East Carolina
East Carolina University · 2026 · American Athletic
East Carolina is 0-2 and ranked 102nd in overall efficiency. Their 78th-ranked offense is the engine, backed by a 103rd-ranked defense. They pass the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 75th-ranked passing attack and run the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with an 83rd-ranked rushing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Alabama | SEC | #6 | L 10–48 | -34.1 | 0% | -22.7 | Q1 |
| 2 | vs Appalachian State | Sun Belt | #84 | L 24–27 | -2.1 | 0% | -9.4 | Q4 |
| 3 | @ Old Dominion | Sun Belt | #106 | Preview | -2.1 | 45% | — | Q4 |
| 4 | vs North Carolina Central | MEAC | — | Preview | +26.7 | 94% | — | Q4 |
| 6 | vs Rice | American Athletic | #118 | Preview | +7.6 | 67% | — | Q4 |
| 7 | @ UAB | American Athletic | #119 | Preview | +2.2 | 55% | — | Q4 |
| 8 | @ Memphis | American Athletic | #69 | Preview | -9.5 | 29% | — | Q3 |
| 9 | vs Temple | American Athletic | #87 | Preview | -1.5 | 47% | — | Q4 |
| 10 | vs South Florida | American Athletic | #43 | Preview | -12.1 | 24% | — | Q3 |
| 11 | @ Charlotte | American Athletic | #137 | Preview | +13.7 | 79% | — | Q4 |
| 12 | @ Army | American Athletic | #56 | Preview | -16.1 | 17% | — | Q2 |
| 13 | vs Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | #91 | Preview | -0.5 | 49% | — | Q4 |
2 played · 0-2. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on East Carolina, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 130th · Finishing 63rd
Field position 129th · Finishing 90th
1.42 points per drive on offense, 2.72 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 24.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(25) | 36% / 64% | 56% | 5.4 |
| Q2(25) | 48% / 52% | 44% | 7.8 |
| Q3(28) | 64% / 36% | 25% | 4.5 |
| Q4(35) | 63% / 37% | 37% | 4.1 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(21) | 10.2 | 48% | 3.2 |
| 2nd(24) | 9.4 | 46% | 12.3 |
| 3rd(14) | 9.6 | 0% | 1.1 |
| 4th(2) | 6.5 | 50% | 3.5 |
| All (61) | — | 36% | 6.2 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(28) | 9.9 | 43% | 5.8 |
| 2nd(16) | 5.9 | 50% | 1.8 |
| 3rd(7) | 7.7 | 29% | 2.3 |
| 4th(1) | 3.0 | 100% | 15.0 |
| All (52) | — | 44% | 4.3 |
East Carolina, all games.