | |
| Akron | -22.1 | 1.9 | |
| Massachusetts | 10.0 | 2.8 | |
| Ball State | -12.5 | -11.0 | |
| Eastern Michigan | -15.0 | -22.7 | -23.6 |
| Kent State | -38.6 | -8.2 | |
| Central Michigan | -32.1 | -21.4 | |
| Buffalo | -21.7 | -16.8 | |
| Sacramento State | -24.0 | -8.3 | -41.1 |
| Bowling Green | -30.9 | -35.4 |