Big Ten

2022 · through CFP Finals

ConferenceSeasonThrough

Big Ten was the 2nd-ranked FBS conference in 2022 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 5 teams in the top 25. Ohio State led the conference, ranked 5th in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

Team	Efficiency rank	SOR rank	Conf. sched. rank	Overall record	Conf. record	Proj. conf. wins
Michigan	4	5	14	13-1	10-0	10.0
Ohio State	3	6	10	11-2	8-1	8.0
Penn State	9	8	11	11-2	7-2	7.0
Purdue	57	30	9	8-6	6-4	6.0
Illinois	19	37	12	8-5	5-4	5.0
Iowa	25	24	5	8-5	5-4	5.0
Minnesota	22	29	13	9-4	5-4	5.0
Maryland	39	33	6	8-5	4-5	4.0
Wisconsin	30	57	7	7-6	4-5	4.0
Michigan State	65	69	2	5-7	3-6	3.0
Nebraska	71	100	8	4-8	3-6	3.0
Indiana	74	93	4	4-8	2-7	2.0
Northwestern	95	129	1	1-11	1-8	1.0
Rutgers	99	97	3	4-8	1-8	1.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

	Michigan	Ohio State	Penn State	Purdue	Illinois	Iowa	Minnesota	Maryland	Wisconsin	Michigan State	Nebraska	Indiana	Northwestern	Rutgers
Michigan		L 23-45	L 17-41	L 22-43	L 17-19	L 14-27	·	L 27-34	·	L 7-29	L 3-34	L 10-31	·	L 17-52
Ohio State	W 45-23		L 31-44	·	·	L 10-54	·	L 30-43	L 21-52	L 20-49	·	L 14-56	L 7-21	L 10-49
Penn State	W 41-17	W 44-31		L 31-35	·	·	L 17-45	L 0-30	·	L 16-35	·	L 14-45	L 7-17	L 10-55
Purdue	W 43-22	·	W 35-31		L 24-31	W 24-3	L 10-20	L 29-31	W 35-24	·	L 37-43	L 16-30	L 9-17	·
Illinois	W 19-17	·	·	W 31-24		L 6-9	L 14-26	·	L 10-34	W 23-15	L 9-26	W 23-20	L 3-41	·
Iowa	W 27-14	W 54-10	·	L 3-24	W 9-6		L 10-13	·	L 10-24	·	W 24-17	·	L 13-33	L 10-27
Minnesota	·	·	W 45-17	W 20-10	W 26-14	W 13-10		·	L 16-23	L 7-34	L 13-20	·	L 3-31	L 0-31
Maryland	W 34-27	W 43-30	W 30-0	W 31-29	·	·	·		W 23-10	L 13-27	·	L 33-38	L 24-31	L 0-37
Wisconsin	·	W 52-21	·	L 24-35	W 34-10	W 24-10	W 23-16	L 10-23		W 34-28	L 14-15	·	L 7-42	·
Michigan State	W 29-7	W 49-20	W 35-16	·	L 15-23	·	W 34-7	W 27-13	L 28-34		·	W 39-31	·	L 21-27
Nebraska	W 34-3	·	·	W 43-37	W 26-9	L 17-24	W 20-13	·	W 15-14	·		L 21-35	W 31-28	L 13-14
Indiana	W 31-10	W 56-14	W 45-14	W 30-16	L 20-23	·	·	W 38-33	·	L 31-39	W 35-21		·	W 24-17
Northwestern	·	W 21-7	W 17-7	W 17-9	W 41-3	W 33-13	W 31-3	W 31-24	W 42-7	·	L 28-31	·		·
Rutgers	W 52-17	W 49-10	W 55-10	·	·	W 27-10	W 31-0	W 37-0	·	W 27-21	W 14-13	L 17-24	·
Exp. wins for a #25 team	6.0	5.5	5.5	5.4	5.6	5.0	5.6	5.2	5.2	4.5	5.4	4.9	4.3	4.7
Conf. sched. difficulty rank	14th	10th	11th	9th	12th	5th	13th	6th	7th	2nd	8th	4th	1st	3rd
Projected conf. wins	10.0	8.0	7.0	6.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	4.0	4.0	3.0	3.0	2.0	1.0	1.0
Conference record	10-0	8-1	7-2	6-4	5-4	5-4	5-4	4-5	4-5	3-6	3-6	2-7	1-8	1-8

