FanBoardHQ

Georgia Southern

Georgia Southern University · 2023 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#95
Efficiency
-8.8
100th FBS
Record
6-7
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
T-9th
of 14
Georgia Southern Fanboard →

Georgia Southern went 6-7 and was ranked 95th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 83rd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 111th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 65% of offensive plays with a 93rd-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 35% of plays with a 49th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-3
Q3
0-1
Q4
6-3

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 6.0 wins
Strength of Record
90th
-4.6 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
110th
full season
110th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
73rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs The CitadelSouthernW 340+43.4100%-6.1Q4
2vs UABAmerican Athletic#114W 4935+7.7100%-3.2Q4
3@ WisconsinBig Ten#60L 1435-14.20%-14.2Q2
4@ Ball StateMid-American#116W 403+3.6100%20.3Q4
5vs Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#63W 3828-5.7100%6.3Q4
7@ James MadisonSun Belt#27L 1341-20.00%-20.9Q2
8vs ULMSun Belt#130W 3828+12.5100%-12.0Q4
9vs Georgia StateSun Belt#77W 4427+0.2100%12.0Q4
10@ Texas StateSun Belt#71L 2445-8.60%-30.4Q3
11@ MarshallSun Belt#86L 3338-3.10%-9.2Q4
12vs Old DominionSun Belt#89L 1720+2.90%-13.8Q4
13@ Appalachian StateSun Belt#52L 2755-14.40%-17.6Q2
Postseason
vs OhioMid-American#54L 2141-5.50%-25.4Q4

13 played · 6-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Georgia Southern, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-26.4-5.0+16.3-6-3-14206-21-1212-30-9-14-18Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 93rd
SR 55thYPP 108thEPA 100th
RushingEff 49th
SR 27thYPP 82ndEPA 40th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 109th
SR 112thYPP 104thEPA 111th
Rush defenseEff 109th
SR 96thYPP 107thEPA 109th
Dropback rate 65%Tempo -0.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 81st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 45%1st · Defense allowed: 46%1st2nd · Offense: 45%2nd · Defense allowed: 45%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 49%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 41%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 86.0Q1 · Allowed: 51.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 135.0Q2 · Allowed: 130.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 78.0Q3 · Allowed: 129.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 64.0Q4 · Allowed: 79.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledGeorgia SouthernOffenseDefense
Georgia Southern Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 83rd
-2.6
Field position: -0.2Finishing drives: -2.4
Field position -0.2Finishing drives -2.4= -2.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 72nd · Finishing 82nd

Defensive EffRanked 111th
-6.7
Field position: +0.0Finishing drives: -6.7
Field position +0.0Finishing drives -6.7= -6.7
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 65th · Finishing 118th

2.17 points per drive on offense, 2.34 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(217)62% / 38%51%5.6
Q2(271)68% / 32%46%6.3
Q3(209)67% / 33%43%6.4
Q4(235)60% / 40%44%5.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(243)10.147%5.6
2nd(210)8.244%6.7
3rd(132)7.542%6.3
4th(13)4.554%9.8
All (598)45%6.2
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(181)9.744%5.2
2nd(98)7.047%5.7
3rd(48)4.065%5.2
4th(7)3.971%4.6
All (334)48%5.3

Georgia Southern, all games.