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Arizona State

Arizona State University · 2026 · Big 12

Efficiency
+5.9
47th FBS
Record
1-1
Conf. record
Conf. finish
8th
proj. of 16
Arizona State Fanboard →

Arizona State is 1-1 and ranked 47th in overall efficiency. Their 29th-ranked offense is the engine, backed by a 67th-ranked defense. They pass the ball on 59% of offensive plays with a 24th-ranked passing attack and run the ball on the remaining 41% of plays with a 7th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
+3 left
Q2
0-0
+3 left
Q3
0-0
Q4
1-0
+4 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 6.3 wins
Strength of Record
59th
-0.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
12th
full season
35th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
52nd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.6 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Morgan StateMEACW 707+36.7100%15.1Q4
2@ Texas A&MSEC#4L 2048-20.00%4.2Q1
3vs KansasBig 12#77Preview+8.870%Q4
5vs BaylorBig 12#36Preview+0.952%Q2
6vs Hawai'iMountain West#116Preview+21.890%Q4
7@ Texas TechBig 12#30Preview-7.633%Q1
8vs Kansas StateBig 12#11Preview-9.728%Q1
9@ BYUBig 12#19Preview-11.425%Q1
10vs ColoradoBig 12#81Preview+12.076%Q4
11@ UCFBig 12#51Preview-2.644%Q2
12vs Oklahoma StateBig 12#88Preview+13.779%Q4
13@ ArizonaBig 12#35Preview-5.238%Q2

2 played · 1-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Arizona State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+1.2+7.5+13.9154Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 24th
SR 21stYPP 24thEPA 27th
RushingEff 7th
SR 21stYPP 4thEPA 8th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 20th
SR 8thYPP 18thEPA 38th
Rush defenseEff 31st
SR 38thYPP 26thEPA 34th
Dropback rate 59%Tempo -2.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 36th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 47%1st · Defense allowed: 41%1st2nd · Offense: 56%2nd · Defense allowed: 33%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 46%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 27%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 35.0Q1 · Allowed: 14.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 24.0Q2 · Allowed: 10.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 31.0Q3 · Allowed: 7.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 0.0Q4 · Allowed: 10.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledArizona StateOffenseDefense
Arizona State Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 29th
+5.3
Field position: -0.1Finishing drives: +5.4
Field position -0.1Finishing drives +5.4= +5.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 70th · Finishing 28th

Defensive EffRanked 67th
+0.2
Field position: -1.8Finishing drives: +1.9
Field position -1.8Finishing drives +1.9= +0.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 127th · Finishing 51st

3.60 points per drive on offense, 1.64 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 33.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(40)57% / 43%65%9.7
Q2(32)63% / 38%56%9.2
Q3(35)57% / 43%34%7.8
Q4(22)32% / 68%36%5.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(36)10.158%8.9
2nd(18)7.961%11.2
3rd(13)6.638%9.5
4th(3)7.033%18.7
All (70)54%10.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(24)9.529%2.5
2nd(25)7.652%9.9
3rd(7)5.943%7.7
4th(3)1.7100%5.3
All (59)44%6.4

Arizona State, all games.