FanBoardHQ

Kent State

Kent State University · 2025 · Mid-American

FanBoardHQ CFP
#108
Efficiency
-20.5
131st FBS
Record
5-7
Conf. record
4-4
Conf. finish
T-6th
of 13
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Kent State went 5-7 and was ranked 108th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 110th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 131st-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 52% of offensive plays with a 128th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 48% of plays with a 72nd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-2
Q2
0-2
Q3
0-0
Q4
5-3

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
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12
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
97th
-4.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
84th
full season
84th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
115th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs MerrimackFCS IndependentsW 2117+13.7100%-32.0Q4
2@ Texas TechBig 12#8L 1462-48.70%-23.1Q1
3vs BuffaloMid-American#113L 2831-2.10%-21.2Q4
4@ Florida StateACC#65L 1066-32.90%-30.9Q2
6@ OklahomaSEC#13L 044-40.30%-23.4Q1
7vs MassachusettsMid-American#136W 426+19.2100%-4.9Q4
8@ ToledoMid-American#59L 1045-29.40%-22.2Q2
9vs Bowling GreenMid-American#120W 2421-0.4100%-15.6Q4
11@ Ball StateMid-American#122L 1317-1.60%-23.6Q4
12@ AkronMid-American#117W 4235-5.1100%-12.9Q4
13vs Central MichiganMid-American#84L 1628-9.30%-27.5Q4
14@ Northern IllinoisMid-American#126W 3531-5.9100%-9.1Q4

12 played · 5-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Kent State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-29.4-16.0-2.6-32-23-21-31-23-5-22-16-24-13-27-9Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 72nd
SR 124thYPP 48thEPA 55th
RushingEff 128th
SR 120thYPP 131stEPA 123rd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 122nd
SR 128thYPP 118thEPA 116th
Rush defenseEff 120th
SR 119thYPP 110thEPA 122nd
Dropback rate 48%Tempo -7.5 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 75th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 35%1st · Defense allowed: 44%1st2nd · Offense: 37%2nd · Defense allowed: 47%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 32%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 46%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 41.0Q1 · Allowed: 100.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 51.0Q2 · Allowed: 118.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 73.0Q3 · Allowed: 73.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 69.0Q4 · Allowed: 86.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledKent StateOffenseDefense
Kent State Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 110th
-7.1
Field position: -1.2Finishing drives: -5.8
Field position -1.2Finishing drives -5.8= -7.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 105th · Finishing 109th

Defensive EffRanked 131st
-11.4
Field position: -2.9Finishing drives: -8.5
Field position -2.9Finishing drives -8.5= -11.4
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 135th · Finishing 123rd

1.62 points per drive on offense, 2.59 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(158)45% / 55%31%5.3
Q2(184)49% / 51%36%5.5
Q3(164)46% / 54%35%5.9
Q4(162)44% / 56%37%4.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(104)10.443%9.5
2nd(100)9.143%8.1
3rd(90)8.522%4.8
4th(16)6.031%5.1
All (310)36%7.5
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(170)10.129%3.6
2nd(115)8.132%4.0
3rd(59)6.341%4.0
4th(14)2.264%0.8
All (358)34%3.7

Kent State, all games.