FanBoardHQ

Eastern Michigan

Eastern Michigan University · 2025 · Mid-American

FanBoardHQ CFP
#121
Efficiency
-17.9
126th FBS
Record
4-8
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
T-9th
of 13
Eastern Michigan Fanboard →

Eastern Michigan went 4-8 and was ranked 121st in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 105th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 132nd-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 51% of offensive plays with an 87th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 49% of plays with a 91st-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-2
Q4
4-5

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 4.0 wins
Strength of Record
120th
-6.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
129th
full season
129th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
103rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.2 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ Texas StateSun Belt#79L 2752-20.30%-25.6Q3
2vs Long Island UniversityNECL 2328+14.80%-38.9Q4
3@ KentuckySEC#62L 2348-23.90%-20.0Q2
4vs LouisianaSun Belt#100W 3431-2.8100%-12.3Q4
5@ Central MichiganMid-American#84L 1324-12.20%-16.7Q4
6@ BuffaloMid-American#113L 3031-4.90%-14.0Q4
7vs Northern IllinoisMid-American#126W 1610+2.2100%-13.5Q4
8@ Miami-OHMid-American#88L 3044-14.30%-25.9Q3
9vs OhioMid-American#60L 2128-11.50%-13.5Q4
11vs Bowling GreenMid-American#120W 2721+2.2100%-12.4Q4
12@ Ball StateMid-American#122W 249+1.0100%-2.3Q4
14vs Western MichiganMid-American#50L 2131-14.80%-19.8Q4

12 played · 4-8. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Eastern Michigan, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-35.8-19.5-3.1-26-39-20-12-17-14-13-26-14-12-2-20Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 87th
SR 91stYPP 83rdEPA 81st
RushingEff 91st
SR 84thYPP 94thEPA 95th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 134th
SR 131stYPP 120thEPA 133rd
Rush defenseEff 130th
SR 121stYPP 134thEPA 130th
Dropback rate 51%Tempo +0.8 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 96th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 44%1st · Defense allowed: 44%1st2nd · Offense: 43%2nd · Defense allowed: 44%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 44%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 48%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 70.0Q1 · Allowed: 84.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 85.0Q2 · Allowed: 96.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 21.0Q3 · Allowed: 69.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 116.0Q4 · Allowed: 96.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledEastern MichiganOffenseDefense
Eastern Michigan Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 105th
-6.5
Field position: -3.7Finishing drives: -2.8
Field position -3.7Finishing drives -2.8= -6.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 136th · Finishing 85th

Defensive EffRanked 132nd
-11.5
Field position: -0.8Finishing drives: -10.7
Field position -0.8Finishing drives -10.7= -11.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 97th · Finishing 132nd

2.07 points per drive on offense, 2.40 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 25.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(215)51% / 49%47%6.3
Q2(211)58% / 42%42%5.9
Q3(167)54% / 46%38%5.0
Q4(214)48% / 52%45%6.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(172)10.148%7.5
2nd(140)8.839%5.6
3rd(108)7.838%7.8
4th(4)4.575%11.5
All (424)42%7.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(188)9.840%4.5
2nd(118)6.647%5.4
3rd(64)5.050%5.0
4th(13)2.462%2.5
All (383)45%4.8

Eastern Michigan, all games.