Sun Belt

2025 · through CFP Finals

ConferenceSeasonThrough

Sun Belt was the 8th-ranked FBS conference in 2025 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 1 team in the top 25. James Madison led the conference, ranked 22nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

Team	Efficiency rank	SOR rank	Conf. sched. rank	Overall record	Conf. record	Proj. conf. wins
James Madison	36	22	14	12-2	9-0	9.0
Old Dominion	39	35	7	10-3	6-2	6.0
Troy	97	72	11	8-6	6-3	6.0
Arkansas State	105	85	10	7-6	5-3	5.0
Coastal Carolina	114	91	2	6-7	5-3	5.0
Georgia Southern	108	75	13	7-6	5-4	5.0
Louisiana	112	96	4	6-7	5-3	5.0
Southern Miss	103	88	8	7-6	5-3	5.0
Marshall	88	99	3	5-7	3-5	3.0
South Alabama	109	115	9	4-8	3-5	3.0
Texas State	71	82	6	7-6	3-5	3.0
Appalachian State	116	105	12	5-8	2-7	2.0
ULM	132	124	5	3-9	1-7	1.0
Georgia State	129	135	1	1-11	0-8	0.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

	James Madison	Old Dominion	Troy	Arkansas State	Coastal Carolina	Georgia Southern	Louisiana	Southern Miss	Marshall	South Alabama	Texas State	Appalachian State	ULM	Georgia State
James Madison		L 27-63	L 14-31	·	L 10-59	L 10-35	L 14-24	·	L 23-35	·	L 20-52	L 10-58	·	L 7-14
Old Dominion	W 63-27		L 0-33	·	L 7-47	L 10-45	·	·	W 48-24	·	·	L 21-24	L 6-31	L 10-27
Troy	W 31-14	W 33-0		W 23-10	·	·	L 23-35	L 18-28	·	L 24-31	L 41-48	·	L 14-37	L 19-31
Arkansas State	·	·	L 10-23		·	L 24-34	W 34-30	W 27-21	·	L 14-15	L 30-31	L 29-30	W 28-16	·
Coastal Carolina	W 59-10	W 47-7	·	·		W 45-40	·	·	L 27-44	L 20-38	·	L 37-45	L 8-23	L 27-40
Georgia Southern	W 35-10	W 45-10	·	W 34-24	L 40-45		·	W 38-35	L 19-24	·	·	L 10-29	·	L 24-41
Louisiana	W 24-14	·	W 35-23	L 30-34	·	·		W 22-10	L 51-54	L 22-31	L 39-42	·	L 27-30	·
Southern Miss	·	·	W 28-18	L 21-27	·	L 35-38	L 10-22		·	W 42-35	W 41-14	L 22-38	L 21-49	·
Marshall	W 35-23	L 24-48	·	·	W 44-27	W 24-19	W 54-51	·		·	L 37-40	W 26-24	·	L 18-30
South Alabama	·	·	W 31-24	W 15-14	W 38-20	·	W 31-22	L 35-42	·		W 49-26	·	L 14-26	L 31-38
Texas State	W 52-20	·	W 48-41	W 31-30	·	·	W 42-39	L 14-41	W 40-37	L 26-49		·	L 14-31	·
Appalachian State	W 58-10	W 24-21	·	W 30-29	W 45-37	W 29-10	·	W 38-22	L 24-26	·	·		·	L 20-41
ULM	·	W 31-6	W 37-14	L 16-28	W 23-8	·	W 30-27	W 49-21	·	W 26-14	W 31-14	·		·
Georgia State	W 14-7	W 27-10	W 31-19	·	W 40-27	W 41-24	·	·	W 30-18	W 38-31	·	W 41-20	·
Exp. wins for a #25 team	7.9	7.0	7.4	7.3	6.7	7.6	6.8	7.3	6.8	7.3	7.0	7.5	6.9	6.6
Conf. sched. difficulty rank	14th	7th	11th	10th	2nd	13th	4th	8th	3rd	9th	6th	12th	5th	1st
Projected conf. wins	9.0	6.0	6.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	3.0	3.0	3.0	2.0	1.0	0.0
Conference record	9-0	6-2	6-3	5-3	5-3	5-4	5-3	5-3	3-5	3-5	3-5	2-7	1-7	0-8

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team	0 wins	1 win	2 wins	3 wins	4 wins	5 wins	6 wins	7 wins	8 wins	9 wins
James Madison	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
Old Dominion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Troy	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Arkansas State	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Coastal Carolina	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Georgia Southern	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Louisiana	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Southern Miss	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Marshall	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
South Alabama	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Texas State	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Appalachian State	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
ULM	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Georgia State	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

