FanBoardHQ

Big Ten

2024 · through CFP Finals

Big Ten was the 2nd-ranked FBS conference in 2024 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 6 teams in the top 25. Ohio State led the conference, ranked 1st in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

TeamEfficiency rankSOR rankConf. sched. rankOverall recordConf. recordProj. conf. wins
Oregon621813-110-110.0
Indiana9131711-28-18.0
Ohio State111314-28-28.0
Penn State461513-38-28.0
Illinois39111210-36-36.0
Iowa2439148-56-36.0
Michigan332058-55-45.0
Minnesota2137108-55-45.0
Rutgers5052167-64-54.0
USC2038117-64-54.0
Washington525736-74-54.0
Michigan State797565-73-63.0
Nebraska374897-63-63.0
UCLA616015-73-63.0
Wisconsin517285-73-63.0
Northwestern849874-82-72.0
Maryland649444-81-81.0
Purdue11613221-110-90.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

OregonIndianaOhio StatePenn StateIllinoisIowaMichiganMinnesotaRutgersUSCWashingtonMichigan StateNebraskaUCLAWisconsinNorthwesternMarylandPurdue
Oregon·W 41-21L 37-45L 9-38·L 17-38···L 21-49L 10-31·L 13-34L 13-16·L 18-39L 0-35
Indiana·W 38-15···L 15-20···L 17-31L 10-47L 7-56L 13-42·L 24-41L 28-42L 0-66
Ohio StateL 21-41L 15-38L 13-20·L 7-35W 13-10····L 7-38L 17-21··L 7-31·L 0-45
Penn StateW 45-37·W 20-13L 7-21··L 25-26·L 30-33L 6-35··L 11-27L 13-28·L 7-44L 10-49
IllinoisW 38-9··W 21-7·L 7-21W 25-17L 31-38··L 16-38L 24-31··L 28-38·L 49-50
Iowa··W 35-7···L 14-31··L 16-40W 32-20L 10-13W 20-17L 10-42L 14-40L 13-29·
MichiganW 38-17W 20-15L 10-13·W 21-7·L 24-27·L 24-27W 27-17L 17-24···L 6-50··
Minnesota···W 26-25L 17-25W 31-14W 27-24W 26-19L 17-24···L 17-21L 7-24·L 23-48·
Rutgers····W 38-31··L 19-26W 42-20L 18-21L 14-41W 14-7W 35-32W 42-7·L 17-31·
USC···W 33-30··W 27-24W 24-17L 20-42W 26-21·L 20-28L 13-19L 21-38·W 29-28·
WashingtonW 49-21W 31-17·W 35-6·W 40-16L 17-27·W 21-18L 21-26··L 19-31·L 5-24··
Michigan StateW 31-10W 47-10W 38-7·W 38-16L 20-32W 24-17·W 41-14······L 24-27L 17-24
Nebraska·W 56-7W 21-17·W 31-24W 13-10··L 7-14W 28-20··W 27-20L 25-44··L 10-28
UCLAW 34-13W 42-13·W 27-11·L 17-20·W 21-17L 32-35W 19-13W 31-19·L 20-27····
WisconsinW 16-13··W 28-13·W 42-10·W 24-7L 7-42W 38-21··W 44-25·L 3-23·L 6-52
Northwestern·W 41-24W 31-7·W 38-28W 40-14W 50-6···W 24-5···W 23-3L 10-37L 20-26
MarylandW 39-18W 42-28·W 44-7·W 29-13·W 48-23W 31-17L 28-29·W 27-24···W 37-10·
PurdueW 35-0W 66-0W 45-0W 49-10W 50-49······W 24-17W 28-10·W 52-6W 26-20·
Exp. wins for a #25 team6.46.25.65.95.45.74.85.25.95.44.64.95.14.45.05.04.84.6
Conf. sched. difficulty rank18th17th13th15th12th14th5th10th16th11th3rd6th9th1st8th7th4th2nd
Projected conf. wins10.08.08.08.06.06.05.05.04.04.04.03.03.03.03.02.01.00.0
Conference record10-18-18-28-26-36-35-45-44-54-54-53-63-63-63-62-71-80-9

