FanBoardHQ

Wyoming

University of Wyoming · 2024 · Mountain West

FanBoardHQ CFP
#118
Efficiency
-12.3
110th FBS
Record
3-9
Conf. record
2-5
Conf. finish
T-10th
of 12
Wyoming Fanboard →

Wyoming went 3-9 and was ranked 118th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 74th-ranked defense carried them, with a 126th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 53% of offensive plays with an 118th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 132nd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-2
Q2
0-1
Q3
1-1
Q4
2-5

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.0 wins
Strength of Record
117th
-6.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
76th
full season
76th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
67th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.1 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ Arizona StateBig 12#8L 748-32.70%-23.0Q1
2vs IdahoBig SkyL 1317-3.10%-13.6Q4
3vs BYUBig 12#7L 1434-26.20%-6.2Q1
4@ North TexasAmerican Athletic#92L 1744-8.90%-34.4Q3
5vs Air ForceMountain West#103W 3119+2.8100%-0.4Q4
7vs San Diego StateMountain West#125L 2427+8.90%-24.9Q4
8@ San José StateMountain West#88L 1424-8.10%-17.3Q4
9vs Utah StateMountain West#110L 2527+1.70%-14.4Q4
10@ New MexicoMountain West#107W 4945-0.9100%-6.4Q4
12@ Colorado StateMountain West#74L 1024-6.30%-19.1Q4
13vs Boise StateMountain West#19L 1317-22.70%6.5Q2
14@ Washington StatePac-12#61W 1514-16.3100%5.4Q3

12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Wyoming, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-31.1-13.9+3.3-23-14-6-34-0-25-17-14-6-1975Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 132nd
SR 131stYPP 130thEPA 133rd
RushingEff 118th
SR 117thYPP 116thEPA 118th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 104th
SR 115thYPP 102ndEPA 94th
Rush defenseEff 114th
SR 81stYPP 130thEPA 113th
Dropback rate 47%Tempo +2.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 92nd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 38%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 32%2nd · Defense allowed: 51%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 40%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 30%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 50.0Q1 · Allowed: 90.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 62.0Q2 · Allowed: 121.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 40.0Q3 · Allowed: 58.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 68.0Q4 · Allowed: 44.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledWyomingOffenseDefense
Wyoming Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 126th
-10.6
Field position: -1.3Finishing drives: -9.3
Field position -1.3Finishing drives -9.3= -10.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 105th · Finishing 123rd

Defensive EffRanked 74th
-0.7
Field position: +0.3Finishing drives: -1.0
Field position +0.3Finishing drives -1.0= -0.7
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 50th · Finishing 76th

1.60 points per drive on offense, 2.33 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 27 (excluding garbage time, same as the efficiency numbers above).

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(173)39% / 61%39%5.7
Q2(184)43% / 57%36%4.8
Q3(209)48% / 52%35%4.9
Q4(212)56% / 44%36%5.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(142)10.337%7.3
2nd(101)9.233%5.2
3rd(115)8.431%4.9
4th(8)5.838%3.6
All (366)34%5.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(188)9.838%4.6
2nd(148)7.831%4.2
3rd(60)4.050%4.6
4th(16)1.469%3.3
All (412)38%4.4

Wyoming, all games.