FanBoardHQ

UNLV

University of Nevada, Las Vegas · 2022 · Mountain West

FanBoardHQ CFP
#103
Efficiency
-11.5
105th FBS
Record
5-7
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
T-8th
of 12
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UNLV went 5-7 and was ranked 103rd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 73rd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 125th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 54% of offensive plays with a 106th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with a 56th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-0
Q3
0-4
Q4
5-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
99th
-4.7 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
101st
full season
101st
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
103rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
0vs Idaho StateBig SkyW 5221+27.5100%1.2Q4
2@ CaliforniaPac-12#85L 1420-14.20%-4.1Q3
3vs North TexasConference USA#80W 5827-5.1100%21.4Q4
4@ Utah StateMountain West#98W 3424-0.2100%2.4Q4
5vs New MexicoMountain West#128W 3120+12.5100%-13.6Q4
6@ San José StateMountain West#78L 740-7.80%-41.6Q3
7vs Air ForceMountain West#45L 742-14.70%-36.1Q3
8@ Notre DameFBS Independents#21L 2144-25.90%-7.4Q1
10@ San Diego StateMountain West#79L 1014-7.20%-8.0Q4
11vs Fresno StateMountain West#41L 3037-14.40%-8.0Q3
12@ Hawai'iMountain West#125L 2531+9.60%-26.3Q4
13vs NevadaMountain West#126W 2722+9.9100%-17.9Q4

12 played · 5-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on UNLV, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-36.5-10.1+16.41-4212-14-42-36-7-8-8-26-18Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 106th
SR 103rdYPP 93rdEPA 113th
RushingEff 56th
SR 90thYPP 56thEPA 39th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 112th
SR 106thYPP 121stEPA 111th
Rush defenseEff 116th
SR 128thYPP 105thEPA 112th
Dropback rate 54%Tempo -3.6 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 81st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 41%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 42%2nd · Defense allowed: 46%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 40%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 45%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 54.0Q1 · Allowed: 119.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 108.0Q2 · Allowed: 75.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 62.0Q3 · Allowed: 75.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 61.0Q4 · Allowed: 68.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUNLVOffenseDefense
UNLV Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 73rd
-1.7
Field position: -0.3Finishing drives: -1.4
Field position -0.3Finishing drives -1.4= -1.7
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 72nd · Finishing 72nd

Defensive EffRanked 125th
-10.1
Field position: -2.3Finishing drives: -7.8
Field position -2.3Finishing drives -7.8= -10.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 125th · Finishing 121st

1.90 points per drive on offense, 1.74 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(171)49% / 51%33%4.7
Q2(194)60% / 40%46%6.4
Q3(173)50% / 50%48%6.8
Q4(191)51% / 49%37%5.5
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(146)10.543%6.1
2nd(143)9.140%6.7
3rd(85)8.134%6.2
4th(8)5.813%1.3
All (382)39%6.2
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(175)9.739%5.3
2nd(96)6.746%5.3
3rd(64)6.844%6.0
4th(12)1.875%7.6
All (347)43%5.5

UNLV, all games.