FanBoardHQ

UCLA

University of California, Los Angeles · 2024 · Big Ten

FanBoardHQ CFP
#58
Efficiency
+1.5
61st FBS
Record
5-7
Conf. record
3-6
Conf. finish
T-12th
of 18
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UCLA went 5-7 and was ranked 58th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 62nd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 72nd-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 59% of offensive plays with a 38th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 41% of plays with an 116th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-5
Q2
3-2
Q3
0-0
Q4
2-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
60th
-1.6 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
3rd
full season
3rd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
17th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ Hawai'iMountain West#105W 1613+11.8100%-6.0Q4
3vs IndianaBig Ten#9L 1342-14.50%-16.5Q1
4@ LSUSEC#12L 1734-15.50%-2.6Q1
5vs OregonBig Ten#3L 1334-17.50%-3.3Q1
6@ Penn StateBig Ten#6L 1127-23.70%-0.6Q1
7vs MinnesotaBig Ten#32L 1721-9.40%6.1Q2
8@ RutgersBig Ten#49W 3532-6.6100%10.2Q2
10@ NebraskaBig Ten#43W 2720-10.9100%20.9Q2
11vs IowaBig Ten#36W 2017-8.8100%13.6Q2
12@ WashingtonBig Ten#53L 1931-6.10%-7.8Q2
13vs USCBig Ten#34L 1319-9.90%4.9Q1
14vs Fresno StateMountain West#93W 2013+9.5100%-0.8Q4

12 played · 5-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on UCLA, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-13.5+2.2+17.9-6-16-3-3-16102114-85-1Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 38th
SR 33rdYPP 44thEPA 27th
RushingEff 116th
SR 123rdYPP 103rdEPA 117th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 59th
SR 87thYPP 48thEPA 44th
Rush defenseEff 15th
SR 53rdYPP 4thEPA 13th
Dropback rate 59%Tempo +0.9 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 42nd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 36%1st · Defense allowed: 46%1st2nd · Offense: 41%2nd · Defense allowed: 44%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 44%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 50%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 36.0Q1 · Allowed: 62.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 74.0Q2 · Allowed: 87.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 50.0Q3 · Allowed: 61.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 47.0Q4 · Allowed: 96.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUCLAOffenseDefense
UCLA Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 62nd
+0.6
Field position: +0.0Finishing drives: +0.5
Field position +0.0Finishing drives +0.5= +0.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 62nd · Finishing 58th

Defensive EffRanked 72nd
-0.3
Field position: -0.0Finishing drives: -0.3
Field position -0.0Finishing drives -0.3= -0.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 69th · Finishing 72nd

1.75 points per drive on offense, 2.46 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(196)60% / 40%42%5.7
Q2(182)63% / 37%39%5.8
Q3(156)54% / 46%43%6.5
Q4(191)58% / 42%34%4.5
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(152)10.343%6.8
2nd(142)8.446%6.8
3rd(123)7.740%6.0
4th(10)4.740%3.6
All (427)43%6.5
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(164)9.729%3.7
2nd(96)8.132%4.9
3rd(32)4.259%5.9
4th(6)1.067%2.0
All (298)34%4.3

UCLA, all games.