FanBoardHQ

Army

United States Military Academy · 2025 · American Athletic

FanBoardHQ CFP
#67
Efficiency
+1.5
65th FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
4-5
Conf. finish
T-6th
of 14
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Army went 7-6 and was ranked 67th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 54th-ranked defense carried them, with a 76th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 85% of offensive plays with a 98th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 15% of plays with a 14th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-0
Q2
0-3
Q3
1-1
Q4
5-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
66th
-2.8 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
76th
full season
76th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
91st
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Tarleton StateUACL 2730+3.10%-2.6Q4
2@ Kansas StateBig 12#45W 2421-12.3100%11.5Q1
4vs North TexasAmerican Athletic#21L 3845-9.40%10.0Q2
5@ East CarolinaAmerican Athletic#42L 628-8.30%-11.8Q2
6@ UABAmerican Athletic#118W 3113+15.2100%4.8Q4
7vs CharlotteAmerican Athletic#135W 247+28.4100%2.7Q4
8@ TulaneAmerican Athletic#26L 1724-6.10%-2.7Q2
10@ Air ForceMountain West#105W 2017+5.7100%-2.1Q4
11vs TempleAmerican Athletic#93W 1413+11.6100%-8.7Q4
13vs TulsaAmerican Athletic#109L 2526+13.90%-19.7Q4
14@ UTSAAmerican Athletic#64W 2724-4.0100%10.3Q3
16vs NavyAmerican Athletic#24L 1617-2.20%1.0Q3
Postseason
vs UConnFBS Independents#69W 4116+5.5100%27.1Q4

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Army, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-17.2-4.1+9.0-31210-1253-3-2-9-20101Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 14th
SR 77thYPP 10thEPA 7th
RushingEff 98th
SR 108thYPP 115thEPA 81st
Defense
Pass defenseEff 64th
SR 96thYPP 44thEPA 63rd
Rush defenseEff 78th
SR 95thYPP 87thEPA 66th
Dropback rate 15%Tempo +2.5 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 82nd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 38%1st · Defense allowed: 47%1st2nd · Offense: 42%2nd · Defense allowed: 43%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 50%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 48%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 42.0Q1 · Allowed: 79.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 101.0Q2 · Allowed: 57.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 79.0Q3 · Allowed: 30.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 82.0Q4 · Allowed: 110.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledArmyOffenseDefense
Army Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 76th
-1.4
Field position: -1.1Finishing drives: -0.4
Field position -1.1Finishing drives -0.4= -1.4
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 97th · Finishing 68th

Defensive EffRanked 54th
+2.5
Field position: -0.6Finishing drives: +3.0
Field position -0.6Finishing drives +3.0= +2.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 87th · Finishing 45th

2.48 points per drive on offense, 2.28 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(161)12% / 88%39%6.0
Q2(228)15% / 85%46%5.4
Q3(204)15% / 85%42%5.3
Q4(254)17% / 83%43%4.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(31)9.935%8.1
2nd(47)8.036%9.3
3rd(37)9.138%6.8
4th(13)4.862%12.7
All (128)39%8.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(302)9.838%4.7
2nd(234)7.143%5.2
3rd(141)4.845%3.9
4th(42)1.774%2.2
All (719)43%4.6

Army, all games.

Army Football 2025 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