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team	0 wins	1 win	2 wins	3 wins	4 wins	5 wins	6 wins	7 wins	8 wins	9 wins	10 wins
Michigan	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
Ohio State	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	—
Penn State	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Purdue	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Illinois	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Iowa	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Minnesota	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Maryland	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Wisconsin	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Michigan State	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Nebraska	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Indiana	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Northwestern	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Rutgers	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

	Offensive Eff			Defensive Eff			Overall Efficiency
Team	Pass O Eff	Rush O Eff	Total Off Eff	Pass D Eff	Rush D Eff	Total Def Eff	Overall Eff
Michigan	14	5	9	19	7	12	4
Ohio State	1	1	1	26	25	31	3
Penn State	19	37	23	3	17	9	9
Purdue	54	43	45	54	73	59	57
Illinois	45	51	59	9	11	4	19
Iowa	113	96	89	1	9	1	25
Minnesota	44	36	49	27	16	18	22
Maryland	61	46	50	16	23	35	39
Wisconsin	66	33	47	30	8	24	30
Michigan State	57	79	65	128	39	76	65
Nebraska	31	70	84	75	113	63	71
Indiana	102	71	95	108	32	48	74
Northwestern	101	124	115	35	76	56	95
Rutgers	108	101	107	44	41	67	99

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

MichiganOhio State

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Overall
Michigan	4-1	1-0	2-0	6-0	13-1
Ohio State	1-2	4-0	1-0	5-0	11-2
Penn State	1-2	4-0	1-0	5-0	11-2
Purdue	2-4	1-2	1-0	4-0	8-6
Illinois	1-2	2-0	1-2	4-1	8-5
Iowa	1-3	3-1	0-0	4-1	8-5
Minnesota	1-2	1-1	2-1	5-0	9-4
Maryland	0-4	1-0	1-1	6-0	8-5
Wisconsin	0-3	2-2	2-1	3-0	7-6
Michigan State	1-4	1-2	0-0	3-1	5-7
Nebraska	1-2	0-4	0-0	3-2	4-8
Indiana	1-3	0-2	2-2	1-1	4-8
Northwestern	0-5	0-4	1-0	0-2	1-11
Rutgers	0-4	0-2	0-1	4-1	4-8

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

Team	Week 0	Week 1	Week 2	Week 3	Week 4	Week 5	Week 6	Week 7	Week 8	Week 9	Week 10	Week 11	Week 12	Week 13	Week 14
Michigan		17.6	18.4	27.7	9.7	30.9	19.4	37.5		22.7	21.7	24.5	13.2	42.8	22.7
Ohio State		20.9	19.7	33.2	34.7	23.0	32.1		38.7	34.7	8.4	25.1	25.8	1.5
Penn State		9.2	24.7	35.3	-0.7	-1.7		2.3	35.0	7.8	25.3	33.1	17.7	12.5
Purdue		13.1	16.4	8.4	-7.2	23.8	11.7	2.6	-14.2		-14.4	23.5	-2.3	17.5	4.3
Illinois	14.0	-3.4	8.3		22.9	35.7	11.7	21.9		16.4	-12.1	-6.4	23.4	30.1
Iowa		8.0	3.2	1.9	19.5	2.9	12.7		-2.7	15.9	29.2	19.7	18.6	-13.1
Minnesota		24.0	7.7	20.9	31.6	-8.5		3.1	-6.3	16.0	8.6	13.4	4.1	17.8
Maryland		12.3	15.7	8.0	20.5	11.1	-1.1	3.6	-4.8		0.6	-12.3	7.0	19.5
Wisconsin		22.0	3.4	23.9	-5.0	-15.2	29.8	1.7	23.5		15.9	1.0	3.1	3.5
Michigan State		-1.2	15.7	1.6	-24.8	-4.1	-10.3	7.8		0.6	25.4	-5.6	-11.6	6.1
Nebraska	-10.4	4.9	-13.1	-25.5		6.3	-4.7	-0.9		-4.9	1.2	-3.0	4.6	22.3
Indiana		13.3	3.8	3.2	-16.0	-11.6	0.5	-0.1	-12.7		-10.0	-2.6	8.2	-17.2
Northwestern	0.8		-1.3	-19.3	-18.9	12.7	-32.4		4.0	-12.6	9.7	-9.4	-1.7	-24.5
Rutgers		-5.9	-12.9	-5.4	-17.1	-5.9	-6.0		0.5	-13.1	-7.1	-3.1	-7.8	-21.3