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Massachusetts

University of Massachusetts Amherst · 2026 · Mid-American

Efficiency
-14.6
121st FBS
Record
2-0
Conf. record
Conf. finish
6th
proj. of 13
Massachusetts Fanboard →

Massachusetts is 2-0 and ranked 121st in overall efficiency. Their 117th-ranked defense carries them, with a 121st-ranked offense. They run the ball on 61% of offensive plays with an 84th-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 39% of plays with a 46th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-0
+1 left
Q3
0-0
Q4
2-0
+9 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 7.2 wins
Strength of Record
42nd
+0.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
128th
full season
138th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
129th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ RutgersBig Ten#122W 3721-2.6100%10.0Q4
2vs Sacred HeartCoastal AthleticW 3710+27.9100%2.8Q4
3vs StonehillNECPreview+22.591%Q4
4@ Sacramento StateMid-American#135Preview+4.560%Q4
5vs Eastern MichiganMid-American#127Preview+5.362%Q4
6vs Miami-OHMid-American#96Preview-5.238%Q4
7@ BuffaloMid-American#130Preview+0.952%Q4
8@ UConnFBS Independents#105Preview-7.932%Q4
10vs Ball StateMid-American#126Preview+4.059%Q4
11@ ToledoMid-American#58Preview-21.111%Q2
12vs AkronMid-American#107Preview-2.345%Q4
13@ Bowling GreenMid-American#138Preview+9.271%Q4

2 played · 2-0. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Massachusetts, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-35.9-15.0+6.0103Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 46th
SR 100thYPP 42ndEPA 29th
RushingEff 84th
SR 90thYPP 83rdEPA 75th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 120th
SR 137thYPP 121stEPA 99th
Rush defenseEff 34th
SR 45thYPP 54thEPA 27th
Dropback rate 39%Tempo +0.9 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 118th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 59%1st · Defense allowed: 30%1st2nd · Offense: 47%2nd · Defense allowed: 52%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 41%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 40%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 17.0Q1 · Allowed: 7.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 24.0Q2 · Allowed: 0.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 10.0Q3 · Allowed: 3.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 10.0Q4 · Allowed: 21.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledMassachusettsOffenseDefense
Massachusetts Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 121st
-8.5
Field position: +3.1Finishing drives: -11.6
Field position +3.1Finishing drives -11.6= -8.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 5th · Finishing 134th

Defensive EffRanked 117th
-6.2
Field position: +1.3Finishing drives: -7.4
Field position +1.3Finishing drives -7.4= -6.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 27th · Finishing 127th

2.65 points per drive on offense, 1.27 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 38.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(30)43% / 57%47%9.3
Q2(28)36% / 64%71%8.3
Q3(18)39% / 61%39%5.4
Q4(26)27% / 73%42%4.1
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)10.462%12.3
2nd(15)8.653%10.7
3rd(9)8.711%4.4
4th(0)
All (37)46%9.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(33)10.358%6.2
2nd(19)6.942%4.4
3rd(11)5.855%5.9
4th(2)1.0100%1.5
All (65)54%5.5

Massachusetts, all games.

Massachusetts Football 2026 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