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Mountain West

2024 · through CFP Finals

Mountain West Fanboard →

Mountain West was the 10th-ranked FBS conference in 2024 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 1 team in the top 25. Boise State led the conference, ranked 19th in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

TeamEfficiency rankSOR rankConf. sched. rankOverall recordConf. recordProj. conf. wins
Boise State22191212-28-08.0
Colorado State996288-56-16.0
UNLV36311111-36-26.0
Fresno State869166-74-34.0
Air Force11110295-73-43.0
Hawai'i11410355-73-43.0
New Mexico119104105-73-43.0
San José State928137-63-43.0
Utah State10511044-83-43.0
San Diego State12512223-92-52.0
Wyoming11011773-92-52.0
Nevada10112313-100-70.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

Boise StateColorado StateUNLVFresno StateAir ForceHawai'iNew MexicoSan José StateUtah StateSan Diego StateWyomingNevada
Boise State·L 7-21··L 7-28·L 21-42L 30-62L 24-56L 13-17L 21-28
Colorado State··W 28-22L 13-21·L 6-17L 24-31L 37-42·L 10-24L 21-38
UNLVW 21-7·L 14-59·L 27-29·L 16-27L 34-50L 20-41·L 14-38
Fresno State·L 22-28W 59-14W 36-28W 21-20L 21-38L 10-33···L 21-24
Air Force·W 21-13·L 28-36·W 52-37W 17-7·L 20-31W 31-19L 19-22
Hawai'iW 28-7·W 29-27L 20-21·L 30-38·W 55-10W 27-24·L 13-34
New Mexico·W 17-6·W 38-21L 37-52W 38-30·L 45-50L 16-21W 49-45·
San José StateW 42-21W 31-24W 27-16W 33-10L 7-17····L 14-24L 31-35
Utah StateW 62-30W 42-37W 50-34··L 10-55W 50-45·L 20-41L 25-27·
San Diego StateW 56-24·W 41-20·W 31-20L 24-27W 21-16·W 41-20L 24-27·
WyomingW 17-13W 24-10··L 19-31·L 45-49W 24-14W 27-25W 27-24·
NevadaW 28-21W 38-21W 38-14W 24-21W 22-19W 34-13·W 35-31···
Exp. wins for a #25 team6.76.46.46.06.45.86.45.75.75.66.15.5
Conf. sched. difficulty rank12th8th11th6th9th5th10th3rd4th2nd7th1st
Projected conf. wins8.06.06.04.03.03.03.03.03.02.02.00.0
Conference record8-06-16-24-33-43-43-43-43-42-52-50-7

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team0 wins1 win2 wins3 wins4 wins5 wins6 wins7 wins8 wins
Boise State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
Colorado State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%—
UNLV0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
Fresno State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Air Force0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Hawai'i0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
New Mexico0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
San José State0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Utah State0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
San Diego State0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Wyoming0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Nevada100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

Offensive EffDefensive EffOverall Efficiency
TeamPass O EffRush O EffTotal Off EffPass D EffRush D EffTotal Def EffOverall Eff
Boise State32191663483422
Colorado State6810211898886399
UNLV63274525302736
Fresno State811339640396886
Air Force1381091161154996111
Hawai'i106115125736788114
New Mexico67253138123132119
San José State55998489649492
Utah State825980120134118105
San Diego State124124121101109126125
Wyoming13211812610411474110
Nevada71649275118112101

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

OverallOffenseDefensePass ORush OPass DRush DTempo
Boise StateColorado State

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Overall
Boise State0-22-01-09-012-2
Colorado State0-10-10-18-28-5
UNLV0-11-12-18-011-3
Fresno State0-00-20-26-36-7
Air Force0-10-10-15-45-7
Hawai'i0-00-21-14-45-7
New Mexico0-00-10-05-65-7
San José State0-00-20-27-27-6
Utah State0-20-10-24-34-8
San Diego State0-10-20-03-63-9
Wyoming0-20-11-12-53-9
Nevada0-30-10-03-63-10

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

TeamWeek 0Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15
Boise State13.422.811.020.017.714.416.719.5-5.321.1-5.62.827.7
Colorado State-15.4-21.6-12.7-15.0-9.6-2.51.3-5.118.6-1.9-8.5-10.2
UNLV25.85.815.530.83.518.6-0.36.2-9.24.25.520.1-4.8
Fresno State-6.6-6.99.38.9-28.4-11.6-3.417.5-15.5-19.5-5.4-2.9
Air Force-14.6-18.9-12.9-24.2-24.3-38.5-22.4-5.02.014.7-5.41.1
Hawai'i-5.4-22.2-5.8-18.8-14.2-26.415.6-2.65.9-39.7-9.2
New Mexico4.8-27.4-18.4-28.3-6.412.0-42.7-17.8-20.1-9.41.4-17.9
San José State-12.1-0.4-5.23.3-6.1-13.1-1.9-29.74.9-14.9-2.8-6.2
Utah State-12.8-24.7-10.2-31.7-15.7-20.16.5-9.1-24.215.5-0.9-9.7
San Diego State-7.2-35.6-17.9-16.2-12.6-5.9-4.8-24.8-23.3-13.0-28.8-32.0
Wyoming-23.0-13.6-6.2-34.4-0.4-24.9-17.3-14.4-6.4-19.16.55.4
Nevada-7.0-8.5-14.020.8-11.1-3.4-12.0-38.7-37.58.3-17.2-20.6