Buffalo
University at Buffalo · 2026 · Mid-American
Buffalo is 1-1 and ranked 130th in overall efficiency. Their 108th-ranked defense carries them, with a 133rd-ranked offense. They pass the ball on 62% of offensive plays with a 129th-ranked passing attack and run the ball on the remaining 38% of plays with a 132nd-ranked rushing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs UAlbany | Coastal Athletic | — | W 21–17 | +7.5 | 100% | -21.7 | Q4 |
| 2 | @ FIU | Conference USA | #100 | L 20–33 | -13.0 | 0% | -16.8 | Q4 |
| 3 | @ Penn State | Big Ten | #16 | Preview | -37.8 | 1% | — | Q1 |
| 4 | vs Robert Morris | NEC | — | Preview | +9.0 | 70% | — | Q4 |
| 5 | vs Western Michigan | Mid-American | #38 | Preview | -22.7 | 9% | — | Q2 |
| 6 | @ Toledo | Mid-American | #58 | Preview | -24.8 | 7% | — | Q2 |
| 7 | vs Massachusetts | Mid-American | #121 | Preview | -0.9 | 48% | — | Q4 |
| 8 | vs Bowling Green | Mid-American | #138 | Preview | +11.0 | 74% | — | Q4 |
| 10 | @ Miami-OH | Mid-American | #96 | Preview | -14.4 | 20% | — | Q4 |
| 11 | @ Ball State | Mid-American | #126 | Preview | -5.2 | 38% | — | Q4 |
| 12 | vs Central Michigan | Mid-American | #128 | Preview | +1.8 | 54% | — | Q4 |
| 13 | @ Akron | Mid-American | #107 | Preview | -11.5 | 25% | — | Q4 |
2 played · 1-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on Buffalo, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 136th · Finishing 128th
Field position 115th · Finishing 98th
1.36 points per drive on offense, 1.29 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 27.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(39) | 54% / 46% | 33% | 3.5 |
| Q2(40) | 53% / 48% | 40% | 4.0 |
| Q3(31) | 65% / 35% | 29% | 5.5 |
| Q4(36) | 81% / 19% | 31% | 5.7 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(28) | 10.4 | 29% | 3.9 |
| 2nd(30) | 9.0 | 37% | 3.9 |
| 3rd(30) | 7.6 | 40% | 5.8 |
| 4th(3) | 10.7 | 67% | 17.5 |
| All (91) | — | 36% | 4.9 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(29) | 10.0 | 34% | 4.5 |
| 2nd(19) | 8.8 | 16% | 2.5 |
| 3rd(6) | 9.5 | 33% | 6.0 |
| 4th(1) | 3.0 | 100% | 17.0 |
| All (55) | — | 29% | 4.2 |
Buffalo, all games.