Big Ten
2024 · through CFP Finals
Big Ten was the 2nd-ranked FBS conference in 2024 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 6 teams in the top 25. Ohio State led the conference, ranked 1st in the FanBoardHQ CFP.
Projected Standings
Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.
| Team | Efficiency rank | SOR rank | Conf. sched. rank | Overall record | Conf. record | Proj. conf. wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon | 6 | 2 | 18 | 13-1 | 10-1 | 10.0 |
| Indiana | 9 | 13 | 17 | 11-2 | 8-1 | 8.0 |
| Ohio State | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14-2 | 8-2 | 8.0 |
| Penn State | 4 | 6 | 15 | 13-3 | 8-2 | 8.0 |
| Illinois | 39 | 11 | 12 | 10-3 | 6-3 | 6.0 |
| Iowa | 24 | 39 | 14 | 8-5 | 6-3 | 6.0 |
| Michigan | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8-5 | 5-4 | 5.0 |
| Minnesota | 21 | 37 | 10 | 8-5 | 5-4 | 5.0 |
| Rutgers | 50 | 52 | 16 | 7-6 | 4-5 | 4.0 |
| USC | 20 | 38 | 11 | 7-6 | 4-5 | 4.0 |
| Washington | 52 | 57 | 3 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 4.0 |
| Michigan State | 79 | 75 | 6 | 5-7 | 3-6 | 3.0 |
| Nebraska | 37 | 48 | 9 | 7-6 | 3-6 | 3.0 |
| UCLA | 61 | 60 | 1 | 5-7 | 3-6 | 3.0 |
| Wisconsin | 51 | 72 | 8 | 5-7 | 3-6 | 3.0 |
| Northwestern | 84 | 98 | 7 | 4-8 | 2-7 | 2.0 |
| Maryland | 64 | 94 | 4 | 4-8 | 1-8 | 1.0 |
| Purdue | 116 | 132 | 2 | 1-11 | 0-9 | 0.0 |
Head-to-head Schedule Comparison
Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.
Conference win total projections
Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.
| Team | 0 wins | 1 win | 2 wins | 3 wins | 4 wins | 5 wins | 6 wins | 7 wins | 8 wins | 9 wins | 10 wins | 11 wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Indiana | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Ohio State | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Penn State | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Illinois | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Iowa | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Michigan | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Minnesota | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Rutgers | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| USC | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Washington | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Michigan State | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Nebraska | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| UCLA | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Wisconsin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Northwestern | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Maryland | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Purdue | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
Every model rank
Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.
| Offensive Eff | Defensive Eff | Overall Efficiency | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Pass O Eff | Rush O Eff | Total Off Eff | Pass D Eff | Rush D Eff | Total Def Eff | Overall Eff |
| Oregon | 4 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 70 | 17 | 6 |
| Indiana | 2 | 23 | 4 | 35 | 22 | 42 | 9 |
| Ohio State | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| Penn State | 6 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Illinois | 39 | 38 | 30 | 49 | 89 | 49 | 39 |
| Iowa | 72 | 62 | 50 | 28 | 51 | 7 | 24 |
| Michigan | 79 | 53 | 57 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 33 |
| Minnesota | 36 | 80 | 42 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 21 |
| Rutgers | 50 | 58 | 24 | 54 | 111 | 79 | 50 |
| USC | 15 | 11 | 17 | 29 | 66 | 33 | 20 |
| Washington | 21 | 30 | 51 | 9 | 84 | 39 | 52 |
| Michigan State | 53 | 90 | 86 | 79 | 28 | 75 | 79 |
| Nebraska | 65 | 39 | 55 | 70 | 27 | 15 | 37 |
| UCLA | 38 | 116 | 62 | 59 | 15 | 72 | 61 |
| Wisconsin | 80 | 106 | 77 | 48 | 37 | 26 | 51 |
| Northwestern | 121 | 81 | 102 | 76 | 50 | 61 | 84 |
| Maryland | 64 | 85 | 61 | 74 | 17 | 71 | 64 |
| Purdue | 108 | 82 | 107 | 105 | 95 | 106 | 116 |
Compare teams
Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.
Further from center = better (FBS percentile).
