FanBoardHQ

Hawai'i

University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa · 2024 · Mountain West

FanBoardHQ CFP
#105
Efficiency
-13.0
114th FBS
Record
5-7
Conf. record
3-4
Conf. finish
T-5th
of 12
Hawai'i Fanboard →

Hawai'i went 5-7 and was ranked 105th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 88th-ranked defense carried them, with a 125th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 65% of offensive plays with a 106th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 35% of plays with an 115th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-2
Q3
1-1
Q4
4-4

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
103rd
-5.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
108th
full season
108th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
59th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Delaware StateMEACW 3514+39.9100%-33.0Q4
1vs UCLABig Ten#58L 1316-11.80%-5.4Q4
3@ Sam HoustonConference USA#56L 1331-8.30%-22.2Q4
4vs Northern IowaMVFCW 367+20.9100%-5.8Q4
6@ San Diego StateMountain West#125L 2427+2.80%-18.8Q4
7vs Boise StateMountain West#19L 728-23.40%-14.2Q2
8@ Washington StatePac-12#61L 1042-16.90%-26.4Q3
9vs NevadaMountain West#119W 3413-0.0100%15.6Q4
10@ Fresno StateMountain West#93W 2120-10.5100%-2.6Q3
11vs UNLVMountain West#31L 2729-19.90%5.9Q2
12@ Utah StateMountain West#110L 1055-4.50%-39.7Q4
14vs New MexicoMountain West#107W 3830+4.0100%-9.2Q4

12 played · 5-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Hawai'i, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-35.3-12.1+11.1-5-22-6-19-14-2616-36-40-9Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 106th
SR 78thYPP 117thEPA 106th
RushingEff 115th
SR 110thYPP 111thEPA 114th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 73rd
SR 61stYPP 63rdEPA 82nd
Rush defenseEff 67th
SR 82ndYPP 56thEPA 68th
Dropback rate 65%Tempo +3.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 80th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 46%1st · Defense allowed: 44%1st2nd · Offense: 44%2nd · Defense allowed: 38%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 42%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 45%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 69.0Q1 · Allowed: 61.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 50.0Q2 · Allowed: 79.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 68.0Q3 · Allowed: 79.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 73.0Q4 · Allowed: 86.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledHawai'iOffenseDefense
Hawai'i Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 125th
-10.1
Field position: -2.4Finishing drives: -7.7
Field position -2.4Finishing drives -7.7= -10.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 132nd · Finishing 119th

Defensive EffRanked 88th
-2.6
Field position: +0.0Finishing drives: -2.7
Field position +0.0Finishing drives -2.7= -2.6
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 66th · Finishing 89th

1.90 points per drive on offense, 2.24 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 26.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(176)64% / 36%49%6.2
Q2(214)70% / 30%42%5.5
Q3(212)60% / 40%46%5.2
Q4(201)62% / 38%41%5.1
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(198)9.949%5.8
2nd(178)8.043%6.3
3rd(127)7.937%4.9
4th(11)7.455%3.8
All (514)44%5.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(151)9.942%4.4
2nd(97)7.244%6.0
3rd(32)7.853%5.9
4th(9)1.867%4.0
All (289)45%5.1

Hawai'i, all games.