FanBoardHQ

UTSA

University of Texas at San Antonio · 2025 · American Athletic

FanBoardHQ CFP
#64
Efficiency
+2.8
63rd FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
4-4
Conf. finish
T-6th
of 14
UTSA Fanboard →

UTSA went 7-6 and was ranked 64th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 41st-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 65th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 55% of offensive plays with a 49th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with a 28th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-3
Q2
0-0
Q3
2-0
Q4
5-3

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
67th
-2.8 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
77th
full season
77th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
63rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ Texas A&MSEC#7L 2442-18.70%-0.6Q1
2vs Texas StateSun Belt#79L 3643+5.90%-9.8Q4
3vs Incarnate WordSouthlandW 4820+27.9100%8.9Q4
4@ Colorado StateMountain West#130W 1716+16.4100%-13.1Q4
6@ TempleAmerican Athletic#93L 2127+7.40%-5.6Q4
7vs RiceAmerican Athletic#106W 6113+21.9100%16.4Q4
8@ North TexasAmerican Athletic#21L 1755-13.70%-13.5Q1
10vs TulaneAmerican Athletic#26W 4826+0.6100%29.6Q3
11@ South FloridaAmerican Athletic#30L 2355-14.20%-32.2Q1
12@ CharlotteAmerican Athletic#135W 287+24.1100%5.9Q4
13vs East CarolinaAmerican Athletic#42W 5824-1.6100%34.2Q3
14vs ArmyAmerican Athletic#67L 2427+4.00%-5.9Q4
Postseason
vs FIUConference USA#89W 5720+15.0100%18.4Q4

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on UTSA, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-26.9+1.0+28.9-1-109-13-616-1330-32634-6Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 49th
SR 35thYPP 59thEPA 51st
RushingEff 28th
SR 54thYPP 16thEPA 29th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 39th
SR 30thYPP 45thEPA 44th
Rush defenseEff 102nd
SR 74thYPP 122ndEPA 103rd
Dropback rate 55%Tempo -2.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 82nd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 46%1st · Defense allowed: 41%1st2nd · Offense: 45%2nd · Defense allowed: 38%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 43%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 38%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 103.0Q1 · Allowed: 37.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 137.0Q2 · Allowed: 99.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 79.0Q3 · Allowed: 100.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 103.0Q4 · Allowed: 86.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUTSAOffenseDefense
UTSA Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 41st
+4.5
Field position: +0.5Finishing drives: +4.0
Field position +0.5Finishing drives +4.0= +4.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 40th · Finishing 39th

Defensive EffRanked 65th
-0.1
Field position: -0.9Finishing drives: +0.8
Field position -0.9Finishing drives +0.8= -0.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 99th · Finishing 63rd

2.65 points per drive on offense, 2.01 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(218)56% / 44%50%7.0
Q2(267)57% / 43%50%6.3
Q3(179)45% / 55%37%6.9
Q4(195)48% / 52%39%5.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(170)10.054%7.1
2nd(169)8.146%8.0
3rd(89)8.233%4.9
4th(20)6.240%4.7
All (448)46%6.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(211)9.940%5.8
2nd(113)7.243%5.3
3rd(79)6.252%6.1
4th(8)3.075%10.3
All (411)44%5.8

UTSA, all games.