Quadrant records
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon | 2-1 | 4-0 | 2-0 | 5-0 | 13-1 |
| Indiana | 0-2 | 2-0 | 3-0 | 6-0 | 11-2 |
| Ohio State | 6-1 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 4-0 | 14-2 |
| Penn State | 4-3 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 5-0 | 13-3 |
| Illinois | 1-2 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 10-3 |
| Iowa | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 3-0 | 8-5 |
| Michigan | 3-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 8-5 |
| Minnesota | 1-1 | 3-3 | 1-0 | 3-1 | 8-5 |
| Rutgers | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 2-1 | 7-6 |
| USC | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-0 | 7-6 |
| Washington | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 4-0 | 6-7 |
| Michigan State | 0-3 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3-0 | 5-7 |
| Nebraska | 0-4 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 3-1 | 7-6 |
| UCLA | 0-5 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 5-7 |
| Wisconsin | 0-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 5-7 |
| Northwestern | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 4-8 |
| Maryland | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4-8 |
| Purdue | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1-11 |
Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating
Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.
| Team | Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Week 6 | Week 7 | Week 8 | Week 9 | Week 10 | Week 11 | Week 12 | Week 13 | Week 14 | Week 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon | 1.1 | 12.2 | 27.2 | 26.6 | 22.9 | 29.3 | 22.6 | 33.4 | 34.9 | 19.1 | 11.6 | 31.6 | 29.9 | ||
| Indiana | 11.0 | 19.3 | 32.9 | 15.2 | 11.9 | 12.6 | 39.2 | 12.5 | 28.0 | 12.8 | 0.2 | 27.5 | |||
| Ohio State | 21.8 | 29.9 | 32.0 | 30.8 | 35.7 | 22.5 | 11.9 | 33.4 | 26.5 | 27.5 | 37.0 | 4.6 | |||
| Penn State | 29.5 | 2.8 | 6.5 | 23.5 | 24.6 | 17.9 | 24.5 | 19.2 | 31.8 | 27.1 | 19.1 | 26.3 | 14.5 | ||
| Illinois | 4.6 | 16.8 | 2.7 | 14.8 | 7.1 | -9.6 | 22.2 | -16.2 | 2.2 | 16.4 | 15.7 | 7.7 | |||
| Iowa | 11.9 | 9.7 | 3.7 | 33.1 | 4.0 | 29.1 | -11.9 | 25.6 | 32.7 | 1.0 | 18.2 | 9.3 | |||
| Michigan | 12.5 | -6.1 | 5.6 | 16.2 | 16.8 | -2.1 | -3.0 | 0.8 | -3.7 | 17.1 | 28.2 | 35.4 | |||
| Minnesota | -5.7 | 15.6 | 17.5 | -6.2 | 8.0 | 20.8 | 9.2 | 26.0 | 19.6 | 1.1 | 17.2 | 24.2 | |||
| Rutgers | -5.2 | 12.8 | 17.6 | 5.7 | 3.4 | -28.7 | -3.3 | -8.5 | 18.1 | 19.2 | -2.2 | 30.2 | |||
| USC | 21.5 | 27.7 | 9.1 | 19.0 | 7.1 | 18.8 | 1.5 | 28.1 | 2.0 | 17.4 | 10.8 | 3.5 | |||
| Washington | 7.1 | 10.7 | -3.9 | 11.6 | 4.5 | 18.2 | -11.1 | 11.2 | 17.1 | -24.7 | 14.2 | -4.9 | |||
| Michigan State | -13.8 | 6.0 | 7.7 | 5.0 | -3.6 | -3.9 | 22.2 | 7.5 | -12.1 | -11.2 | -9.8 | -28.3 | |||
| Nebraska | 8.5 | 31.3 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 13.1 | 11.7 | -21.2 | 27.7 | -9.7 | 6.4 | 21.8 | 13.5 | |||
| UCLA | -6.0 | -16.5 | -2.6 | -3.3 | -0.6 | 6.1 | 10.2 | 20.9 | 13.6 | -7.8 | 4.9 | -0.8 | |||
| Wisconsin | 1.0 | 13.1 | -15.3 | 0.3 | 17.4 | 36.3 | 14.7 | 3.2 | -14.5 | 15.4 | -6.9 | -5.3 | |||
| Northwestern | 5.2 | 0.2 | -7.6 | -10.8 | 2.1 | 30.0 | -13.6 | -16.5 | -9.5 | -4.1 | -21.1 | -3.7 | |||
| Maryland | 32.3 | -8.5 | 14.6 | 9.3 | 7.2 | -33.8 | 13.1 | -11.9 | 3.0 | -13.5 | -4.8 | -3.5 | |||
| Purdue | 8.7 | -26.0 | -26.0 | -16.7 | -25.5 | 4.5 | -14.1 | -7.8 | -9.7 | -17.9 | -6.3 | -22.0 |