FanBoardHQ

Marshall

Marshall University · 2023 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#86
Efficiency
-8.5
98th FBS
Record
6-7
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
T-9th
of 14
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Marshall went 6-7 and was ranked 86th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 83rd-ranked defense carried them, with a 99th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 53% of offensive plays with an 81st-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 60th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-4
Q3
1-3
Q4
5-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 6.0 wins
Strength of Record
81st
-3.8 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
74th
full season
74th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
68th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.1 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs UAlbanyCoastal AthleticW 2117-0.1100%-3.8Q4
2@ East CarolinaAmerican Athletic#128W 3113+0.2100%8.2Q4
4vs Virginia TechACC#58W 2417-11.5100%10.2Q3
5vs Old DominionSun Belt#89W 4135+3.2100%-5.1Q4
6@ NC StateACC#26L 4148-20.60%6.5Q2
7@ Georgia StateSun Belt#77L 2441-5.00%-21.7Q3
8vs James MadisonSun Belt#27L 920-14.20%-4.2Q2
9@ Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#63L 634-10.90%-32.7Q3
10@ Appalachian StateSun Belt#52L 931-14.10%-37.0Q2
11vs Georgia SouthernSun Belt#95W 3833+3.1100%-8.1Q4
12@ South AlabamaSun Belt#70L 028-15.20%-19.4Q2
13vs Arkansas StateSun Belt#91W 3521+3.7100%11.7Q4
Postseason
vs UTSAAmerican Athletic#55L 1735-8.80%-15.0Q3

13 played · 6-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Marshall, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-33.1-12.7+7.8-4810-56-22-4-33-37-8-1912Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 81st
SR 72ndYPP 79thEPA 85th
RushingEff 60th
SR 80thYPP 41stEPA 57th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 58th
SR 59thYPP 79thEPA 52nd
Rush defenseEff 60th
SR 29thYPP 98thEPA 55th
Dropback rate 53%Tempo +1.6 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 63rd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 44%1st · Defense allowed: 40%1st2nd · Offense: 39%2nd · Defense allowed: 38%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 32%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 36%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 41.0Q1 · Allowed: 54.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 101.0Q2 · Allowed: 150.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 73.0Q3 · Allowed: 68.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 52.0Q4 · Allowed: 86.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledMarshallOffenseDefense
Marshall Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 99th
-5.1
Field position: -0.5Finishing drives: -4.6
Field position -0.5Finishing drives -4.6= -5.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 83rd · Finishing 99th

Defensive EffRanked 83rd
-1.9
Field position: -2.0Finishing drives: +0.1
Field position -2.0Finishing drives +0.1= -1.9
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 124th · Finishing 67th

1.46 points per drive on offense, 2.00 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(213)53% / 47%36%5.6
Q2(225)53% / 47%39%5.7
Q3(196)51% / 49%46%6.9
Q4(212)57% / 43%37%4.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(188)10.345%6.0
2nd(140)8.544%7.1
3rd(105)8.828%5.5
4th(18)7.722%1.5
All (451)40%6.1
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(188)9.843%6.0
2nd(132)7.833%4.6
3rd(69)6.039%4.7
4th(6)1.767%7.8
All (395)39%5.3

Marshall, all games.