Sun Belt

2023 · through CFP Finals

ConferenceSeasonThrough

Sun Belt was the 6th-ranked FBS conference in 2023 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 0 teams in the top 25. James Madison led the conference, ranked 27th in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

Team	Efficiency rank	SOR rank	Conf. sched. rank	Overall record	Conf. record	Proj. conf. wins
Troy	32	30	14	11-3	8-1	8.0
James Madison	34	28	3	11-2	7-1	7.0
Appalachian State	54	54	13	9-5	6-3	6.0
Coastal Carolina	65	59	10	8-5	5-3	5.0
Old Dominion	102	85	9	6-7	5-3	5.0
Arkansas State	105	84	8	6-7	4-4	4.0
South Alabama	49	77	7	7-6	4-4	4.0
Texas State	73	65	12	8-5	4-4	4.0
Georgia Southern	100	90	5	6-7	3-5	3.0
Georgia State	90	71	1	7-6	3-5	3.0
Louisiana	85	92	11	6-7	3-5	3.0
Marshall	98	81	2	6-7	3-5	3.0
Southern Miss	120	119	4	3-9	2-6	2.0
ULM	126	129	6	2-10	0-8	0.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

	Troy	James Madison	Appalachian State	Coastal Carolina	Old Dominion	Arkansas State	South Alabama	Texas State	Georgia Southern	Georgia State	Louisiana	Marshall	Southern Miss	ULM
Troy		W 16-14	L 23-49	·	·	L 3-37	L 10-28	L 13-31	·	L 7-28	L 24-31	·	L 17-35	L 14-45
James Madison	L 14-16		W 26-23	L 14-56	L 27-30	·	L 23-31	·	L 13-41	L 14-42	·	L 9-20	·	·
Appalachian State	W 49-23	L 23-26		W 27-24	W 28-21	·	·	·	L 27-55	L 14-42	·	L 9-31	L 38-48	L 40-41
Coastal Carolina	·	W 56-14	L 24-27		L 24-28	L 17-27	·	L 23-31	W 38-28	W 30-17	·	L 6-34	·	·
Old Dominion	·	W 30-27	L 21-28	W 28-24		·	·	·	L 17-20	L 24-25	L 31-38	W 41-35	L 13-17	·
Arkansas State	W 37-3	·	·	W 27-17	·		W 21-14	L 31-77	·	·	L 17-37	W 35-21	L 37-44	L 24-34
South Alabama	W 28-10	W 31-23	·	·	·	L 14-21		W 52-44	·	·	W 33-20	L 0-28	L 3-55	L 7-55
Texas State	W 31-13	·	·	W 31-23	·	W 77-31	L 44-52		L 24-45	·	W 34-30	·	L 36-50	L 20-21
Georgia Southern	·	W 41-13	W 55-27	L 28-38	W 20-17	·	·	W 45-24		L 27-44	·	W 38-33	·	L 28-38
Georgia State	W 28-7	W 42-14	W 42-14	L 17-30	W 25-24	·	·	·	W 44-27		L 17-20	L 24-41	·	·
Louisiana	W 31-24	·	·	·	W 38-31	W 37-17	L 20-33	L 30-34	·	W 20-17		·	W 34-31	L 21-52
Marshall	·	W 20-9	W 31-9	W 34-6	L 35-41	L 21-35	W 28-0	·	L 33-38	W 41-24	·		·	·
Southern Miss	W 35-17	·	W 48-38	·	W 17-13	W 44-37	W 55-3	W 50-36	·	·	L 31-34	·		L 7-24
ULM	W 45-14	·	W 41-40	·	·	W 34-24	W 55-7	W 21-20	W 38-28	·	W 52-21	·	W 24-7
Exp. wins for a #25 team	7.3	6.1	7.2	6.5	6.4	6.4	6.3	6.5	6.3	6.1	6.5	6.1	6.2	6.3
Conf. sched. difficulty rank	14th	3rd	13th	10th	9th	8th	7th	12th	5th	1st	11th	2nd	4th	6th
Projected conf. wins	8.0	7.0	6.0	5.0	5.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	3.0	3.0	3.0	3.0	2.0	0.0
Conference record	8-1	7-1	6-3	5-3	5-3	4-4	4-4	4-4	3-5	3-5	3-5	3-5	2-6	0-8

