FanBoardHQ

Houston

University of Houston · 2026 · Big 12

Efficiency
+11.6
26th FBS
Record
2-0
Conf. record
Conf. finish
5th
proj. of 16
Houston Fanboard →

Houston is 2-0 and ranked 26th in overall efficiency. Their 21st-ranked offense is the engine, backed by a 69th-ranked defense. They run the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 27th-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 29th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
+3 left
Q2
0-0
+1 left
Q3
0-0
+4 left
Q4
2-0
+2 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 8.4 wins
Strength of Record
35th
+0.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
118th
full season
53rd
AP poll
#22
FanBoardHQ has them 4 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
51st
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.6 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Oregon StatePac-12#83W 3320+18.0100%6.4Q4
2vs SouthernSWACW 776+45.0100%19.8Q4
3@ Texas TechBig 12#30Preview-1.846%Q1
4@ Georgia SouthernSun Belt#113Preview+19.788%Q4
5vs UCFBig 12#51Preview+8.770%Q3
6@ Kansas StateBig 12#11Preview-9.429%Q1
7vs Oklahoma StateBig 12#88Preview+19.587%Q4
8@ UtahBig 12#10Preview-9.928%Q1
10vs CincinnatiBig 12#57Preview+10.573%Q3
11@ ColoradoBig 12#81Preview+12.376%Q3
12@ West VirginiaBig 12#68Preview+10.774%Q3
13vs BaylorBig 12#36Preview+6.765%Q2

2 played · 2-0. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Houston, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+1.6+9.9+18.3620Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 29th
SR 30thYPP 35thEPA 31st
RushingEff 27th
SR 5thYPP 48thEPA 39th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 34th
SR 62ndYPP 45thEPA 28th
Rush defenseEff 57th
SR 101stYPP 41stEPA 44th
Dropback rate 47%Tempo -4.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 111th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 52%1st · Defense allowed: 39%1st2nd · Offense: 70%2nd · Defense allowed: 31%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 73%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 22%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 38.0Q1 · Allowed: 7.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 31.0Q2 · Allowed: 0.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 28.0Q3 · Allowed: 14.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 14.0Q4 · Allowed: 7.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledHoustonOffenseDefense
Houston Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 21st
+8.5
Field position: +1.3Finishing drives: +7.1
Field position +1.3Finishing drives +7.1= +8.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 29th · Finishing 21st

Defensive EffRanked 69th
+0.0
Field position: +2.1Finishing drives: -2.1
Field position +2.1Finishing drives -2.1= +0.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 5th · Finishing 84th

4.78 points per drive on offense, 1.08 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 40.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(39)49% / 51%59%7.1
Q2(34)56% / 44%59%9.3
Q3(33)15% / 85%73%9.0
Q4(29)28% / 72%55%8.1
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(24)10.546%7.8
2nd(21)8.071%11.2
3rd(5)9.080%17.2
4th(1)1.0100%3.0
All (51)61%10.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(45)9.456%8.6
2nd(23)6.670%7.0
3rd(16)4.569%4.2
4th(0)
All (84)62%7.3

Houston, all games.