FanBoardHQ

Louisiana

University of Louisiana at Lafayette · 2025 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#100
Efficiency
-12.4
112th FBS
Record
6-7
Conf. record
5-3
Conf. finish
T-4th
of 14
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Louisiana went 6-7 and was ranked 100th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 100th-ranked defense carried them, with a 102nd-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 58% of offensive plays with a 68th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 42% of plays with a 132nd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-2
Q3
0-0
Q4
6-5

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 6.0 wins
Strength of Record
96th
-5.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
120th
full season
120th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
90th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs RiceAmerican Athletic#106L 1214+6.70%-21.4Q4
2vs McNeeseSouthlandW 3410+19.2100%-10.4Q4
3@ MissouriSEC#34L 1052-25.80%-21.5Q2
4@ Eastern MichiganMid-American#121L 3134+2.80%-17.9Q4
5vs MarshallSun Belt#96W 5451-3.4100%-9.3Q4
7@ James MadisonSun Belt#22L 1424-24.80%3.4Q2
8vs Southern MissSun Belt#95L 1022+1.50%-19.9Q4
9@ TroySun Belt#80L 2335-6.00%-20.3Q4
10@ South AlabamaSun Belt#114W 3122-3.3100%4.3Q4
11vs Texas StateSun Belt#79W 4239-9.3100%0.6Q4
13@ Arkansas StateSun Belt#90W 3430-3.6100%-1.0Q4
14vs ULMSun Belt#128W 3027+11.7100%-25.8Q4
Postseason
vs DelawareConference USA#98L 1320+2.90%-21.7Q4

13 played · 6-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Louisiana, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-23.4-10.8+1.9-21-10-21-18-93-20-2041-1-26Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 132nd
SR 132ndYPP 129thEPA 131st
RushingEff 68th
SR 89thYPP 48thEPA 71st
Defense
Pass defenseEff 112th
SR 119thYPP 126thEPA 102nd
Rush defenseEff 127th
SR 133rdYPP 121stEPA 125th
Dropback rate 42%Tempo +6.4 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 95th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 40%1st · Defense allowed: 47%1st2nd · Offense: 35%2nd · Defense allowed: 46%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 43%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 46%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 65.0Q1 · Allowed: 72.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 136.0Q2 · Allowed: 107.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 33.0Q3 · Allowed: 61.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 92.0Q4 · Allowed: 99.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledLouisianaOffenseDefense
Louisiana Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 102nd
-6.2
Field position: -1.9Finishing drives: -4.4
Field position -1.9Finishing drives -4.4= -6.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 124th · Finishing 95th

Defensive EffRanked 100th
-4.3
Field position: -2.5Finishing drives: -1.7
Field position -2.5Finishing drives -1.7= -4.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 127th · Finishing 80th

1.91 points per drive on offense, 2.10 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(190)41% / 59%39%5.3
Q2(234)44% / 56%43%6.1
Q3(173)35% / 65%41%5.2
Q4(222)49% / 51%33%5.4
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(118)10.238%6.2
2nd(117)8.732%4.7
3rd(106)8.532%6.8
4th(9)6.244%6.3
All (350)35%5.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(234)10.041%5.3
2nd(145)7.537%4.2
3rd(79)5.653%6.2
4th(9)1.478%10.6
All (469)42%5.3

Louisiana, all games.