FanBoardHQ

Florida

University of Florida · 2025 · SEC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#70
Efficiency
+5.5
47th FBS
Record
4-8
Conf. record
2-6
Conf. finish
T-11th
of 16
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Florida went 4-8 and was ranked 70th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 46th-ranked defense carried them, with a 57th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 51% of offensive plays with a 57th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 49% of plays with a 21st-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-5
Q2
1-3
Q3
1-0
Q4
1-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 4.0 wins
Strength of Record
79th
-2.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
2nd
full season
2nd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
6th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~3.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Long Island UniversityNECW 550+38.2100%14.2Q4
2vs South FloridaAmerican Athletic#30L 1618-6.00%10.2Q1
3@ LSUSEC#41L 1020-7.00%4.1Q2
4@ Miami-FLACC#3L 726-21.90%7.5Q1
6vs TexasSEC#14W 2921-7.2100%20.0Q1
7@ Texas A&MSEC#7L 1734-16.00%3.3Q1
8vs Mississippi StateSEC#76W 2321+4.8100%2.7Q3
10vs GeorgiaSEC#5L 2024-15.40%17.1Q1
11@ KentuckySEC#62L 738-0.40%-34.2Q2
12@ Ole MissSEC#9L 2434-16.10%10.3Q1
13vs TennesseeSEC#33L 1131-5.80%-21.9Q2
14vs Florida StateACC#65W 4021-1.3100%30.4Q2

12 played · 4-8. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Florida, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-29.0-1.9+25.3141047203317-3410-2230Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 57th
SR 66thYPP 45thEPA 56th
RushingEff 21st
SR 11thYPP 23rdEPA 26th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 75th
SR 83rdYPP 61stEPA 74th
Rush defenseEff 24th
SR 22ndYPP 26thEPA 33rd
Dropback rate 51%Tempo -5.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 37th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 46%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 44%2nd · Defense allowed: 40%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 39%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 46%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 74.0Q1 · Allowed: 62.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 78.0Q2 · Allowed: 97.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 54.0Q3 · Allowed: 31.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 44.0Q4 · Allowed: 83.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledFloridaOffenseDefense
Florida Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 57th
+1.1
Field position: +0.4Finishing drives: +0.6
Field position +0.4Finishing drives +0.6= +1.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 45th · Finishing 58th

Defensive EffRanked 46th
+3.3
Field position: +0.0Finishing drives: +3.3
Field position +0.0Finishing drives +3.3= +3.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 66th · Finishing 42nd

1.85 points per drive on offense, 2.00 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(171)52% / 48%47%6.3
Q2(202)58% / 42%47%6.2
Q3(180)51% / 49%43%5.9
Q4(184)46% / 54%40%4.0
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(148)10.244%7.4
2nd(128)8.240%6.6
3rd(94)8.035%4.5
4th(12)5.725%1.8
All (382)40%6.3
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(178)10.148%5.5
2nd(118)7.549%5.1
3rd(52)4.344%2.7
4th(7)2.771%4.6
All (355)48%4.9

Florida, all games.