American Athletic
2025 · through CFP Finals
American Athletic was the 6th-ranked FBS conference in 2025 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 2 teams in the top 25. North Texas led the conference, ranked 21st in the FanBoardHQ CFP.
Projected Standings
Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.
| Team | Efficiency rank | SOR rank | Conf. sched. rank | Overall record | Conf. record | Proj. conf. wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navy | 54 | 18 | 12 | 11-2 | 8-1 | 8.0 |
| Tulane | 48 | 21 | 13 | 11-3 | 8-1 | 8.0 |
| North Texas | 23 | 23 | 14 | 12-2 | 7-2 | 7.0 |
| East Carolina | 42 | 40 | 10 | 9-4 | 6-2 | 6.0 |
| South Florida | 20 | 37 | 9 | 9-4 | 6-2 | 6.0 |
| Army | 65 | 66 | 11 | 7-6 | 4-5 | 4.0 |
| Memphis | 60 | 62 | 8 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 4.0 |
| UTSA | 63 | 67 | 2 | 7-6 | 4-4 | 4.0 |
| Florida Atlantic | 101 | 108 | 5 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 3.0 |
| Temple | 94 | 92 | 4 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 3.0 |
| Rice | 121 | 100 | 3 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 2.0 |
| UAB | 122 | 106 | 6 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 2.0 |
| Tulsa | 98 | 111 | 7 | 4-8 | 1-7 | 1.0 |
| Charlotte | 134 | 134 | 1 | 1-11 | 0-8 | 0.0 |
Head-to-head Schedule Comparison
Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.
Conference win total projections
Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.
| Team | 0 wins | 1 win | 2 wins | 3 wins | 4 wins | 5 wins | 6 wins | 7 wins | 8 wins | 9 wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navy | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Tulane | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| North Texas | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| East Carolina | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| South Florida | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Army | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Memphis | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| UTSA | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Florida Atlantic | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Temple | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Rice | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| UAB | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Tulsa | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Charlotte | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
Every model rank
Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.
| Offensive Eff | Defensive Eff | Overall Efficiency | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Pass O Eff | Rush O Eff | Total Off Eff | Pass D Eff | Rush D Eff | Total Def Eff | Overall Eff |
| Navy | 32 | 15 | 38 | 69 | 56 | 64 | 54 |
| Tulane | 36 | 80 | 56 | 53 | 52 | 43 | 48 |
| North Texas | 6 | 22 | 5 | 61 | 111 | 82 | 23 |
| East Carolina | 35 | 106 | 52 | 57 | 32 | 42 | 42 |
| South Florida | 19 | 32 | 29 | 26 | 31 | 25 | 20 |
| Army | 14 | 98 | 76 | 64 | 78 | 54 | 65 |
| Memphis | 81 | 16 | 51 | 123 | 42 | 73 | 60 |
| UTSA | 49 | 28 | 41 | 39 | 102 | 65 | 63 |
| Florida Atlantic | 69 | 104 | 60 | 91 | 128 | 130 | 101 |
| Temple | 44 | 95 | 54 | 93 | 131 | 126 | 94 |
| Rice | 127 | 135 | 124 | 132 | 74 | 102 | 121 |
| UAB | 62 | 93 | 86 | 130 | 121 | 134 | 122 |
| Tulsa | 111 | 99 | 112 | 71 | 70 | 70 | 98 |
| Charlotte | 129 | 138 | 135 | 117 | 135 | 120 | 134 |
Compare teams
Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.
Further from center = better (FBS percentile).
Quadrant records
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navy | 1-2 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 7-0 | 11-2 |
| Tulane | 0-2 | 2-0 | 3-1 | 6-0 | 11-3 |
| North Texas | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4-0 | 7-0 | 12-2 |
| East Carolina | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 7-0 | 9-4 |
| South Florida | 1-1 | 1-3 | 1-0 | 6-0 | 9-4 |
| Army | 1-0 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5-2 | 7-6 |
| Memphis | 1-0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 7-1 | 8-5 |
| UTSA | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 5-3 | 7-6 |
| Florida Atlantic | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 4-2 | 4-8 |
| Temple | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 5-0 | 5-7 |
| Rice | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 5-1 | 5-8 |
| UAB | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 4-8 |
| Tulsa | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4-8 |
| Charlotte | 0-2 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 1-11 |
Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating
Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.
| Team | Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Week 6 | Week 7 | Week 8 | Week 9 | Week 10 | Week 11 | Week 12 | Week 13 | Week 14 | Week 15 | Week 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navy | -2.4 | -2.5 | 12.8 | -8.9 | -6.4 | -1.8 | 5.7 | 0.3 | -7.4 | 14.2 | 16.1 | 4.3 | ||||
| Tulane | 21.6 | -8.2 | 10.4 | -13.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 9.1 | -22.9 | 12.1 | -0.1 | 17.5 | -0.3 | 29.5 | |||
| North Texas | 23.6 | 10.0 | 36.7 | 5.3 | -0.9 | -11.0 | 30.0 | 3.8 | 17.2 | 23.9 | 17.5 | 25.2 | -11.3 | |||
| East Carolina | 4.4 | 10.7 | 18.3 | -11.9 | 20.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 25.5 | 3.8 | 5.3 | -32.2 | 29.6 | ||||
| South Florida | 27.6 | 9.6 | -0.9 | 15.0 | -0.9 | 38.5 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 31.5 | 3.8 | 17.2 | 25.9 | ||||
| Army | -2.6 | 11.5 | 10.0 | -11.8 | 4.8 | 2.7 | -2.7 | -2.1 | -8.7 | -19.7 | 10.3 | 1.0 | ||||
| Memphis | 8.4 | 0.7 | 13.3 | 1.9 | 14.0 | 21.2 | -24.7 | 15.4 | 19.4 | -4.2 | 4.9 | -9.3 | ||||
| UTSA | -0.6 | -9.8 | 8.9 | -13.1 | -5.6 | 16.4 | -13.5 | 29.6 | -32.2 | 5.9 | 34.2 | -5.9 | ||||
| Florida Atlantic | -28.9 | 10.2 | -18.4 | -21.1 | -6.1 | 11.2 | -11.9 | -12.0 | 9.8 | -5.1 | -11.4 | -40.3 | ||||
| Temple | -4.7 | 0.7 | -19.4 | -11.5 | 1.1 | -1.7 | 17.9 | -4.6 | -25.7 | 2.9 | -19.9 | -23.4 | ||||
| Rice | -7.3 | -16.3 | 1.9 | -11.8 | -3.7 | -20.3 | -29.9 | -5.7 | -32.7 | -13.8 | -20.1 | -28.0 | ||||
| UAB | -7.3 | -10.0 | -19.8 | -22.5 | -19.6 | -37.7 | 11.4 | -25.6 | -18.9 | -27.3 | -19.4 | 0.0 | ||||
| Tulsa | 14.2 | -19.8 | -18.6 | -2.0 | -12.7 | -27.7 | -2.8 | -12.3 | -29.4 | 10.2 | 11.6 | -26.0 | ||||
| Charlotte | -42.0 | -29.9 | -11.8 | -28.6 | -9.0 | -25.2 | -49.3 | -14.2 | -20.7 | -27.2 | -12.1 | -18.9 |