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team0 wins1 win2 wins3 wins4 wins5 wins6 wins7 wins8 wins9 wins10 wins11 wins
Oregon0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
Indiana0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
Ohio State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
Penn State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
Illinois0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Iowa0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Michigan0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Minnesota0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Rutgers0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
USC0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Washington0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Michigan State0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Nebraska0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
UCLA0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Wisconsin0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Northwestern0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Maryland0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Purdue100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

Offensive EffDefensive EffOverall Efficiency
TeamPass O EffRush O EffTotal Off EffPass D EffRush D EffTotal Def EffOverall Eff
Oregon4103570176
Indiana22343522429
Ohio State1323621
Penn State612511844
Illinois39383049894939
Iowa7262502851724
Michigan79535767833
Minnesota368042713921
Rutgers505824541117950
USC15111729663320
Washington2130519843952
Michigan State53908679287579
Nebraska65395570271537
UCLA381166259157261
Wisconsin801067748372651
Northwestern1218110276506184
Maryland64856174177164
Purdue1088210710595106116

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

OverallOffenseDefensePass ORush OPass DRush DTempo
OregonIndiana

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Overall
Oregon2-14-02-05-013-1
Indiana0-22-03-06-011-2
Ohio State6-12-12-04-014-2
Penn State4-32-02-05-013-3
Illinois1-24-10-05-010-3
Iowa1-11-23-23-08-5
Michigan3-31-20-04-08-5
Minnesota1-13-31-03-18-5
Rutgers1-21-23-12-17-6
USC2-31-23-11-07-6
Washington1-51-10-14-06-7
Michigan State0-31-31-13-05-7
Nebraska0-42-12-03-17-6
UCLA0-53-20-02-05-7
Wisconsin0-51-20-04-05-7
Northwestern0-30-31-23-04-8
Maryland1-40-11-12-24-8
Purdue0-50-30-11-21-11

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

TeamWeek 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15
Oregon1.112.227.226.622.929.322.633.434.919.111.631.629.9
Indiana11.019.332.915.211.912.639.212.528.012.80.227.5
Ohio State21.829.932.030.835.722.511.933.426.527.537.04.6
Penn State29.52.86.523.524.617.924.519.231.827.119.126.314.5
Illinois4.616.82.714.87.1-9.622.2-16.22.216.415.77.7
Iowa11.99.73.733.14.029.1-11.925.632.71.018.29.3
Michigan12.5-6.15.616.216.8-2.1-3.00.8-3.717.128.235.4
Minnesota-5.715.617.5-6.28.020.89.226.019.61.117.224.2
Rutgers-5.212.817.65.73.4-28.7-3.3-8.518.119.2-2.230.2
USC21.527.79.119.07.118.81.528.12.017.410.83.5
Washington7.110.7-3.911.64.518.2-11.111.217.1-24.714.2-4.9
Michigan State-13.86.07.75.0-3.6-3.922.27.5-12.1-11.2-9.8-28.3
Nebraska8.531.31.92.913.111.7-21.227.7-9.76.421.813.5
UCLA-6.0-16.5-2.6-3.3-0.66.110.220.913.6-7.84.9-0.8
Wisconsin1.013.1-15.30.317.436.314.73.2-14.515.4-6.9-5.3
Northwestern5.20.2-7.6-10.82.130.0-13.6-16.5-9.5-4.1-21.1-3.7
Maryland32.3-8.514.69.37.2-33.813.1-11.93.0-13.5-4.8-3.5
Purdue8.7-26.0-26.0-16.7-25.54.5-14.1-7.8-9.7-17.9-6.3-22.0