ACC

2025 · through CFP Finals

ConferenceSeasonThrough

ACC was the 5th-ranked FBS conference in 2025 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 2 teams in the top 25. Miami-FL led the conference, ranked 3rd in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

Team	Efficiency rank	SOR rank	Conf. sched. rank	Overall record	Conf. record	Proj. conf. wins
Duke	51	43	16	9-5	7-2	7.0
Virginia	30	25	17	11-3	7-3	7.0
Georgia Tech	41	31	14	9-4	6-2	6.0
Miami-FL	7	3	8	13-3	6-2	6.0
Pittsburgh	33	42	6	8-5	6-2	6.0
SMU	26	32	10	9-4	6-2	6.0
NC State	38	33	12	8-5	5-4	5.0
California	83	69	15	7-6	4-4	4.0
Clemson	40	63	11	7-6	4-4	4.0
Louisville	29	29	4	9-4	4-4	4.0
Wake Forest	55	39	7	9-4	4-4	4.0
Stanford	85	95	5	4-8	3-5	3.0
Florida State	37	81	2	5-7	2-6	2.0
North Carolina	100	107	13	4-8	2-6	2.0
Virginia Tech	90	109	1	3-9	2-6	2.0
Boston College	99	128	9	2-10	1-7	1.0
Syracuse	111	114	3	3-9	1-7	1.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

	Duke	Virginia	Georgia Tech	Miami-FL	Pittsburgh	SMU	NC State	California	Clemson	Louisville	Wake Forest	Stanford	Florida State	North Carolina	Virginia Tech	Boston College	Syracuse
Duke		L 20-27	W 27-18	·	·	·	L 33-45	L 21-45	L 45-46	·	L 32-49	·	·	L 25-32	·	·	L 3-38
Virginia	W 27-20		·	·	·	·	W 35-31	L 21-31	·	L 27-30	W 16-9	L 20-48	L 38-46	L 16-17	L 7-27	·	·
Georgia Tech	L 18-27	·		·	W 42-28	·	W 48-36	·	L 21-24	·	L 29-30	·	·	·	L 20-35	L 34-36	L 16-41
Miami-FL	·	·	·		L 7-38	W 26-20	L 7-41	·	·	W 24-21	·	L 7-42	L 22-28	·	L 17-34	·	L 10-38
Pittsburgh	·	·	L 28-42	W 38-7		·	L 34-53	·	·	W 34-27	·	L 20-35	L 31-34	·	·	L 7-48	L 13-30
SMU	·	·	·	L 20-26	·		·	W 38-35	L 24-35	L 6-38	W 13-12	L 10-34	·	·	·	L 13-45	L 18-31
NC State	W 45-33	L 31-35	L 36-48	W 41-7	W 53-34	·		·	·	·	L 24-34	·	L 11-21	L 19-42	W 23-21	·	·
California	W 45-21	W 31-21	·	·	·	L 35-38	·		·	L 26-29	·	W 31-10	·	L 18-21	W 42-34	L 24-28	·
Clemson	W 46-45	·	W 24-21	·	·	W 35-24	·	·		L 19-20	·	·	L 10-24	L 10-38	·	L 10-41	W 34-21
Louisville	·	W 30-27	·	L 21-24	L 27-34	W 38-6	·	W 29-26	W 20-19		·	·	·	·	L 16-28	L 24-38	·
Wake Forest	W 49-32	L 9-16	W 30-29	·	·	L 12-13	W 34-24	·	·	·		·	W 42-7	L 12-28	L 23-30	·	·
Stanford	·	W 48-20	·	W 42-7	W 35-20	W 34-10	·	L 10-31	·	·	·		L 13-20	W 20-15	·	L 20-30	·
Florida State	·	W 46-38	·	W 28-22	W 34-31	·	W 21-11	·	W 24-10	·	L 7-42	W 20-13		·	L 14-34	·	·
North Carolina	W 32-25	W 17-16	·	·	·	·	W 42-19	W 21-18	W 38-10	·	W 28-12	L 15-20	·		·	·	L 10-27
Virginia Tech	·	W 27-7	W 35-20	W 34-17	·	·	L 21-23	L 34-42	·	W 28-16	W 30-23	·	W 34-14	·		·	·
Boston College	·	·	W 36-34	·	W 48-7	W 45-13	·	W 28-24	W 41-10	W 38-24	·	W 30-20	·	·	·		L 12-34
Syracuse	W 38-3	·	W 41-16	W 38-10	W 30-13	W 31-18	·	·	L 21-34	·	·	·	·	W 27-10	·	W 34-12
Exp. wins for a #25 team	6.3	7.1	5.8	5.4	5.3	5.6	5.7	5.8	5.7	5.0	5.3	5.0	4.9	5.8	4.6	5.5	5.0
Conf. sched. difficulty rank	16th	17th	14th	8th	6th	10th	12th	15th	11th	4th	7th	5th	2nd	13th	1st	9th	3rd
Projected conf. wins	7.0	7.0	6.0	6.0	6.0	6.0	5.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	3.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	1.0	1.0
Conference record	7-2	7-3	6-2	6-2	6-2	6-2	5-4	4-4	4-4	4-4	4-4	3-5	2-6	2-6	2-6	1-7	1-7

