FanBoardHQ

Maryland

University of Maryland · 2022 · Big Ten

FanBoardHQ CFP
#32
Efficiency
+6.9
39th FBS
Record
8-5
Conf. record
4-5
Conf. finish
T-8th
of 14
Maryland Fanboard →

Maryland went 8-5 and was ranked 32nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 35th-ranked defense carried them, with a 50th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 54% of offensive plays with a 60th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with a 47th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-4
Q2
1-0
Q3
1-1
Q4
6-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 8.0 wins
Strength of Record
33rd
-0.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
49th
full season
49th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
52nd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.2 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs BuffaloMid-American#87W 3110+17.3100%12.3Q4
2@ CharlotteConference USA#123W 5621+25.2100%15.7Q4
3vs SMUAmerican Athletic#64W 3427+7.2100%8.0Q4
4@ MichiganBig Ten#6L 2734-19.10%20.5Q1
5vs Michigan StateBig Ten#67W 2713+9.7100%11.1Q4
6vs PurdueBig Ten#34L 2931+6.00%-1.1Q3
7@ IndianaBig Ten#89W 3833+7.6100%3.6Q3
8vs NorthwesternBig Ten#124W 3124+17.4100%-4.8Q4
10@ WisconsinBig Ten#47L 1023-5.40%0.6Q1
11@ Penn StateBig Ten#8L 030-14.50%-12.3Q1
12vs Ohio StateBig Ten#5L 3043-16.10%7.0Q1
13vs RutgersBig Ten#96W 370+18.4100%19.5Q4
Postseason
vs NC StateACC#36W 1612+0.8100%9.7Q2

13 played · 8-5. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Maryland, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-9.7+4.1+17.9121682111-14-51-12720Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 60th
SR 60thYPP 77thEPA 55th
RushingEff 47th
SR 43rdYPP 46thEPA 44th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 16th
SR 27thYPP 10thEPA 15th
Rush defenseEff 22nd
SR 19thYPP 33rdEPA 27th
Dropback rate 54%Tempo +6.8 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 55th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 44%1st · Defense allowed: 41%1st2nd · Offense: 37%2nd · Defense allowed: 39%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 45%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 38%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 78.0Q1 · Allowed: 74.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 106.0Q2 · Allowed: 105.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 70.0Q3 · Allowed: 33.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 111.0Q4 · Allowed: 78.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledMarylandOffenseDefense
Maryland Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 50th
+2.4
Field position: -0.7Finishing drives: +3.2
Field position -0.7Finishing drives +3.2= +2.4
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 91st · Finishing 41st

Defensive EffRanked 35th
+4.3
Field position: +1.2Finishing drives: +3.1
Field position +1.2Finishing drives +3.1= +4.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 30th · Finishing 39th

2.25 points per drive on offense, 1.73 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(200)54% / 46%42%6.5
Q2(242)63% / 37%43%5.5
Q3(233)53% / 47%42%5.4
Q4(230)43% / 57%43%5.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(196)10.448%7.8
2nd(149)8.834%5.2
3rd(118)8.438%5.3
4th(19)5.263%8.6
All (482)42%6.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(190)9.840%4.6
2nd(145)6.840%5.5
3rd(80)5.150%5.4
4th(8)1.163%3.3
All (423)42%5.1

Maryland, all games.