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Maryland

University of Maryland · 2026 · Big Ten

Efficiency
+5.9
46th FBS
Record
2-0
Conf. record
Conf. finish
11th
proj. of 18
Maryland Fanboard →

Maryland is 2-0 and ranked 46th in overall efficiency. Their 50th-ranked defense carries them, with a 51st-ranked offense. They pass the ball on 62% of offensive plays with a 56th-ranked passing attack and run the ball on the remaining 38% of plays with a 35th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
+4 left
Q2
0-0
+2 left
Q3
0-0
+2 left
Q4
2-0
+2 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 6.7 wins
Strength of Record
37th
+0.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
122nd
full season
34th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
33rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.2 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs HamptonCoastal AthleticW 620+46.6100%0.6Q4
2@ UConnFBS Independents#105W 3814+12.6100%17.1Q4
3vs Virginia TechACC#37Preview+1.052%Q2
4vs UCLABig Ten#31Preview-1.048%Q2
5@ NebraskaBig Ten#29Preview-7.633%Q1
6@ Ohio StateBig Ten#2Preview-21.910%Q1
7vs RutgersBig Ten#122Preview+23.492%Q4
9vs IllinoisBig Ten#45Preview+2.756%Q3
10@ PurdueBig Ten#65Preview+3.358%Q3
11vs WisconsinBig Ten#70Preview+10.874%Q4
12@ USCBig Ten#8Preview-18.913%Q1
13vs Penn StateBig Ten#16Preview-8.132%Q1

2 played · 2-0. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Maryland, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+1.4+8.5+15.7117Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 56th
SR 56thYPP 70thEPA 58th
RushingEff 35th
SR 64thYPP 5thEPA 58th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 25th
SR 38thYPP 40thEPA 22nd
Rush defenseEff 21st
SR 36thYPP 21stEPA 13th
Dropback rate 62%Tempo +1.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 82nd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 57%1st · Defense allowed: 28%1st2nd · Offense: 46%2nd · Defense allowed: 30%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 56%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 30%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 24.0Q1 · Allowed: 7.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 27.0Q2 · Allowed: 0.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 35.0Q3 · Allowed: 7.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 14.0Q4 · Allowed: 0.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledMarylandOffenseDefense
Maryland Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 51st
+2.5
Field position: +1.4Finishing drives: +1.0
Field position +1.4Finishing drives +1.0= +2.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 26th · Finishing 61st

Defensive EffRanked 50th
+2.8
Field position: +1.4Finishing drives: +1.4
Field position +1.4Finishing drives +1.4= +2.8
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 24th · Finishing 58th

4.00 points per drive on offense, 0.58 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 39.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(30)70% / 30%37%8.6
Q2(57)54% / 46%56%6.6
Q3(40)50% / 50%73%8.9
Q4(28)29% / 71%39%4.6
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(34)10.365%9.0
2nd(26)6.535%4.6
3rd(19)7.547%10.0
4th(1)4.0100%11.0
All (80)51%7.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(41)9.551%7.6
2nd(20)6.060%6.1
3rd(10)3.170%4.6
4th(4)1.850%4.0
All (75)56%6.6

Maryland, all games.