FanBoardHQ

American Athletic

2025 · through CFP Finals

American Athletic was the 6th-ranked FBS conference in 2025 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 2 teams in the top 25. North Texas led the conference, ranked 21st in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

TeamEfficiency rankSOR rankConf. sched. rankOverall recordConf. recordProj. conf. wins
Navy54181211-28-18.0
Tulane48211311-38-18.0
North Texas23231412-27-27.0
East Carolina4240109-46-26.0
South Florida203799-46-26.0
Army6566117-64-54.0
Memphis606288-54-44.0
UTSA636727-64-44.0
Florida Atlantic10110854-83-53.0
Temple949245-73-53.0
Rice12110035-82-62.0
UAB12210664-82-62.0
Tulsa9811174-81-71.0
Charlotte13413411-110-80.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team0 wins1 win2 wins3 wins4 wins5 wins6 wins7 wins8 wins9 wins
Navy0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
Tulane0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
North Texas0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
East Carolina0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
South Florida0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
Army0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Memphis0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
UTSA0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Florida Atlantic0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Temple0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Rice0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
UAB0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Tulsa0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Charlotte100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

Offensive EffDefensive EffOverall Efficiency
TeamPass O EffRush O EffTotal Off EffPass D EffRush D EffTotal Def EffOverall Eff
Navy32153869566454
Tulane36805653524348
North Texas6225611118223
East Carolina351065257324242
South Florida19322926312520
Army14987664785465
Memphis811651123427360
UTSA492841391026563
Florida Atlantic691046091128130101
Temple4495549313112694
Rice12713512413274102121
UAB629386130121134122
Tulsa1119911271707098
Charlotte129138135117135120134

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

OverallOffenseDefensePass ORush OPass DRush DTempo
NavyTulane

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Overall
Navy1-21-02-07-011-2
Tulane0-22-03-16-011-3
North Texas0-11-14-07-012-2
East Carolina0-11-21-17-09-4
South Florida1-11-31-06-09-4
Army1-00-31-15-27-6
Memphis1-00-20-27-18-5
UTSA0-30-02-05-37-6
Florida Atlantic0-10-20-34-24-8
Temple0-20-10-45-05-7
Rice0-10-20-45-15-8
UAB0-20-21-13-34-8
Tulsa0-00-21-23-44-8
Charlotte0-20-30-11-51-11

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

TeamWeek 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15Week 16
Navy-2.4-2.512.8-8.9-6.4-1.85.70.3-7.414.216.14.3
Tulane21.6-8.210.4-13.08.012.09.1-22.912.1-0.117.5-0.329.5
North Texas23.610.036.75.3-0.9-11.030.03.817.223.917.525.2-11.3
East Carolina4.410.718.3-11.920.40.10.325.53.85.3-32.229.6
South Florida27.69.6-0.915.0-0.938.516.02.031.53.817.225.9
Army-2.611.510.0-11.84.82.7-2.7-2.1-8.7-19.710.31.0
Memphis8.40.713.31.914.021.2-24.715.419.4-4.24.9-9.3
UTSA-0.6-9.88.9-13.1-5.616.4-13.529.6-32.25.934.2-5.9
Florida Atlantic-28.910.2-18.4-21.1-6.111.2-11.9-12.09.8-5.1-11.4-40.3
Temple-4.70.7-19.4-11.51.1-1.717.9-4.6-25.72.9-19.9-23.4
Rice-7.3-16.31.9-11.8-3.7-20.3-29.9-5.7-32.7-13.8-20.1-28.0
UAB-7.3-10.0-19.8-22.5-19.6-37.711.4-25.6-18.9-27.3-19.40.0
Tulsa14.2-19.8-18.6-2.0-12.7-27.7-2.8-12.3-29.410.211.6-26.0
Charlotte-42.0-29.9-11.8-28.6-9.0-25.2-49.3-14.2-20.7-27.2-12.1-18.9