FanBoardHQ

Coastal Carolina

Coastal Carolina University · 2025 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#99
Efficiency
-13.9
114th FBS
Record
6-7
Conf. record
5-3
Conf. finish
T-4th
of 14
Coastal Carolina Fanboard →

Coastal Carolina went 6-7 and was ranked 99th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 99th-ranked defense carried them, with an 113th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 96th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 130th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-3
Q3
0-1
Q4
6-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 6.0 wins
Strength of Record
91st
-4.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
87th
full season
87th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
86th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ VirginiaACC#23L 748-27.60%-20.9Q1
2vs Charleston SouthernOVC-Big SouthW 130+17.8100%-17.6Q4
3vs East CarolinaAmerican Athletic#42L 038-18.30%-25.1Q3
4@ South AlabamaSun Belt#114W 3820-4.8100%7.8Q4
6@ Old DominionSun Belt#37L 747-25.10%-27.2Q2
7vs ULMSun Belt#128W 238+10.2100%-10.1Q4
8@ Appalachian StateSun Belt#110W 4537-2.0100%-3.2Q4
10vs MarshallSun Belt#96W 4427-5.0100%4.4Q4
11vs Georgia StateSun Belt#134W 4027+8.5100%-6.0Q4
12@ Georgia SouthernSun Belt#87L 4045-4.90%-16.0Q4
13@ South CarolinaSEC#78L 751-23.80%-32.1Q2
14vs James MadisonSun Belt#22L 1059-20.80%-23.0Q2
Postseason
vs Louisiana TechConference USA#75L 1423-9.60%-12.0Q4

13 played · 6-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Coastal Carolina, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-28.9-12.2+4.6-21-18-258-27-10-34-6-16-32-23Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 130th
SR 133rdYPP 131stEPA 123rd
RushingEff 96th
SR 94thYPP 74thEPA 100th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 110th
SR 116thYPP 110thEPA 109th
Rush defenseEff 115th
SR 109thYPP 116thEPA 113th
Dropback rate 47%Tempo -1.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 81st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 35%1st · Defense allowed: 48%1st2nd · Offense: 39%2nd · Defense allowed: 46%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 38%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 40%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 57.0Q1 · Allowed: 117.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 70.0Q2 · Allowed: 116.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 79.0Q3 · Allowed: 71.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 62.0Q4 · Allowed: 98.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledCoastal CarolinaOffenseDefense
Coastal Carolina Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 113th
-7.4
Field position: -0.0Finishing drives: -7.4
Field position -0.0Finishing drives -7.4= -7.4
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 62nd · Finishing 118th

Defensive EffRanked 99th
-4.0
Field position: -2.0Finishing drives: -2.0
Field position -2.0Finishing drives -2.0= -4.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 124th · Finishing 85th

1.63 points per drive on offense, 2.36 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(194)50% / 50%36%5.2
Q2(222)51% / 49%40%5.7
Q3(219)52% / 48%38%5.7
Q4(204)41% / 59%34%3.5
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(135)10.333%4.7
2nd(151)9.534%5.8
3rd(111)9.430%4.9
4th(10)6.240%2.4
All (407)33%5.1
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(228)10.036%5.0
2nd(128)7.246%5.6
3rd(67)5.248%4.2
4th(9)1.967%3.7
All (432)42%5.0

Coastal Carolina, all games.