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Rutgers

Rutgers University–New Brunswick · 2022 · Big Ten

FanBoardHQ CFP
#96
Efficiency
-8.7
99th FBS
Record
4-8
Conf. record
1-8
Conf. finish
T-13th
of 14
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Rutgers went 4-8 and was ranked 96th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 67th-ranked defense carried them, with a 107th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 101st-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 108th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-4
Q2
0-2
Q3
0-1
Q4
4-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 4.0 wins
Strength of Record
97th
-3.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
37th
full season
37th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
36th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ Boston CollegeACC#113W 2221-1.0100%-5.9Q4
2vs WagnerNECW 667+44.0100%-12.9Q4
3@ TempleAmerican Athletic#116W 1614-0.7100%-5.4Q4
4vs IowaBig Ten#22L 1027-17.10%-17.1Q2
5@ Ohio StateBig Ten#5L 1049-37.30%-5.9Q1
6vs NebraskaBig Ten#91L 1314-4.10%-6.0Q4
8vs IndianaBig Ten#89W 2417-2.6100%0.5Q4
9@ MinnesotaBig Ten#24L 031-23.20%-13.1Q1
10vs MichiganBig Ten#6L 1752-29.30%-7.1Q1
11@ Michigan StateBig Ten#67L 2127-11.50%-3.1Q3
12vs Penn StateBig Ten#8L 1055-24.60%-7.8Q1
13@ MarylandBig Ten#32L 037-18.40%-21.3Q2

12 played · 4-8. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Rutgers, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-19.5-9.7+0.1-6-13-5-17-6-61-13-7-3-8-21Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 108th
SR 117thYPP 99thEPA 101st
RushingEff 101st
SR 76thYPP 105thEPA 112th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 43rd
SR 51stYPP 50thEPA 36th
Rush defenseEff 42nd
SR 79thYPP 12thEPA 54th
Dropback rate 47%Tempo -9.8 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 51st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 42%1st · Defense allowed: 47%1st2nd · Offense: 37%2nd · Defense allowed: 36%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 34%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 41%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 61.0Q1 · Allowed: 56.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 44.0Q2 · Allowed: 83.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 40.0Q3 · Allowed: 89.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 38.0Q4 · Allowed: 74.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledRutgersOffenseDefense
Rutgers Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 107th
-7.7
Field position: +1.1Finishing drives: -8.8
Field position +1.1Finishing drives -8.8= -7.7
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 27th · Finishing 116th

Defensive EffRanked 67th
+0.3
Field position: -1.1Finishing drives: +1.4
Field position -1.1Finishing drives +1.4= +0.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 101st · Finishing 52nd

1.21 points per drive on offense, 2.11 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(170)42% / 58%38%5.5
Q2(178)54% / 46%31%4.6
Q3(196)47% / 53%44%4.9
Q4(185)45% / 55%39%4.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(98)10.148%6.3
2nd(122)9.327%4.7
3rd(112)8.326%4.5
4th(11)9.055%7.0
All (343)34%5.2
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(208)10.039%4.5
2nd(126)6.746%4.6
3rd(47)5.247%4.1
4th(5)1.460%1.6
All (386)43%4.4

Rutgers, all games.