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team	0 wins	1 win	2 wins	3 wins	4 wins	5 wins	6 wins	7 wins	8 wins	9 wins
Troy	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
James Madison	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	—
Appalachian State	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Coastal Carolina	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Old Dominion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Arkansas State	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
South Alabama	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Texas State	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Georgia Southern	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Georgia State	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Louisiana	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Marshall	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Southern Miss	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
ULM	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

	Offensive Eff			Defensive Eff			Overall Efficiency
Team	Pass O Eff	Rush O Eff	Total Off Eff	Pass D Eff	Rush D Eff	Total Def Eff	Overall Eff
Troy	81	107	65	16	12	10	32
James Madison	28	112	55	62	2	20	34
Appalachian State	26	36	39	46	117	73	54
Coastal Carolina	38	76	68	31	87	68	65
Old Dominion	117	58	114	102	21	72	102
Arkansas State	89	70	96	111	83	91	105
South Alabama	40	52	43	100	11	61	49
Texas State	47	42	34	92	88	121	73
Georgia Southern	93	48	83	109	110	111	100
Georgia State	53	62	77	94	74	99	90
Louisiana	57	25	53	97	100	104	85
Marshall	80	60	99	58	60	83	98
Southern Miss	118	65	112	117	107	113	120
ULM	129	83	121	131	36	118	126

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

TroyJames Madison

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Overall
Troy	0-2	0-1	4-0	7-0	11-3
James Madison	0-0	1-0	4-2	6-0	11-2
Appalachian State	0-0	1-2	2-1	6-2	9-5
Coastal Carolina	0-1	1-1	1-0	6-3	8-5
Old Dominion	0-0	0-3	1-0	5-4	6-7
Arkansas State	0-1	0-2	0-1	6-3	6-7
South Alabama	0-0	1-3	0-1	6-2	7-6
Texas State	0-0	0-1	1-3	7-1	8-5
Georgia Southern	0-0	0-3	0-1	6-3	6-7
Georgia State	0-1	0-2	2-1	5-2	7-6
Louisiana	0-0	1-1	0-1	5-5	6-7
Marshall	0-0	0-4	1-3	5-0	6-7
Southern Miss	0-1	0-3	1-2	2-3	3-9
ULM	0-2	0-1	0-4	2-3	2-10

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

Team	Week 1	Week 2	Week 3	Week 4	Week 5	Week 6	Week 7	Week 8	Week 9	Week 10	Week 11	Week 12	Week 13	Week 14
Troy	-2.0	2.0	3.4	-5.7	18.7	15.8	14.5		16.8	18.3	12.0	-0.3	5.8	24.9
James Madison	-3.2	1.3	14.4	1.0	10.4		20.6	4.2	-8.0	27.2	11.4	-1.4	35.2
Appalachian State	-2.0	9.6	4.8	3.2	-15.7		-3.5	-12.8	-9.5	22.9	25.9	12.7	11.6	-12.7
Coastal Carolina	-3.0	8.5	21.2	-21.7	-15.4		5.9	5.4	23.8	-3.0	6.5	-17.6	-31.8
Old Dominion	-10.9	1.9	-9.7	-39.5	-12.3	-9.8		6.7	7.6	-6.3	-28.8	-3.9	-9.7
Arkansas State	-40.3	-34.0	-14.1	-12.3	11.5	-15.8		-15.2	-3.6	14.7	-0.6	28.2	-29.6
South Alabama	-12.9	-2.9	35.0	-23.6	2.0	27.4		27.2	-26.4	-5.0	-4.8	14.9	-7.0
Texas State	5.5	-4.8	6.0	-0.7	7.8	-8.7	-20.0		-10.4	18.7	-9.8	-40.6	8.0
Georgia Southern	-6.1	-3.2	-14.2	20.3	6.3		-20.9	-12.0	12.0	-30.4	-9.2	-13.8	-17.6
Georgia State	-13.1	9.6	1.4	15.1	-15.6		7.0	2.4	-27.0	-25.0	-29.3	-19.2	-5.4
Louisiana	-15.8	-15.6	17.1	-7.0	-14.7	1.0		-13.4	25.6	-28.9	-20.9	4.9	8.3
Marshall	-3.8	8.2		10.2	-5.1	6.5	-21.7	-4.2	-32.7	-37.0	-8.1	-19.4	11.7
Southern Miss	-7.7	-18.8	-20.4	-13.0	-26.6	-14.9		-44.9	-3.5	-6.0	0.3	-22.3	-12.4
ULM	-6.7	-14.0	-25.2		-0.0	-42.0	-1.5	-15.3	-24.4	-28.5	-21.2	-12.3	-31.7