FanBoardHQ

Ohio

Ohio University · 2025 · Mid-American

FanBoardHQ CFP
#60
Efficiency
-3.6
79th FBS
Record
9-4
Conf. record
6-2
Conf. finish
T-2nd
of 13
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Ohio went 9-4 and was ranked 60th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 69th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 88th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 60% of offensive plays with a 49th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 40% of plays with a 73rd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-0
Q3
1-2
Q4
8-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 9.0 wins
Strength of Record
52nd
-1.9 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
110th
full season
110th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
123rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ RutgersBig Ten#72L 3134-5.80%3.0Q3
2vs West VirginiaBig 12#92W 1710+5.2100%-1.6Q4
3@ Ohio StateBig Ten#4L 937-35.10%5.3Q1
4vs Gardner-WebbOVC-Big SouthW 5235+21.9100%-10.5Q4
5vs Bowling GreenMid-American#120W 3520+16.5100%-4.5Q4
6@ Ball StateMid-American#122L 1420+15.30%-24.3Q4
8vs Northern IllinoisMid-American#126W 4821+16.5100%17.1Q4
9@ Eastern MichiganMid-American#121W 2821+11.5100%-8.0Q4
11vs Miami-OHMid-American#88W 2420+5.4100%-11.9Q4
12@ Western MichiganMid-American#50L 1317-6.00%-1.3Q3
13vs MassachusettsMid-American#136W 4214+36.1100%-12.9Q4
14@ BuffaloMid-American#113W 3126+9.3100%-8.2Q4
Postseason
vs UNLVMountain West#55W 1710-3.6100%10.4Q3

13 played · 9-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Ohio, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-21.0-3.6+13.83-25-11-5-2417-8-12-1-13-8Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 73rd
SR 50thYPP 79thEPA 84th
RushingEff 49th
SR 68thYPP 44thEPA 41st
Defense
Pass defenseEff 85th
SR 86thYPP 90thEPA 83rd
Rush defenseEff 99th
SR 99thYPP 106thEPA 95th
Dropback rate 40%Tempo +5.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 95th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 46%1st2nd · Offense: 48%2nd · Defense allowed: 40%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 46%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 38%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 69.0Q1 · Allowed: 65.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 111.0Q2 · Allowed: 51.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 84.0Q3 · Allowed: 57.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 76.0Q4 · Allowed: 101.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledOhioOffenseDefense
Ohio Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 69th
-0.7
Field position: -0.1Finishing drives: -0.6
Field position -0.1Finishing drives -0.6= -0.7
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 63rd · Finishing 72nd

Defensive EffRanked 88th
-2.9
Field position: -0.3Finishing drives: -2.6
Field position -0.3Finishing drives -2.6= -2.9
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 78th · Finishing 90th

2.26 points per drive on offense, 1.83 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(186)38% / 62%50%6.5
Q2(249)50% / 50%45%6.4
Q3(219)39% / 61%50%7.0
Q4(203)26% / 74%37%5.1
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(137)10.253%8.2
2nd(111)8.149%7.7
3rd(74)8.831%4.3
4th(11)3.945%4.5
All (333)46%7.1
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(246)9.638%5.1
2nd(173)7.447%6.1
3rd(88)5.255%7.0
4th(17)1.971%6.5
All (524)45%5.8

Ohio, all games.