FanBoardHQ

Tulane

Tulane University · 2025 · American Athletic

FanBoardHQ CFP
#26
Efficiency
+4.9
48th FBS
Record
11-3
Conf. record
7-1
Conf. finish
T-1st
of 14
Tulane Fanboard →

Tulane went 11-3 and was ranked 26th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 43rd-ranked defense carried them, with a 56th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 54% of offensive plays with an 80th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with a 36th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-2
Q2
2-0
Q3
3-1
Q4
6-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Expected: 11.0 wins
Strength of Record
21st
+1.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
64th
full season
64th
CFP committee
#20
FanBoardHQ has them 6 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
97th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.0 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs NorthwesternBig Ten#49W 233+4.0100%21.6Q3
2@ South AlabamaSun Belt#114W 3331+14.0100%-8.2Q4
3vs DukeACC#44W 3427+2.9100%10.4Q3
4@ Ole MissSEC#9L 1045-16.70%-13.0Q1
5@ TulsaAmerican Athletic#109W 3114+11.7100%8.0Q4
7vs East CarolinaAmerican Athletic#42W 2619+0.5100%12.0Q3
8vs ArmyAmerican Athletic#67W 2417+6.1100%9.1Q4
10@ UTSAAmerican Athletic#64L 2648-0.60%-22.9Q3
11@ MemphisAmerican Athletic#58W 3832-0.9100%12.1Q2
12vs Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic#107W 3524+17.8100%-0.1Q4
13@ TempleAmerican Athletic#93W 3713+9.5100%17.5Q4
14vs CharlotteAmerican Athletic#135W 270+31.7100%-0.3Q4
15vs North TexasAmerican Athletic#21W 3421-6.1100%29.5Q2
Postseason
@ Ole MissSEC#9L 1041-16.70%-7.6Q1

14 played · 11-3. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Tulane, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-18.8+3.3+25.322-810-138129-2312-017-029Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 36th
SR 26thYPP 39thEPA 40th
RushingEff 80th
SR 69thYPP 90thEPA 84th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 53rd
SR 84thYPP 53rdEPA 42nd
Rush defenseEff 52nd
SR 64thYPP 58thEPA 47th
Dropback rate 46%Tempo +0.4 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 75th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 50%1st · Defense allowed: 48%1st2nd · Offense: 40%2nd · Defense allowed: 44%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 44%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 43%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 104.0Q1 · Allowed: 82.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 144.0Q2 · Allowed: 74.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 50.0Q3 · Allowed: 55.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 85.0Q4 · Allowed: 124.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledTulaneOffenseDefense
Tulane Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 56th
+1.2
Field position: +2.2Finishing drives: -0.9
Field position +2.2Finishing drives -0.9= +1.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 14th · Finishing 75th

Defensive EffRanked 43rd
+4.1
Field position: +1.5Finishing drives: +2.6
Field position +1.5Finishing drives +2.6= +4.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 23rd · Finishing 49th

2.31 points per drive on offense, 2.09 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(218)47% / 53%52%7.1
Q2(267)48% / 52%49%6.6
Q3(219)47% / 53%44%6.0
Q4(221)45% / 55%35%5.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(192)10.155%9.4
2nd(127)8.146%7.7
3rd(108)7.340%5.7
4th(8)5.850%8.8
All (435)49%8.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(239)9.746%5.3
2nd(166)7.234%4.1
3rd(71)5.748%4.9
4th(14)2.157%2.0
All (490)42%4.8

Tulane, all games.