FanBoardHQ

Louisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech University · 2025 · Conference USA

FanBoardHQ CFP
#75
Efficiency
-4.3
81st FBS
Record
8-5
Conf. record
5-3
Conf. finish
T-4th
of 12
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Louisiana Tech went 8-5 and was ranked 75th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 57th-ranked defense carried them, with a 104th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 60% of offensive plays with a 97th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 40% of plays with a 125th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-2
Q3
0-0
Q4
8-3

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 8.0 wins
Strength of Record
68th
-3.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
126th
full season
126th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
119th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs SE LouisianaSouthlandW 240+12.1100%9.6Q4
2@ LSUSEC#41L 723-16.90%-3.8Q2
3vs New Mexico StateConference USA#119W 4914+13.3100%9.0Q4
4vs Southern MissSun Belt#95W 3020+9.6100%-0.3Q4
5@ UTEPConference USA#132W 3011+12.5100%1.3Q4
7@ Kennesaw StateConference USA#61L 735-0.40%-29.2Q4
9vs Western KentuckyConference USA#68L 2728+4.40%-15.7Q4
10vs Sam HoustonConference USA#133W 5514+25.2100%17.4Q4
11@ DelawareConference USA#98L 2425+8.30%-12.4Q4
12@ Washington StatePac-12#56L 328-11.60%-19.5Q2
13vs LibertyConference USA#115W 3428+8.8100%-11.6Q4
14@ Missouri StateConference USA#85W 4230+2.0100%5.5Q4
Postseason
vs Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#99W 2314+9.6100%-6.2Q4

13 played · 8-5. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Louisiana Tech, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-25.4-5.9+13.610-49-01-29-1617-12-19-126Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 125th
SR 125thYPP 114thEPA 121st
RushingEff 97th
SR 98thYPP 95thEPA 93rd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 54th
SR 55thYPP 84thEPA 38th
Rush defenseEff 73rd
SR 81stYPP 75thEPA 68th
Dropback rate 40%Tempo -2.4 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 99th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 37%1st2nd · Offense: 36%2nd · Defense allowed: 38%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 43%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 40%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 83.0Q1 · Allowed: 47.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 54.0Q2 · Allowed: 81.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 48.0Q3 · Allowed: 59.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 110.0Q4 · Allowed: 82.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledLouisiana TechOffenseDefense
Louisiana Tech Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 104th
-6.4
Field position: -0.2Finishing drives: -6.2
Field position -0.2Finishing drives -6.2= -6.4
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 72nd · Finishing 111th

Defensive EffRanked 57th
+1.2
Field position: +0.7Finishing drives: +0.5
Field position +0.7Finishing drives +0.5= +1.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 45th · Finishing 64th

1.79 points per drive on offense, 1.52 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(186)42% / 58%44%6.8
Q2(241)44% / 56%44%5.4
Q3(200)44% / 56%39%5.1
Q4(216)28% / 72%38%5.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(127)10.048%7.7
2nd(107)8.431%4.6
3rd(95)7.736%6.2
4th(4)3.825%1.5
All (333)39%6.2
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(248)9.841%5.6
2nd(171)6.740%4.4
3rd(80)6.250%6.2
4th(11)1.564%3.8
All (510)43%5.2

Louisiana Tech, all games.