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team	0 wins	1 win	2 wins	3 wins	4 wins	5 wins	6 wins	7 wins	8 wins	9 wins	10 wins
Duke	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Virginia	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Georgia Tech	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—	—
Miami-FL	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—	—
Pittsburgh	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—	—
SMU	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—	—
NC State	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
California	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—	—
Clemson	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—	—
Louisville	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—	—
Wake Forest	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—	—
Stanford	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—	—
Florida State	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—	—
North Carolina	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—	—
Virginia Tech	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—	—
Boston College	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—	—
Syracuse	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—	—

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

	Offensive Eff			Defensive Eff			Overall Efficiency
Team	Pass O Eff	Rush O Eff	Total Off Eff	Pass D Eff	Rush D Eff	Total Def Eff	Overall Eff
Duke	27	53	15	100	54	109	51
Virginia	63	40	55	21	20	14	30
Georgia Tech	21	18	45	66	60	47	41
Miami-FL	11	27	16	5	8	3	7
Pittsburgh	43	83	34	35	9	38	33
SMU	30	52	46	45	16	15	26
NC State	22	9	23	43	34	62	38
California	58	105	83	36	106	71	83
Clemson	38	66	49	34	27	37	40
Louisville	68	3	48	12	39	28	29
Wake Forest	102	30	98	15	12	16	55
Stanford	96	113	99	59	40	66	85
Florida State	7	13	33	58	26	59	37
North Carolina	82	114	103	47	65	95	100
Virginia Tech	105	17	90	95	37	105	90
Boston College	60	63	85	88	86	118	99
Syracuse	124	86	118	101	50	75	111

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

DukeVirginia

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Overall
Duke	0-0	4-3	2-2	3-0	9-5
Virginia	1-0	3-1	2-2	5-0	11-3
Georgia Tech	0-2	3-2	1-0	5-0	9-4
Miami-FL	5-2	3-1	2-0	3-0	13-3
Pittsburgh	0-2	3-2	1-1	4-0	8-5
SMU	2-0	2-2	0-1	5-1	9-4
NC State	0-2	3-2	3-0	2-1	8-5
California	1-0	1-2	0-4	5-0	7-6
Clemson	1-1	2-3	0-1	4-1	7-6
Louisville	1-1	3-2	2-0	3-1	9-4
Wake Forest	1-0	1-3	2-1	5-0	9-4
Stanford	0-5	1-1	0-1	3-1	4-8
Florida State	1-2	0-4	1-1	3-0	5-7
North Carolina	0-0	0-5	0-3	4-0	4-8
Virginia Tech	0-3	1-5	0-1	2-0	3-9
Boston College	0-2	0-3	0-3	2-2	2-10
Syracuse	0-4	1-2	0-1	2-2	3-9

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

Team	Week 0	Week 1	Week 2	Week 3	Week 4	Week 5	Week 6	Week 7	Week 8	Week 9	Week 10	Week 11	Week 12	Week 13	Week 14	Week 15
Duke		0.9	-12.1	-0.8	16.5	23.6	18.7		-13.0		8.3	-3.7	-15.7	3.9	17.4	12.0
Virginia		18.0	5.1	15.8	19.6	7.9	15.9		4.8	-6.8	9.1	-5.9	29.7		16.6	3.7
Georgia Tech		6.9	0.8	6.1	11.4	8.3		9.0	25.0	13.6	1.2		-3.4	-9.6	13.4
Miami-FL		27.7	9.4	38.5	22.8		24.1		4.9	20.4	12.9	16.3	34.9	17.2	37.7
Pittsburgh		10.6	15.0	-4.7		2.8	27.4	16.9	6.2	28.5	18.3		-7.3	27.0	-12.8
SMU		-0.5	2.2	11.3	2.3		-1.0	17.6	22.1	6.0	23.8	20.0		35.7	-6.4
NC State		11.2	14.4	17.6	-3.3	-11.2	13.3	6.5		-9.8	14.5		-7.1	17.1	13.7
California		11.4	-12.9	7.5	-25.8	-1.4	-18.4		-9.2	-4.7	-2.6	14.8		-25.2	14.0
Clemson		-0.1	-1.1	9.1	-26.1		26.9	27.7	-2.2		4.3	20.5	15.1	2.4	20.0
Louisville		17.5	20.4		11.5	18.5	6.2		30.9	-0.2	8.6	-8.2	3.8	-15.1	34.0
Wake Forest		-8.4	4.4	-5.3		2.7	2.9	15.5		9.7	-20.8	20.7	4.3	16.8	-8.9
Stanford	-3.4		-6.3	-2.3	-14.0	-15.2		-11.1	14.2	-1.0	-13.5	-11.8		15.3	-16.0
Florida State		30.4	18.4		20.0	12.7	10.2	2.9	-10.0		32.8	-3.0	15.8	1.0	-18.9
North Carolina		-25.0	-4.1	1.3	-31.2		-31.5		-5.1	7.9	6.7	-3.5	-10.4	-9.0	-15.2
Virginia Tech		-8.6	-8.9	-28.3	3.0	13.3	-5.5	-8.2		-6.2	-3.9		-12.6	1.1	-12.0
Boston College		-12.9	-2.0	-12.9		-12.9	-30.4	-30.7	-22.1	1.4	6.1	-17.9	0.8		14.7
Syracuse		-6.2	-6.3	14.0	21.7	-31.2	0.6		-8.3	-18.7	-28.9	-3.9		-43.9	-36.9