FanBoardHQ

Georgia

University of Georgia · 2025 · SEC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#5
Efficiency
+21.0
8th FBS
Record
12-2
Conf. record
7-1
Conf. finish
T-1st
of 16
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Georgia went 12-2 and was ranked 5th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 8th-ranked defense carried them, with a 12th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 56% of offensive plays with a 31st-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 44% of plays with a 25th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
5-2
Q2
3-0
Q3
1-0
Q4
3-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
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11
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14
Expected: 12.0 wins
Strength of Record
6th
+3.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
23rd
full season
23rd
CFP committee
#3
FanBoardHQ has them 2 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
35th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.0 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs MarshallSun Belt#96W 457+29.9100%24.6Q4
2vs Austin PeayUACW 286+35.4100%7.8Q4
3@ TennesseeSEC#33W 4441+4.2100%16.2Q1
5vs AlabamaSEC#10L 2124+6.80%11.0Q1
6vs KentuckySEC#62W 3514+20.5100%28.2Q3
7@ AuburnSEC#57W 2010+7.0100%23.6Q1
8vs Ole MissSEC#9W 4335+4.8100%24.1Q1
10vs FloridaSEC#70W 2420+15.4100%9.5Q2
11@ Mississippi StateSEC#76W 4121+14.8100%30.6Q2
12vs TexasSEC#14W 3510+8.3100%36.1Q1
13vs CharlotteAmerican Athletic#135W 353+47.8100%9.1Q4
14vs Georgia TechACC#36W 169+13.8100%14.8Q2
15vs AlabamaSEC#10W 287+4.0100%36.5Q1
Postseason
vs Ole MissSEC#9L 3439+2.10%13.4Q1

14 played · 12-2. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Georgia, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+2.9+18.2+33.625816112824249313691536Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 25th
SR 14thYPP 44thEPA 25th
RushingEff 31st
SR 12thYPP 57thEPA 31st
Defense
Pass defenseEff 28th
SR 32ndYPP 20thEPA 30th
Rush defenseEff 6th
SR 14thYPP 3rdEPA 7th
Dropback rate 44%Tempo -0.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 57th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 45%1st · Defense allowed: 42%1st2nd · Offense: 49%2nd · Defense allowed: 37%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 49%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 37%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 83.0Q1 · Allowed: 71.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 147.0Q2 · Allowed: 54.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 107.0Q3 · Allowed: 55.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 106.0Q4 · Allowed: 64.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledGeorgiaOffenseDefense
Georgia Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 12th
+9.9
Field position: -0.1Finishing drives: +10.0
Field position -0.1Finishing drives +10.0= +9.9
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 65th · Finishing 12th

Defensive EffRanked 8th
+10.8
Field position: +1.5Finishing drives: +9.3
Field position +1.5Finishing drives +9.3= +10.8
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 22nd · Finishing 7th

2.83 points per drive on offense, 1.50 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(217)50% / 50%54%6.3
Q2(292)48% / 52%47%5.6
Q3(224)42% / 58%46%6.2
Q4(258)36% / 64%43%4.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(177)10.052%7.4
2nd(142)8.150%7.1
3rd(105)8.041%6.6
4th(11)3.864%7.5
All (435)49%7.1
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(273)9.741%4.1
2nd(198)6.848%5.3
3rd(75)5.155%4.8
4th(10)1.180%4.1
All (556)46%4.6

Georgia, all games.

Georgia Football 2025 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