FanBoardHQ

James Madison

James Madison University · 2023 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#27
Efficiency
+8.5
34th FBS
Record
11-2
Conf. record
7-1
Conf. finish
2nd
of 14
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James Madison went 11-2 and was ranked 27th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 20th-ranked defense carried them, with a 55th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 28th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with an 111th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
1-0
Q3
4-2
Q4
6-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 11.0 wins
Strength of Record
28th
+0.6 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
101st
full season
101st
Conf. sched. difficulty
70th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.1 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs BucknellPatriotW 383+38.7100%-3.2Q4
2@ VirginiaACC#101W 3635+9.7100%1.3Q3
3@ TroySun Belt#28W 1614-3.6100%14.4Q2
4@ Utah StateMountain West#94W 4538+15.0100%1.0Q4
5vs South AlabamaSun Belt#70W 3123+7.3100%10.4Q3
7vs Georgia SouthernSun Belt#95W 4113+20.0100%20.6Q4
8@ MarshallSun Belt#86W 209+14.2100%4.2Q4
9vs Old DominionSun Belt#89W 3027+20.1100%-8.0Q4
10@ Georgia StateSun Belt#77W 4214+11.9100%27.2Q3
11vs UConnFBS Independents#122W 446+27.7100%11.4Q4
12vs Appalachian StateSun Belt#52L 2326+8.40%-1.4Q3
13@ Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#63W 5614+6.1100%35.2Q3
Postseason
vs Air ForceMountain West#45L 2131+4.60%-7.0Q3

13 played · 11-2. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on James Madison, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-5.6+13.0+31.7-3114110214-82711-135Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 28th
SR 17thYPP 40thEPA 37th
RushingEff 111th
SR 93rdYPP 92ndEPA 122nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 62nd
SR 39thYPP 70thEPA 72nd
Rush defenseEff 2nd
SR 1stYPP 2ndEPA 2nd
Dropback rate 53%Tempo +0.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 82nd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 49%1st · Defense allowed: 35%1st2nd · Offense: 47%2nd · Defense allowed: 28%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 39%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 38%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 92.0Q1 · Allowed: 27.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 105.0Q2 · Allowed: 78.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 114.0Q3 · Allowed: 76.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 108.0Q4 · Allowed: 58.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledJames MadisonOffenseDefense
James Madison Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 55th
+0.6
Field position: +0.3Finishing drives: +0.3
Field position +0.3Finishing drives +0.3= +0.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 53rd · Finishing 60th

Defensive EffRanked 20th
+7.9
Field position: +1.6Finishing drives: +6.3
Field position +1.6Finishing drives +6.3= +7.9
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 19th · Finishing 20th

2.51 points per drive on offense, 1.50 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 34.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(214)53% / 47%51%7.5
Q2(230)58% / 42%43%6.0
Q3(202)54% / 46%45%6.0
Q4(208)43% / 57%47%6.0
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(192)10.257%8.8
2nd(145)7.854%7.7
3rd(99)7.738%6.7
4th(10)5.270%11.2
All (446)52%8.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(206)9.742%5.1
2nd(136)7.139%4.2
3rd(60)6.435%4.4
4th(6)2.033%0.3
All (408)40%4.6

James Madison, all games.