	Offensive Eff			Defensive Eff			Overall Efficiency
Team	Pass O Eff	Rush O Eff	Total Off Eff	Pass D Eff	Rush D Eff	Total Def Eff	Overall Eff
James Madison	61	45	44	40	15	33	36
Old Dominion	29	26	62	24	57	13	39
Troy	120	129	107	73	97	78	97
Arkansas State	113	126	111	89	117	92	105
Coastal Carolina	130	96	113	110	115	99	114
Georgia Southern	83	57	70	126	134	125	108
Louisiana	132	68	102	112	127	100	112
Southern Miss	75	120	109	102	87	91	103
Marshall	53	109	82	125	48	86	88
South Alabama	97	77	84	127	110	117	109
Texas State	34	35	27	118	83	116	71
Appalachian State	126	102	117	111	107	110	116
ULM	106	122	120	128	77	123	132
Georgia State	99	92	121	115	101	124	129

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

James MadisonOld Dominion

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Overall
James Madison	0-2	1-0	3-0	8-0	12-2
Old Dominion	1-1	0-1	1-1	8-0	10-3
Troy	0-0	0-3	1-1	7-2	8-6
Arkansas State	0-0	0-1	0-1	7-4	7-6
Coastal Carolina	0-1	0-3	0-1	6-2	6-7
Georgia Southern	0-1	0-2	1-0	6-3	7-6
Louisiana	0-0	0-2	0-0	6-5	6-7
Southern Miss	0-0	0-0	0-2	7-4	7-6
Marshall	0-1	1-1	0-0	4-5	5-7
South Alabama	0-2	0-0	0-2	4-4	4-8
Texas State	0-0	0-2	1-1	6-3	7-6
Appalachian State	0-0	0-3	0-0	5-5	5-8
ULM	0-1	0-2	0-1	3-5	3-9
Georgia State	0-2	0-2	0-1	1-6	1-11

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

Team	Week 1	Week 2	Week 3	Week 4	Week 5	Week 6	Week 7	Week 8	Week 9	Week 10	Week 11	Week 12	Week 13	Week 14	Week 15
James Madison	2.8	0.4		17.2	10.2	-8.8	-6.1	35.3		31.6	9.2	18.3	8.2	18.8	3.7
Old Dominion	21.7	11.2	25.2		0.1	21.7	-21.8	-17.4	-13.3	11.7		18.1	27.8	-7.0
Troy	-13.6	-0.1	-19.4	-9.9		-13.6	-2.7	6.7	-1.2	-27.7		-18.8	-11.4	1.9	-3.2
Arkansas State	-5.2	-33.5	-1.3	-10.2	-36.0	-2.4		-8.4	-4.7	7.0	-19.1		-22.9	-9.7
Coastal Carolina	-20.9	-17.6	-25.1	7.8		-27.2	-10.1	-3.2		4.4	-6.0	-16.0	-32.1	-23.0
Georgia Southern	-27.3	-7.8	-7.3	-7.9	-12.3		-19.4	-5.0	-18.5		-8.7	-9.7	-36.2	1.4
Louisiana	-21.4	-10.4	-21.5	-17.9	-9.3		3.4	-19.9	-20.3	4.3	0.6		-1.0	-25.8
Southern Miss	-21.0	-1.8	5.4	-15.1	8.8		-3.5	-3.6	1.4		-3.5	-45.6	-27.9	-22.1
Marshall	-9.8	-20.2	8.1	-3.2	-9.3		24.0	2.1		-24.5	-5.8	-2.7	-14.2	-19.3
South Alabama	-22.0	1.2	-4.5	-33.5	2.8	-7.4		-15.0	-9.7	-28.5		-6.2	5.0	-24.8
Texas State	7.4	12.3	-20.6	14.8		-9.5	-6.8	-8.7		-22.3	-13.3	26.1	-7.5	12.5
Appalachian State	3.3	-20.4	-31.1		-23.7	-13.4	9.4	-25.3	7.1		-17.7	-23.3	-6.6	-16.4
ULM	-19.2	-36.0		-6.3	3.2	-28.1	-25.1	-37.2	-33.8	-24.6		-27.0	-14.2	-7.9
Georgia State	-14.5	-17.3	-14.2	-24.4		-1.2	-43.6	-26.4	-21.8		-27.6	-23.1	-17.4	-4.2