FanBoardHQ

San José State

San José State University · 2024 · Mountain West

FanBoardHQ CFP
#88
Efficiency
-7.0
92nd FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
3-4
Conf. finish
T-5th
of 12
San José State Fanboard →

San José State went 7-6 and was ranked 88th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 84th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 94th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 65% of offensive plays with a 55th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 35% of plays with a 99th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-2
Q3
0-2
Q4
7-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
81st
-4.0 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
113th
full season
113th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
54th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Sacramento StateBig SkyW 4224+17.7100%-12.1Q4
2@ Air ForceMountain West#103W 177+2.7100%-0.4Q4
3vs Kennesaw StateConference USA#132W 3110+19.7100%-5.2Q4
4@ Washington StatePac-12#61L 5254-10.90%3.3Q3
6vs NevadaMountain West#119W 3531+6.0100%-6.1Q4
7@ Colorado StateMountain West#74L 2431-1.00%-13.1Q4
8vs WyomingMountain West#118W 2414+8.1100%-1.9Q4
9@ Fresno StateMountain West#93L 1033-4.50%-29.7Q3
11@ Oregon StatePac-12#100W 2413+1.6100%4.9Q4
12vs Boise StateMountain West#19L 2142-17.40%-14.9Q2
13vs UNLVMountain West#31L 1627-13.90%-2.8Q2
14vs StanfordACC#106W 3431+1.1100%-6.2Q4
Postseason
vs South FloridaAmerican Athletic#82L 3941+0.10%-6.7Q4

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on San José State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-26.9-12.4+2.1-12-0-53-6-13-2-305-15-3-6Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 55th
SR 61stYPP 54thEPA 57th
RushingEff 99th
SR 76thYPP 109thEPA 104th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 89th
SR 89thYPP 86thEPA 89th
Rush defenseEff 64th
SR 102ndYPP 25thEPA 65th
Dropback rate 65%Tempo +2.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 86th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 45%1st · Defense allowed: 40%1st2nd · Offense: 45%2nd · Defense allowed: 38%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 42%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 48%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 66.0Q1 · Allowed: 61.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 103.0Q2 · Allowed: 103.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 72.0Q3 · Allowed: 76.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 103.0Q4 · Allowed: 95.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledSan José StateOffenseDefense
San José State Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 84th
-2.5
Field position: -0.3Finishing drives: -2.2
Field position -0.3Finishing drives -2.2= -2.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 74th · Finishing 83rd

Defensive EffRanked 94th
-3.5
Field position: -1.0Finishing drives: -2.5
Field position -1.0Finishing drives -2.5= -3.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 104th · Finishing 87th

2.12 points per drive on offense, 2.09 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(171)63% / 37%42%7.2
Q2(221)73% / 27%47%6.7
Q3(182)59% / 41%51%7.0
Q4(272)62% / 38%41%5.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(236)10.450%7.4
2nd(180)8.346%8.4
3rd(119)7.741%6.9
4th(9)4.044%4.4
All (544)46%7.6
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(154)9.839%3.9
2nd(101)7.045%5.1
3rd(41)7.039%4.0
4th(6)1.283%3.5
All (302)42%4.3

San José State, all games.