FanBoardHQ

New Mexico

University of New Mexico · 2022 · Mountain West

FanBoardHQ CFP
#128
Efficiency
-21.2
128th FBS
Record
2-10
Conf. record
0-8
Conf. finish
T-11th
of 12
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New Mexico went 2-10 and was ranked 128th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 98th-ranked defense carried them, with a 131st-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 59% of offensive plays with a 129th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 41% of plays with a 138th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-2
Q4
2-6

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 2.0 wins
Strength of Record
126th
-7.6 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
96th
full season
96th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
88th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.5 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs MaineCAAW 410+12.4100%3.6Q4
2vs Boise StateMountain West#50L 1431-22.00%-20.5Q3
3vs UTEPConference USA#107W 2710-5.4100%-0.9Q4
4@ LSUSEC#9L 038-41.50%-16.2Q1
5@ UNLVMountain West#103L 2031-12.50%-19.1Q4
6vs WyomingMountain West#83L 1427-8.40%-25.2Q4
7@ New Mexico StateFBS Independents#93L 921-8.60%-25.3Q4
8vs Fresno StateMountain West#41L 941-24.10%-28.9Q3
10@ Utah StateMountain West#98L 1027-9.90%-27.9Q4
11@ Air ForceMountain West#45L 335-29.90%-23.7Q2
12vs San Diego StateMountain West#79L 1034-11.40%-37.5Q4
13@ Colorado StateMountain West#120L 017-4.80%-33.0Q4

12 played · 2-10. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on New Mexico, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-34.3-17.0+0.34-20-1-16-19-25-25-29-28-24-38-33Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 138th
SR 137thYPP 138thEPA 138th
RushingEff 129th
SR 133rdYPP 116thEPA 125th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 97th
SR 86thYPP 104thEPA 100th
Rush defenseEff 88th
SR 110thYPP 70thEPA 75th
Dropback rate 41%Tempo -7.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 83rd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 39%1st · Defense allowed: 44%1st2nd · Offense: 34%2nd · Defense allowed: 42%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 24%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 40%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 47.0Q1 · Allowed: 58.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 50.0Q2 · Allowed: 57.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 20.0Q3 · Allowed: 96.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 27.0Q4 · Allowed: 72.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledNew MexicoOffenseDefense
New Mexico Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 131st
-17.2
Field position: -1.1Finishing drives: -16.0
Field position -1.1Finishing drives -16.0= -17.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 109th · Finishing 131st

Defensive EffRanked 98th
-4.5
Field position: -0.8Finishing drives: -3.7
Field position -0.8Finishing drives -3.7= -4.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 93rd · Finishing 97th

0.81 points per drive on offense, 1.99 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(187)34% / 66%40%4.6
Q2(188)50% / 50%38%4.8
Q3(134)31% / 69%28%3.5
Q4(169)57% / 43%26%3.0
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(105)10.239%5.3
2nd(94)9.023%3.6
3rd(88)8.613%1.0
4th(7)7.429%-0.8
All (294)26%3.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(182)10.038%5.0
2nd(127)7.442%4.0
3rd(68)7.635%4.8
4th(7)3.643%0.9
All (384)39%4.6

New Mexico, all games.

New Mexico Football 2022 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